Lions vs. Bears Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 19

Published Nov. 15, 2023 1:06 p.m. ET

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The Detroit Lions (7-2) are solid favorites -- expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -9) -- against the Chicago Bears (3-7) in a matchup of two division rivals. The predicted point total for the matchup is 47.5.

Lions vs. Bears Odds & Betting Lines

Lions vs. Bears Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Detroit (-9)
  
• Pick OU: Over (47.5)
  
• Prediction: Detroit 32 - Chicago 16

How to Watch Detroit vs. Chicago

• Game Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Ford Field
• Location: Detroit, Michigan
• TV: Watch on FOX

Lions vs. Bears Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head contests, Chicago has defeated Detroit three times.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Detroit has scored 121 points against Chicago, while surrendering only 107 points.

Detroit Betting Info

• In nine Detroit games this season, it has seven wins against the spread.
• The Lions have won their only game this season when playing as at least 9-point favorites.
• Detroit has combined with its opponent to eclipsed the over/under in 55.6% of its contests this year (five times over nine games with a set point total).
• The Lions have won 85.7% of the time they have played as the moneyline favorite (6-1).
• Detroit has played as a moneyline favorite of -440 or shorter in only one game this season, which it won.
• The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Lions an 81.5% chance to win.

Lions Stats

Detroit's Key Players

Offense

• Jared Goff ranks fifth in the NFL with 2,507 passing yards in nine games this year, averaging 278.6 per game with a 68.4% completion percentage and 14 touchdowns against five interceptions.
• He has also rushed for 11 yards (seventh on the Lions) and added two touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 1.2 rushing yards per game.
• Amon-Ra St. Brown's 821 receiving yards this season (seventh in the NFL) have come from 87 targets and 65 receptions (10th in the NFL). He's averaging 102.6 receiving yards and 8.1 catches per game, with four receiving touchdowns.
• David Montgomery's output on the ground this season includes 501 yards and seven TDs. He is averaging 83.5 yards per game and 4.7 per attempt (10th in the NFL).
• Montgomery has recorded six catches, 66 yards and zero TDs in the passing game.
• In the ground game, Jahmyr Gibbs averages 5.3 yards per attempt (second in the NFL) and 68.0 yards per game for 476 total rushing yards. He has scored four rushing touchdowns this season.
• Gibbs' 38 receiving targets have resulted in 31 receptions (4.4 per game) for 200 yards (28.6 per game) and zero TDs.

Defense

• Over on the defensive side, Alex Anzalone has 66 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks in 2023.
• Aidan Hutchinson has 26 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and one interception this season.
• Jerry Jacobs has recorded three interceptions (sixth in the NFL) and also has 35 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and seven passes defended.
• This season, Kerby Joseph has 40 tackles and two interceptions.

Chicago Betting Info

• Chicago is 3-6-1 against the spread this season.
• The Bears have covered the spread once this year when underdogs by 9 points or more (in three chances).
• Games involving Chicago have hit the over on six occasions this year.
• This season, the Bears have won two out of the eight games in which they've been the underdog.
• Chicago has not won as an underdog of +340 or more on the moneyline this season in two such games.
• The Bears have a 22.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Bears Stats

Chicago's Key Players

Offense

• This year, D.J. Moore has 52 receptions for 793 yards (ninth in the NFL) with five receiving touchdowns (10th in the NFL). He has been targeted 71 times and averages 5.2 catches per game in 10 games played.
• In six games, Justin Fields has 1,201 passing yards, with 11 touchdowns against six interceptions and completing 61.7% of his attempts.
• He has tacked on 237 rushing yards (third on the Bears), with one touchdown on the ground (averaging 39.5 yards per game and 5.0 per carry).
• In 10 games played this season, Cole Kmet has 46 catches (4.6 receptions per game on 5.7 targets per game) for 419 yards and five receiving touchdowns (10th in the NFL).
• D'Onta Foreman averages 61.2 rushing yards per game over six games (367 total yards), with three rushing touchdowns.
• Foreman has also caught nine passes for 55 yards (eighth on the Bears), with one receiving touchdown. He's been targeted 13 times and averages 9.2 yards per game.

Defense

• So far in 2023, T.J. Edwards has put up 110 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and two sacks over 10 games.
• Montez Sweat's stats include 34 tackles, 10.0 TFL, 6.5 sacks, and two passes defended.
• Tremaine Edmunds has 3.0 TFL, 63 tackles, and one interception.
• Tyrique Stevenson has totaled 1.0 TFL and 56 tackles.

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