Lions vs. Vikings Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 24

Published Dec. 20, 2023 1:04 p.m. ET

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The Detroit Lions (10-4) and Minnesota Vikings (7-7) will play each other in a matchup of two division rivals. The Lions are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The expected point total for the game is 47.

Lions vs. Vikings Odds & Betting Lines

Lions vs. Vikings Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Minnesota (+3)
  
• Pick OU: Under (47)
  
• Prediction: Detroit 24 - Minnesota 23

How to Watch Detroit vs. Minnesota

• Game Date: Sunday, December 24, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: Watch on FOX

Lions vs. Vikings Recent Matchups

• Minnesota owns a 4-1 record against Detroit in their last five matchups.
• Detroit has been outpaced by 36 points in its last five tilts versus Minnesota.

Detroit Betting Info

• Detroit has nine wins in 14 games versus the spread this season.
• The Lions have covered the spread six times this season (6-4 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
• Detroit games this year have hit the over on nine of 14 set point totals (64.3%).
• The Lions have won 75% of the time they have played as moneyline favorites (9-3).
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -166 or shorter, Detroit has a 6-3 record (winning 66.7% of its games).
• The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Lions a 62.4% chance to win.

Lions Stats

Detroit's Key Players

Offense

• Jared Goff has passed for 3,727 yards (third in the NFL), 26 touchdowns (third in the NFL) and 10 interceptions this year. He is averaging 266.2 yards per game and 7.5 per attempt, while completing 67.1% of his passes.
• To go along with his passing statistics, Goff also has 21 rushing yards (sixth on the Lions), with two rushing touchdowns.
• Amon-Ra St. Brown has 94 receptions (sixth in the NFL) for 1,175 yards (fifth in the NFL) and seven TDs. Through 13 games, he is averaging 7.2 catches and 90.4 yards per game.
• Jahmyr Gibbs' output on the ground this season includes 792 yards and seven TDs. He's averaging 66 yards per game and 5.7 per attempt (first in the NFL).
• Gibbs has gotten 60 targets in the passing game and has 47 catches (3.9 per game) for 296 yards (24.7 per game) and one TD.
• David Montgomery has rushed for 855 yards (seventh in the NFL) with 10 touchdowns (77.7 yards per game across 11 games).

Defense

• On the defensive side, Alex Anzalone has 108 tackles, six TFL, and three sacks in 2023. His tackle total leads the Lions.
• Aidan Hutchinson has picked off one pass and added 42 tackles, seven TFL, 6.5 sacks, and six passes defended.
• Brian Branch has recorded 63 tackles, seven TFL, and two interceptions this year.
• This season, Kerby Joseph has 61 tackles, one TFL, and two interceptions. He's fifth on the Lions in tackles.

Minnesota Betting Info

• Minnesota is 7-4-3 against the spread this year.
• The Vikings have an against the spread record of 3-1-2 in their six games when underdogs by 3 points or more this year.
• This season, four Minnesota games have gone over the point total.
• This season, the Vikings have been the underdog seven times and won three of those games.
• This season, Minnesota has won two of its five games when it is the underdog by at least +140 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 41.7% chance of a victory for the Vikings.

Vikings Stats

Minnesota's Key Players

Offense

• Joshua Dobbs is averaging 5.9 passing yards per attempt (29th in the NFL) and 189.5 yards per game this year, completing 62.8% of his passes on the way to 2,464 total yards, 13 touchdowns and 10 interceptions through 13 games.
• Dobbs has also rushed for six touchdowns and 421 yards (second on the Vikings).
• Jordan Addison has put together a 2023 campaign that includes 62 catches for 824 yards and nine receiving touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) in 14 games played. He has been on the receiving end of 91 targets and is averaging 4.4 receptions per game.
• T.J. Hockenson has registered 902 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 91 receptions (eighth in the NFL), while being targeted 123 times on the season.
• Alexander Mattison has 660 rushing yards (leading the Vikings), without scoring a rushing touchdown, while averaging 50.8 yards per game and 3.9 per carry (28th in the NFL).
• Mattison has also tacked on 27 catches (2.1 per game) for 174 yards (13.4 per game) and three receiving touchdowns. He has been on the receiving end of 41 targets.

Defense

• Danielle Hunter's 2023 output includes 67 tackles, 21 TFL, and 15.5 sacks in 14 games.
• Josh Metellus has 89 tackles, six TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception. He is second on the Vikings in tackles.
• Camryn Bynum has 112 tackles, two TFL, 0.5 sacks, and two interceptions in the 2023 season. He leads the Vikings in tackles.
• D.J. Wonnum has put up eight sacks (second on the Vikings) to go with seven TFL and 56 tackles through 14 games.

Jared Allen reveals why Danielle Hunter, Minnesota Vikings excel at pass rushing | NFL on FOX Pod

Former Minnesota Vikings Defensive End Jared Allen joins Dave Helman on a special episode! Within the conversation, the duo talk about how Danielle Hunter has been so impactful for the Minnesota Vikings and why he's been able to be so impressive for the Skol. They also make sure to discuss why the Vikings have been so historically good at the pass rusher position.

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