Joe Mixon Odds and Prop Bets vs. Bills – NFL Week 9 2023

Updated Nov. 5, 2023 6:49 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

NFL action in Week 9 will see Joe Mixon and the Cincinnati Bengals take on the Buffalo Bills at 8:20 PM ET on Sunday. In this article we break down all of Mixon's prop bets set for this matchup, and examine the stats to figure out the best predictions.

With 53 rushing attempts over his last three games, Mixon's recent performance has yielded 206 rushing yards (3.9 YPC) and one touchdown in the ground game, plus 10 receptions (on 11 targets) for 60 yards as a pass-catcher.

Learn more about Joe Mixon vs. the Buffalo Bills on FOX Sports.

Joe Mixon vs. Bills Player Props

Rush Yds Over/Under	Rush Yds Over Payout
59.5	-115

Joe Mixon vs. Buffalo Game Info

Matchup: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Buffalo Bills
Game Day: November 5, 2023
Game Time: 8:20 PM
Rushing Yards Prop: Over 59.5 (-115)
TV: Watch on NBC

Joe Mixon Season Stats

Carries	Rush Yards	Rush TDs	Rush Yards/Carry	Targets	Receptions	Rec Yards	Rec TDs
112	453	2	4.0	24	19	127	0

Joe Mixon Betting Insights

Mixon averages 64.7 rushing yards, 5.2 more than Sunday's over/under.
He has had more than 59.5 rushing yards in four games this season (57.1%).
Bookmakers have set Mixon's rushing yards prop at 60.5 on average. He has barely bettered it by picking up 64.7 rushing yards per game.
He has surpassed his rushing yards prop bet two times in five opportunities this year.
Mixon has reached the end zone via the ground in two games this season.

Bills' Defense 2023 Rankings

Stat	AVG (Rank)
Pass Yds/Game Allowed	204.1 (10)
Pass Yds/Attempt Allowed	6.4 (14)
Rush Yds/Game Allowed	122 (22)
Rush Yds/Attempt Allowed	5.1 (31)
Total Yds/Game Allowed	326.1 (14)
Yards/Play Allowed	5.9 (27)
Points/Game Allowed	17 (3)

Bengals' 2023 Stats

While the Bengals rank 27th in total defense with 370.7 yards allowed per game, they've been slightly worse on offense, ranking fourth-worst (276.9 yards per game).
Looking at pace stats, Cincinnati averages 61 offense plays per game this year, placing them 21st in the NFL.
The Bengals are putting up 197.9 passing yards per game on offense (23rd in the NFL), and they rank 21st defensively with 232.1 passing yards allowed per game.
It's been a difficult stretch for the Bengals in terms of running the ball, as they rank fourth-worst in rushing offense (79 rushing yards per game) and fifth-worst in rushing defense (138.6 rushing yards per game allowed) in 2023.
So far this season, Cincinnati has been one of the most pass-heavy teams in the league, airing it out 61.6% of the time (second in NFL). To compare, it is rushing the ball 34.4% of the time, with 4% of its plays ending in a sack.
With 4.8 yards per play on offense (third-worst) and 6.2 yards per play allowed on defense (third-worst), the Bengals have been struggling on both sides of the ball this year in terms of yards-per-play efficiency.