Justin Herbert Odds and Prop Bets vs. Chiefs – NFL Week 7 2023

Updated Oct. 22, 2023 2:49 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

NFL action in Week 7 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium will see the Los Angeles Chargers and Justin Herbert face the Kansas City Chiefs at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday. Let's examine all of the prop bets available for Herbert's in this contest, using stats and trends to help you make good predictions.

Learn more about Justin Herbert vs. the Kansas City Chiefs on FOX Sports.

Justin Herbert vs. Chiefs Player Props

Pass Yds Over/Under	Pass Yds Over Payout	Pass TDs Over/Under	Pass TDs Over Payout	Rush Yds Over/Under	Rush Yds Over Payout	Anytime TD Odds
268.5	-115	1.5	-128	16.5	-115	+350

Justin Herbert vs. Kansas City Game Info

Matchup: Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Game Day: October 22, 2023
Game Time: 4:25 PM
Passing Yards Prop: Over 268.5 (-115)
Rushing Yards Prop: Over 16.5 (-115)
TV: Watch on CBS

Justin Herbert Season Stats

Pass Comp.	Pass Att.	Comp. %	Pass Yards	Pass TDs	INTs	Pass Yards/Att.	Rush Att.	Rush Yards	Rush TDs
125	182	68.7%	1,333	9	2	7.3	26	75	3

Justin Herbert Betting Insights

Herbert passes for 266.6 yards per game. That's 1.9 fewer yards than his over/under on Sunday.
In five matchups this season, he has surpassed 268.5 passing yards twice.
Herbert's 266.6 passing yards per game are 174.1 higher than his average prop bet of 92.5 yards.
This season, he has not exceeded his passing yards prop total in one game.
Herbert has thrown a touchdown pass in all five games this year, with more than one TD pass three times.

Chiefs' Defense 2023 Rankings

Stat	AVG (Rank)
Pass Yds/Game Allowed	183.8 (5)
Pass Yds/Attempt Allowed	5.3 (4)
Rush Yds/Game Allowed	100.2 (12)
Rush Yds/Attempt Allowed	4.5 (24)
Total Yds/Game Allowed	284 (5)
Yards/Play Allowed	5 (5)
Points/Game Allowed	14.7 (2)

Chargers' 2023 Stats

With 391.6 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks second-worst in the NFL, the Chargers have been forced to lean on their eighth-ranked offense (365.4 yards per contest) to keep them competitive.
Looking at pace of play, Los Angeles is running a lot of plays compared to the rest of the league, ranking 10th in the NFL with 66 offensive plays per game.
While the Chargers rank worst in the NFL in passing defense with 289 passing yards allowed per game, it's been a different situation on the other side of the ball, as they rank fifth-best in the NFL (259 passing yards per game).
The Chargers rank 18th in run offense (106.4 rushing yards per game) and 14th in run defense (102.6 rushing yards allowed per game) this year.
This season, Los Angeles carries a pass rate of 55.6% (11th in NFL) and a rush rate of 41.3% (16th).
In addition to 6.3 yards per play allowed on defense, which ranks second-worst in the NFL, the Chargers have put up the seventh-ranked yards-per-play average on offense (5.8).