Lions vs. Vikings Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 7

Published Jan. 3, 2024 1:09 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Having lost three straight, the Minnesota Vikings (7-9) will take on the Detroit Lions (11-5). The Lions are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The over/under for this one is set at 45 points.

Lions vs. Vikings Odds & Betting Lines

Lions vs Vikings Betting Information updated as of January 2, 2024, 3:33 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Lions	-3	-110	-110	45	-110	-110

Lions vs. Vikings Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Detroit (-3)
Pick OU: Over (45)
Prediction: Detroit 28 - Minnesota 18

How to Watch Detroit vs. Minnesota

Game Date: Sunday, January 7, 2024
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Ford Field
Location: Detroit, Michigan
TV: Watch on FOX

Lions vs. Vikings Recent Matchups

Minnesota owns a 3-2 record against Detroit in their last five matchups.
Detroit has been outscored by 12 points in its last five tilts against Minnesota.

Detroit Betting Info

Against the spread, Detroit is 11-5-0 this season.
When playing as at least 3-point favorites this season, the Lions have an ATS record of 6-4.
Detroit games this year have gone over the total in 10 out of 16 opportunities (62.5%).
The Lions have won 76.9% of the time they have played as moneyline favorites (10-3).
Detroit has gone 5-3 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -170 or shorter (62.5%).
Looking at this contest's moneyline, the Lions' implied win probability is 63.0%.

Lions Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	255.6 (4,090)	3
Rush yards	140.1 (2,241)	4
Points scored	26.9 (431)	5
Pass yards against	240.4 (3,846)	25
Rush yards against	88.8 (1,420)	5
Points allowed	23.4 (375)	23

Detroit's Key Players

Offense

Jared Goff has passed for 4,255 yards (third in the NFL), 28 touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) and 12 interceptions this year. He averages 265.9 yards per game and 7.4 per attempt, while completing 67.0% of his attempts.
He has also rushed for 21 yards (seventh on the Lions) and added two touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 1.3 rushing yards per game.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's 1,371 receiving yards this season (fifth in the NFL) have come from 154 targets and 112 receptions (second in the NFL). He's averaging 91.4 receiving yards and 7.5 catches per game, with nine receiving touchdowns (fifth in the NFL).
David Montgomery has 975 rushing yards (seventh in the NFL) with 12 touchdowns (75.0 yards per game across 13 games).
Jahmyr Gibbs has rushed for 915 yards with nine touchdowns (65.4 yards per game through 14 games).
Gibbs has been targeted 70 times and turned those targets into 52 catches, 316 yards and one TD.

Defense

On the defensive side for the Lions, Alex Anzalone has put up 120 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and three sacks in 2023.
Aidan Hutchinson has 47 tackles, 11.0 TFL, 9.5 sacks, and one interception this season.
Brian Branch has recorded 73 tackles, 7.0 TFL, one sack, and three interceptions this year. He's fifth on the Lions in tackles.
Kerby Joseph has four interceptions (seventh in the NFL) while also adding 76 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 11 passes defended.

Minnesota Betting Info

Minnesota have registered a 7-6-3 record against the spread this year.
This year, the Vikings have an against-the-spread record of 3-1-2 in their six games as an underdog of 3 points or more.
Minnesota games have gone over the total six times this season.
The Vikings have been underdogs in eight games this season and won three (37.5%) of those contests.
This season, Minnesota has won two of its four games when it is the underdog by at least +142 on the moneyline.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 41.3% chance of a victory for the Vikings.

Vikings Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	250.0 (4,000)	6
Rush yards	91.5 (1,464)	27
Points scored	20.3 (324)	22
Pass yards against	229.7 (3,675)	18
Rush yards against	100.5 (1,608)	9
Points allowed	20.8 (332)	12

Minnesota's Key Players

Offense

Joshua Dobbs is averaging 5.9 passing yards per attempt (30th in the NFL) and 189.5 yards per game this year, completing 62.8% of his passes on the way to 2,464 total yards, 13 touchdowns and 10 interceptions through 13 games.
He's added 421 yards on the ground (second on the Vikings), while scoring six rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 32.4 yards per game and 5.5 per attempt.
Jordan Addison has 854 receiving yards and nine touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) on 66 receptions, while being targeted 100 times.
Justin Jefferson has totaled 882 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 56 receptions, while being targeted 86 times this season.
Alexander Mattison is scoreless on the ground, but has rushed for 676 total yards (3.9 per carry and 45.1 per game).
Mattison has also caught 29 passes for 187 yards (sixth on the Vikings), with three receiving touchdowns. He's been targeted 43 times and averages 12.5 yards per game.

Defense

So far in 2023, Danielle Hunter has recorded 15.5 sacks to go with 21.0 TFL and 77 tackles through 16 games. He ranks fifth in the NFL in sacks.
Camryn Bynum has two interceptions on top of 130 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 0.5 sacks, and nine passes defended.
Josh Metellus has 2.5 sacks (fifth on the Vikings) in addition to his 7.0 TFL, 106 tackles, and one interception.
Jordan Hicks' season stats include 100 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception through 12 games. He is third on the Vikings in tackles.

Lions GW play called back by penalty in Cowboys 20-19 Week 17 win | Undisputed

Skip Bayless, Michael Irvin and Richard Sherman break down the controversial penalty to wipe out Taylor Decker's game-winning touchdown for the Detroit Lions. Instead, the Dallas Cowboys held on to win 20-19 and clinch a playoff berth.