Jets vs. Dolphins 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 5

Updated Jan. 5, 2025 12:45 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

In a matchup of two division rivals, the New York Jets (4-12) will face off against the Miami Dolphins (8-8). The Jets are slim favorites (-1.5). The matchup has an over/under of 39.5 points.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

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Jets vs. Dolphins Odds & Betting Lines

Jets vs Dolphins Betting Information updated as of January 5, 2025, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Jets	-1.5	-105	-115	39.5	-108	-112

Jets vs. Dolphins Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Dolphins (+1.5)
Pick OU: Over (39.5)
Prediction: Dolphins 22 - Jets 20

How to Watch New York vs. Miami

Game Date: Sunday, January 5, 2025
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium
Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey
TV: Watch on FOX
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Jets vs. Dolphins Recent Matchups

Miami has a 4-1 record against New York in their last five matchups.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Miami has compiled 124 points versus New York, while allowing only 85 points.

New York Betting Info

New York has four wins in 16 games versus the spread this season.
The Jets have covered the spread four times this season (4-6 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
New York games in 2024 have hit the over nine times in 16 opportunities (56.2%).
When playing as moneyline favorites, the Jets are 4-6, picking up a win 40% of the time.
The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Jets a 52.8% chance to win.

Jets Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	216.1 (3,457)	17
Rush yards	90.2 (1,443)	31
Points scored	19.1 (306)	24
Pass yards against	192.3 (3,076)	5
Rush yards against	120.2 (1,923)	15
Points allowed	24 (384)	21

New York's Key Players

Offense

Aaron Rodgers has 3,623 passing yards in 16 games this year, averaging 226.4 per game with a 63% completion percentage and 24 touchdowns against 10 interceptions.
Breece Hall's rushing output this season includes 819 yards and five TDs. He is averaging 54.6 yards per game and 4.2 per attempt (27th in the NFL).
Hall has 54 receptions on 71 targets for 468 yards. He has two receiving TDs.
In the passing game, Garrett Wilson, has contributed with 1,053 receiving yards and seven touchdowns after grabbing 97 balls (eighth in the NFL) on 148 targets. Per game, he's averaging 65.8 yards and 6.1 receptions in 16 games.
Davante Adams has 79 receptions for 975 yards and seven touchdowns. He's been targeted 129 times in the air attack, and averages 6.1 receptions and 75 yards in 13 games played.

Defense

On defense, Jamien Sherwood has 148 tackles, 10 TFL, and two sacks in 2024. His tackle total leads the Jets and is fifth in the NFL.
Quincy Williams has two sacks as well as nine TFL and 105 tackles.
Will McDonald IV has totaled 26 tackles, 10 TFL, and 10 sacks this year.
So far this season, Tony Adams has 78 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and one interception. He's third on the Jets in tackles.

Miami Betting Info

Miami has put together a 7-8-1 record against the spread this year.
So far this season, the Dolphins have been installed as underdogs by a 1.5-point margin or more seven times and are 3-4 ATS in those matchups.
Miami's games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under seven times this season.
This season, the Dolphins have won two out of the seven games in which they've been the underdog.
The Dolphins have a 51.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Dolphins Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	221.1 (3,538)	15
Rush yards	103.8 (1,660)	24
Points scored	20.3 (325)	22
Pass yards against	207.8 (3,325)	9
Rush yards against	102.8 (1,645)	9
Points allowed	20.8 (332)	8

Miami's Key Players

Offense

So far this year in 16 games, Devon Achane has churned out 786 rushing yards (leading the Dolphins) and scored five rushing touchdowns. He averages 49.1 yards per game and 4.1 per carry (32nd in the NFL).
Achane has also been a part of the receiving game with 592 yards (37 per game) on 78 receptions (4.9 per game), while being targeted 87 times. He has six receiving touchdowns.
Through 11 games, Tua Tagovailoa has 2,867 passing yards, while throwing 19 touchdowns against seven interceptions and completing 72.9% of his passes.
This season, Tyreek Hill has caught 79 passes for 939 receiving yards with six touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 119 total times and is averaging 4.9 receptions per game over 16 games played.
Jonnu Smith has 79 catches for 828 yards and seven receiving touchdowns. He averages 4.9 yards per game in 16 games and has been targeted 99 times.

Defense

Jordyn Brooks' 2024 output includes 137 tackles, 11 TFL, and three sacks in 16 games. He leads the Dolphins and is ninth in the NFL in tackles.
Tyrel Dodson has 103 tackles, five TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions. He is second on the Dolphins in tackles.
Zach Sieler has 49 tackles, 12 TFL, 8.5 sacks, and one interception in the 2024 season.
Calais Campbell has 49 tackles, 11 TFL, four sacks, and five passes defended.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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