Lions vs. Chargers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 12

Published Nov. 8, 2023 1:06 p.m. ET

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The Detroit Lions (6-2) are considered favorites (-2.5) according to the point spread ahead of their game versus the Los Angeles Chargers (4-4) on November 12, 2023, starting at 4:05 PM ET, airing on CBS. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 48.5.

Lions vs. Chargers Odds & Betting Lines

Lions vs. Chargers Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Los Angeles (+2.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (48.5)
  
• Prediction: Los Angeles 24 - Detroit 22

How to Watch Detroit vs. Los Angeles

• Game Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023
• Time: 4:05 PM ET
• Venue: SoFi Stadium
• Location: Inglewood, California
• TV: Watch on CBS

Lions vs. Chargers Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, Los Angeles has three wins versus Detroit.
• Detroit has been outscored by 18 points in its last five tilts against Los Angeles.

Detroit Betting Info

• Detroit has six wins in eight games versus the spread this year.
• The Lions have been favored by 2.5 points or more six times this season, and covered the spread in five of those contests.
• Detroit games this year have hit the over on four of eight set point totals (50%).
• When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Lions have won 83.3% of the time (5-1).
• Detroit has gone 5-1 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -142 or shorter (83.3%).
• Looking at this contest's moneyline, the Lions' implied win probability is 58.7%.

Lions Stats

Detroit's Key Players

Offense

• Jared Goff has 2,174 passing yards (eighth in the NFL), 12 touchdowns and five interceptions this year. He has completed 68.3% of his attempts, averaging 271.8 yards per game and 7.4 per attempt.
• To go along with his passing statistics, Goff has 13 rushing yards (fifth on the Lions), with two rushing touchdowns.
• Amon-Ra St. Brown has 57 receptions (10th in the NFL) for 665 yards (ninth in the NFL) and three TDs. In seven games, he is averaging 8.1 catches and 95.0 yards per game.
• Through five games, David Montgomery has amassed 385 rushing yards, averaging 77.0 yards per game and scoring six touchdowns.
• Montgomery has totaled six catches on 10 targets for 66 yards, but he has not scored a receiving touchdown.
• In the ground game, Jahmyr Gibbs averages 5.3 yards per attempt (third in the NFL) and 66.5 yards per game for 399 total rushing yards. He has scored two rushing touchdowns this season.
• Gibbs has been targeted 33 times to the tune of 28 catches, 165 yards and zero TDs.

Defense

• Over on the defensive side, Alex Anzalone has 57 tackles, 5.0 TFL, three sacks, and four passes defended in 2023.
• Aidan Hutchinson has picked off one pass and has added 23 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and four passes defended.
• Jerry Jacobs has put up three interceptions (fourth in the NFL) and has added 33 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and five passes defended.
• Brian Branch has one interception while tacking on 33 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and four passes defended.

Los Angeles Betting Info

• Los Angeles has covered the spread three times this year (3-4-1).
• This season, the Chargers are winless ATS when entering a game as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
• Los Angeles games have gone over the total twice this year.
• The Chargers have lost both games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Los Angeles has played as an underdog of +120 or more once this season and lost that game.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 45.5% chance of a victory for the Chargers.

Chargers Stats

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

• Justin Herbert is averaging 7.2 passing yards per attempt (13th in the NFL) and 253.3 yards per game this year, completing 67.0% of his passes on the way to 2,026 total yards, 13 touchdowns (ninth in the NFL) and four interceptions through eight games.
• He's added 98 yards on the ground (third on the Chargers), while scoring three rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 12.3 yards per game and 3.1 per attempt.
• Keenan Allen has put together a 2023 stat sheet that includes 62 catches (sixth in the NFL) for 720 yards (seventh in the NFL) and four receiving touchdowns through eight games played. He has been on the receiving end of 83 targets and is averaging 7.8 receptions per game.
• This season through five games, Austin Ekeler has racked up 265 rushing yards (second on the Chargers) and scored three rushing touchdowns. He averages 53.0 yards per game and 3.6 per attempt (33rd in the NFL).
• Ekeler has helped out in the passing attack, putting up 200 receiving yards (40.0 per game) on 18 catches (3.6 per game), while being targeted 28 times. He has one receiving touchdown.
• Joshua Kelley puts up 40.4 rushing yards per game over eight games (323 total yards), with two rushing touchdowns.

Defense

• In 2023, Khalil Mack has recorded 30 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and nine sacks through eight games.
• Kenneth Murray has 60 tackles, 6.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception. He leads the Chargers in tackles.
• Joey Bosa has 6.5 sacks (second on the Chargers) as well as 5.0 TFL and 19 tackles in the 2023 season.
• Derwin James has intercepted one pass in addition to 47 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three passes defended.

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