Lions vs. Buccaneers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 15

Lions vs. Buccaneers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 15

Published Oct. 11, 2023 1:06 p.m. ET

The Detroit Lions (4-1) will be aiming to continue a three-game winning run against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1). The Lions are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The over/under for this one is set at 43.5 points.

Lions vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Lines

Lions vs Buccaneers Betting Information updated as of October 10, 2023, 4:33 PM ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Lions -3 -115 -105 43.5 -115 -105

Lions vs. Buccaneers Prediction & Pick

ADVERTISEMENT
  • Pick ATS: Detroit (-3)
  • Pick OU: Over (43.5)
  • Prediction: Detroit 25 - Tampa Bay 20

How to Watch Detroit vs. Tampa Bay

  • Game Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023
  • Time: 4:25 PM ET
  • Venue: Raymond James Stadium
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • TV: Watch on FOX

Lions vs. Buccaneers Recent Matchups

  • Detroit holds a 3-2 record against Tampa Bay in their last five matchups.
  • Over their last five head-to-head contests, Detroit has put up 123 points, while Tampa Bay has accumulated 120.

Detroit Betting Info

  • Detroit is 4-1-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Lions have covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
  • Detroit games this year have gone over the total in three out of five opportunities (60%).
  • When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Lions are 3-1 (winning 75% of the time).
  • Detroit has a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -162 or shorter.
  • The Lions have a 61.8% chance to win this contest, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Lions Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 243.4 (1,217) 9
Rush yards 141.0 (705) 7
Points scored 29.6 (148) 4
Pass yards against 224.4 (1,122) 17
Rush yards against 68.4 (342) 3
Points allowed 21.4 (107) 15

Detroit's Key Players

Offense

  • Jared Goff has passed for 1,265 yards (ninth in the NFL), nine touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) and three interceptions this year. He is averaging 253.0 yards per game and 8.0 per attempt, while completing 69.8% of his passes.
  • He has tacked on 12 rushing yards (2.4 per game) and two touchdowns on the ground.
  • David Montgomery's rushing output this season includes 371 yards (seventh in the NFL) and six TDs. He is averaging 92.8 yards per game and 4.2 per attempt (21st in the NFL).
  • Montgomery has five catches on nine targets for 47 yards. He has not scored a receiving touchdown.
  • Josh Reynolds has three touchdown catches this season (fifth in the NFL), and has 16 receptions for 291 yards on 24 targets, while averaging 4.0 catches and 72.8 yards per game.
  • Sam LaPorta averages 5.0 receptions and 57.8 yards per game, and has 289 total receiving yards and 25 catches. He's gotten 31 total targets, and has caught three touchdown passes (fifth in the NFL).

Defense

  • Over on defense, Aidan Hutchinson has 15 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and one interception in 2023.
  • Jerry Jacobs has intercepted three pases (first in the NFL) and has added 29 tackles and five passes defended.
  • This season, Alex Anzalone has put up 1.0 sack (fourth on the Lions) to go along with his 1.0 TFL and 35 tackles.
  • This season, Brian Branch has 25 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one interception.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

  • Tampa Bay has covered the spread three times this year (3-1-0).
  • The Buccaneers have covered the spread twice this year when underdogs by 3 points or more (in three chances).
  • Games involving Tampa Bay has hit the over once this season.
  • The Buccaneers have won two of the three games they've played as underdogs this season.
  • This season, Tampa Bay has won two of its three games when it is the underdog by at least +136 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Buccaneers have a 42.4% chance to win.

Buccaneers Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 214.5 (858) 14
Rush yards 87.0 (348) 25
Points scored 21.0 (84) 25
Pass yards against 223.8 (895) 16
Rush yards against 94.8 (379) 10
Points allowed 17.0 (68) 8

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

  • Baker Mayfield has passed for 882 yards this year, with seven touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and two interceptions. He is completing 69.6% of his attempts while averaging 220.5 yards per game and 7.1 per attempt.
  • On the ground, Mayfield has added 61 rushing yards (second on the Buccaneers).
  • Mike Evans has 20 catches for 337 yards and three receiving touchdowns (fifth in the NFL). He has been targeted 31 times and averages 5.0 receptions per game in four games played.
  • This season through four games, Rachaad White has churned out 206 rushing yards (leading the Buccaneers) and scored one rushing touchdown. He averages 51.5 yards per game and 3.3 per attempt (36th in the NFL).
  • White has helped in the passing attack, amassing 86 receiving yards (21.5 per game) on 13 catches (3.3 per game), while being targeted 13 times. He is looking for his first receiving touchdown.
  • Chris Godwin has 255 receiving yards from 21 receptions after getting 30 targets.

Defense

  • So far in 2023, Antoine Winfield Jr. has amassed 2.0 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL and 31 tackles through four games.
  • Vita Vea has 13 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks.
  • Lavonte David has 1.0 sack (fourth on the Buccaneers) in addition to his 3.0 TFL and 28 tackles.
  • Devin White's season stats include 26 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception in four games. He is third on the Buccaneers in tackles.
share