Lions vs. Broncos Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 16

Published Dec. 12, 2023 7:03 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Detroit Lions (9-4) are considered favorites (-5) according to the oddsmakers ahead of their game versus the Denver Broncos (7-6) on December 16, 2023, starting at 8:15 PM ET, airing on NFL Network. The expected point total for the game is 48.

Lions vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Lines

Lions vs Broncos Betting Information updated as of December 12, 2023, 3:33 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Lions	-5	-110	-110	48	-110	-110

Lions vs. Broncos Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Denver (+5)
Pick OU: Over (48)
Prediction: Detroit 26 - Denver 22

How to Watch Detroit vs. Denver

Game Date: Saturday, December 16, 2023
Time: 8:15 PM ET
Venue: Ford Field
Location: Detroit, Michigan
TV: Watch on NFL Network

Lions vs. Broncos Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Denver has collected three wins against Detroit.
Denver has been outpaced by 46 points in its last five tilts against Detroit.

Detroit Betting Info

Detroit has played 13 games, posting eight wins against the spread.
The Lions have been favored by 5 points or more four times this season, and covered the spread in two of those games.
Detroit games this year have gone over the total in eight out of 13 opportunities (61.5%).
When playing as moneyline favorites, the Lions are 8-3 (winning 72.7% of the time).
Detroit has a 3-1 record (winning 75% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -238 or shorter.
Looking at this contest's moneyline, the Lions' implied win probability is 70.4%.

Lions Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	252.8 (3,286)	7
Rush yards	137.5 (1,788)	5
Points scored	26.2 (340)	7
Pass yards against	226.6 (2,946)	19
Rush yards against	96.8 (1,259)	9
Points allowed	24.2 (314)	25

Detroit's Key Players

Offense

Jared Goff has 3,449 passing yards (sixth in the NFL), 21 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and 10 interceptions this year. He has completed 66.9% of his passes, averaging 265.3 yards per game and 7.4 per attempt.
To go along with his passing statistics, Goff also has 21 rushing yards (sixth on the Lions), with two rushing touchdowns.
David Montgomery's rushing output this season includes 770 yards and 10 TDs. He is averaging 77 yards per game and 4.8 per attempt (ninth in the NFL).
He's caught 12 passes (on 18 targets) for 106 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He's averaging 10.6 receiving yards and 1.2 catches per game.
In the passing attack, Amon-Ra St. Brown, has contributed with 1,063 receiving yards (eighth in the NFL) and six touchdowns after hauling in 87 balls (seventh in the NFL) on 124 targets. Per game, he's averaging 88.6 yards and 7.3 receptions over 12 games.
In the ground game, Jahmyr Gibbs averages 5.4 yards per attempt (second in the NFL) and 62.9 yards per game for 692 total rushing yards. He has scored six rushing touchdowns this season.
Gibbs' 58 receiving targets have resulted in 45 receptions (4.1 per game) for 288 yards (26.2 per game) and zero TDs.

Defense

Over on the defensive side, Alex Anzalone has 96 tackles, five TFL, and three sacks in 2023.
Aidan Hutchinson has 38 tackles, seven TFL, 6.5 sacks, and one interception this season.
This season, Jerry Jacobs has recorded two TFL, 55 tackles, and three interceptions.
So far this season, Brian Branch has 61 tackles, seven TFL, and two interceptions. He's fourth on the Lions in tackles.

Denver Betting Info

Denver have compiled a 5-7-1 record against the spread this year.
The Broncos have covered the spread twice this year when underdogs by 5 points or more (in four chances).
This season, Denver games have hit the over five times.
This season, the Broncos have been the underdog seven times and won four of those games.
Denver has entered four games this season as the underdog by +195 or more and is 2-2 in those contests.
The Broncos have a 33.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Broncos Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	185.8 (2,415)	27
Rush yards	115 (1,495)	13
Points scored	22.1 (287)	13
Pass yards against	233.4 (3,034)	24
Rush yards against	144 (1,872)	32
Points allowed	23.8 (309)	23

Denver's Key Players

Offense

Russell Wilson has thrown for 2,609 yards this year, with 23 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and eight interceptions. He is completing 67.2% of his passes while averaging 200.7 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt.
On the ground, Wilson has added two rushing touchdowns and 315 rushing yards (third on the Broncos).
Courtland Sutton has 53 catches for 699 yards and 10 receiving touchdowns (second in the NFL). He has been targeted 79 times and averages 4.1 receptions per game in 13 games played.
Javonte Williams is averaging 54.2 rushing yards per game this season (650 total yards), while scoring one rushing touchdown.
Williams' statistic output includes 32 receptions (2.7 per game) on 41 targets for 180 yards (15 per game) and two receiving touchdowns.
Jaleel McLaughlin has 321 rushing yards (second on the Broncos) and one rushing touchdown, while averaging 24.7 yards per game and 5.7 per carry.
McLaughlin has also added 22 catches (1.7 per game) for 96 yards (7.4 per game) and two receiving touchdowns. He has been on the receiving end of 25 targets.

Defense

In 2023, Alex Singleton has amassed 134 tackles, five TFL, and two sacks through 13 games.
Jonathon Cooper has 5.5 sacks (second on the Broncos) to go with five TFL, 58 tackles, and one interception.
Josey Jewell has two sacks in addition to his one TFL and 78 tackles.
Zach Allen's season stats include 49 tackles, eight TFL, and five sacks through 13 games.

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