Lions vs. Commanders 2024 Divisional Round Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 18

Updated Jan. 17, 2025 12:43 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Detroit Lions and Washington Commanders will match up in the NFC Divisional round of the 2024 NFL Playoffs. The Lions are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -9.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 55.5.

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Lions vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Lines

Lions vs Commanders Betting Information updated as of January 16, 2025, 3:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Lions	-9.5	-110	-121	55.5	-110	-110

Lions vs. Commanders Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Lions (-9.5)
Pick OU: Under (55.5)
Prediction: Lions 33 - Commanders 19

How to Watch Detroit vs. Washington

Game Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
Time: 8 p.m. ET
Venue: Ford Field
Location: Detroit, Michigan
TV: Watch on FOX
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Lions vs. Commanders Recent Matchups

Detroit has a 4-1 record against Washington in their last five matchups.
Over their last five head-to-head contests, Detroit has put up 136 points, while Washington has accumulated 108.

Detroit Betting Info

Against the spread, Detroit is 12-4-1 this season.
The Lions have covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 9.5-point favorites.
Detroit contests this year have gone over the point total 52.9% of the time (nine times in 17 games with a set point total).
The Lions have won 87.5% of the time they have played as the moneyline favorite (14-2).
The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Lions an 82.4% chance to win.

Lions Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	263.2 (4,474)	2
Rush yards	146.4 (2,488)	6
Points scored	33.2 (564)	1
Pass yards against	244 (4,148)	30
Rush yards against	98.4 (1,672)	5
Points allowed	20.1 (342)	7

Detroit's Key Players

Offense

Jared Goff has 4,629 passing yards (second in the NFL), 37 touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) and 12 interceptions this year. He has completed 72.4% of his passes, averaging 272.3 yards per game and 8.6 per attempt.
Jahmyr Gibbs averages 5.6 yards per carry (fifth in the NFL) and 83.1 yards per game, and has 1,412 total rushing yards (fifth in the NFL). He has scored 16 rushing TDs this season.
Gibbs has 52 receptions on 63 targets for 517 yards. He has four receiving TDs.
Through 17 games played, Amon-Ra St. Brown is averaging 74.3 yards and 6.8 receptions per game to total 1,263 receiving yards (fifth in the NFL) and 115 catches (second in the NFL). He's been targeted 141 times, and has 12 receiving touchdowns (third in the NFL).
David Montgomery has run for 775 yards, averaging 55.4 yards per game and scoring 12 touchdowns.
Montgomery's 38 receiving targets have resulted in 36 receptions (2.6 per game) for 341 yards (24.4 per game) and zero TDs.

Defense

On the defensive side, Brian Branch has 109 tackles, eight TFL, one sack, and four interceptions in 2024.
Jack Campbell has 1.5 sacks to go with five TFL and 125 tackles.
Kerby Joseph has recorded 82 tackles, one TFL, and nine interceptions this year.
This season, Za'Darius Smith has 35 tackles, nine TFL, and nine sacks.

Washington Betting Info

Washington posted a record of 10-7-0 against the spread during the regular season. Against the spread in the playoffs, it is 1-0-0.
There were 11 Washington games (out of 17) that went over the total in the regular season. In the postseason, zero of one Washington games have exceeded the point total.
In the regular season, the Commanders were underdogs six times and won three of those games. They have gone 1-0 in the playoffs.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 21.7% chance of a victory for the Commanders.

Commanders Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	215.6 (3,665)	17
Rush yards	154.1 (2,619)	3
Points scored	28.5 (485)	5
Pass yards against	189.8 (3,227)	3
Rush yards against	137.1 (2,331)	29
Points allowed	23 (391)	18

Washington's Key Players

Offense

Jayden Daniels has passed for 3,568 yards this year, with 25 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and nine interceptions. He is completing 69% of his attempts while averaging 209.9 yards per game and 7.4 per attempt.
He's added 891 yards on the ground (first on the Commanders), with six rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 52.4 yards per game and 6 per attempt.
Terry McLaurin has put together a 2024 campaign that includes 82 catches for 1,096 yards and 13 receiving touchdowns (second in the NFL) through 17 games played. He has been on the receiving end of 117 targets and is averaging 4.8 receptions per game.
Brian Robinson Jr. is averaging 57.1 rushing yards per game this season (799 total yards), while scoring eight rushing touchdowns.
In addition to his ground game, Robinson has grabbed 20 passes (on 25 targets) for 159 yards (eighth on the Commanders). He averages 11.4 yards per game.
Zach Ertz has 66 catches for 654 yards and seven receiving touchdowns. He averages 3.9 yards per game through 17 games and has been targeted 91 times.

Defense

Frankie Luvu has put up eight sacks (second on the Commanders) to go with 12 TFL, 99 tackles, and one interception over 17 games in 2024.
Bobby Wagner's stat sheet includes 132 tackles, 10 TFL, two sacks, and four passes defended.
Over the 2024 campaign, Jeremy Chinn has 107 tackles, seven TFL, two sacks, and one interception in 17 games.
Mike Sainristil's stat sheet includes two interceptions as well as 90 tackles, one TFL, and 13 passes defended in 17 games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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