Lions vs. Saints Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 3

Published Nov. 29, 2023 11:25 a.m. ET

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The Detroit Lions (8-3) are considered favorites (-4) according to the bookmakers ahead of their game against the New Orleans Saints (5-6) on December 3, 2023, starting at 1:00 PM ET, airing on FOX. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 46.

Lions vs. Saints Odds & Betting Lines

Lions vs. Saints Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: New Orleans (+4)
  
• Pick OU: Under (46)
  
• Prediction: Detroit 24 - New Orleans 21

How to Watch Detroit vs. New Orleans

• Game Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Caesars Superdome
• Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
• TV: Watch on FOX

Lions vs. Saints Recent Matchups

• Detroit has a 3-2 record against New Orleans in their last five matchups.
• Detroit has been outpaced by 7 points in its last five tilts versus New Orleans.

Detroit Betting Info

• Detroit has played 11 games, posting seven wins against the spread.
• The Lions have covered the spread twice this season (2-3 ATS) when playing as at least 4-point favorites.
• Detroit games this year have hit the over on seven of 11 set point totals (63.6%).
• When playing as moneyline favorites, the Lions are 7-2 (winning 77.8% of the time).
• Detroit is 3-2 (winning 60% of its games) when it have played as a moneyline favorite of -205 or shorter.
• The Lions have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 67.2%.

Lions Stats

Detroit's Key Players

Offense

• Jared Goff has passed for 3,075 yards (fifth in the NFL), 18 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and eight interceptions this year. He averages 279.5 yards per game and 7.6 per attempt, while completing 67.9% of his passes.
• In addition to his passing stats, Goff also has 23 rushing yards (fifth on the Lions), with two rushing touchdowns.
• Amon-Ra St. Brown has 82 receptions (fourth in the NFL) for 993 yards (sixth in the NFL) and five TDs. In 10 games, he is averaging 8.2 catches and 99.3 yards per game.
• David Montgomery has 648 rushing yards with nine touchdowns (81.0 yards per game through eight games).
• Montgomery has recorded eight receptions, 88 yards and zero TDs in the passing game.
• Jahmyr Gibbs has rushed for 566 yards with five touchdowns (62.9 yards per game through nine games).
• He has added 41 catches (on 52 targets) for 278 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He's averaging 30.9 receiving yards and 4.6 receptions per game.

Defense

• Over on defense, Alex Anzalone has 87 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks in 2023. His tackle total leads the Lions.
• Aidan Hutchinson has 34 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 5.5 sacks, and one interception this season.
• This season, Jerry Jacobs has put up 2.0 TFL, 47 tackles, and three interceptions.
• So far this season, Brian Branch has 51 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and one interception.

New Orleans Betting Info

• New Orleans has registered a win-loss record of 2-8-1 against the spread this season.
• This season, three New Orleans games have gone over the point total.
• The Saints won the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
• New Orleans has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +170 moneyline set for this game.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 37.0% chance of a victory for the Saints.

Saints Stats

New Orleans' Key Players

Offense

• In 11 games played this year, Derek Carr has racked up 2,535 passing yards, while throwing 10 touchdowns against five interceptions and completing 65.6% of his passes.
• Alvin Kamara has scored two rushing touchdowns, while totaling 457 rushing yards (3.8 per attempt and 57.1 per game).
• Kamara has also collected 355 receiving yards (44.4 per game) on 54 catches (6.8 per game). He's been targeted 61 times and has caught one touchdown pass.
• In 11 games played this season, Chris Olave has 63 catches (5.7 receptions per game on 9.4 targets per game) for 771 yards and three receiving touchdowns.
• He has added 287 rushing yards (second on the Saints), while scoring three touchdowns on the ground (averaging 26.1 yards per game and 5.0 per carry).

Defense

• Demario Davis' 2023 output includes 79 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and four sacks through 11 games. He leads the Saints in tackles.
• Carl Granderson has totaled 5.5 sacks in addition to his 10.0 TFL and 54 tackles over 11 games.
• Paulson Adebo has recorded 40 tackles and four interceptions in the 2023 campaign.
• Pete Werner's season stats include 67 tackles, 1.0 TFL, 0.5 sacks, and one interception in 11 games. He is second on the Saints in tackles.

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