New England Patriots Win Total Over/Under Odds and 2023 Schedule Insights

Updated Sep. 12, 2023 9:32 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

After posting an 8-9 record last season, the New England Patriots' over/under of 6.5 wins suggests a small decline is coming in 2023. At +6620, the New England Patriots are No. 20 in the NFL in terms of odds to win the Super Bowl currently. In terms of reaching the postseason, they are priced at +340.

Patriots Postseason Odds

Odds to Make the Playoffs: +340
Odds to Win the AFC East: +1133
Odds to Win the Super Bowl: +6620

Patriots: Win Total Odds & Over/Under

Over/Under	Over Payout	Under Payout
6.5	-138	+115

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Patriots Last Year Performance

The Patriots' 8-9 record last year was not good enough to qualify for the playoffs.
New England went 4-4 at home last year and 4-5 away from home.
As underdogs the Patriots had only one victory (1-8). As favorites they went 7-1.
In the AFC East New England was 3-3, and in the conference overall went 6-6.
The Patriots were 4-4 in one-possession games, and they won two games decided by a field goal or less (2-1).
New England played five island games last season, and held a 1-4 record in those contests.
While the Patriots failed to pick up a win in one game when they were favored by more than seven points last season, they were 7-0 when favored by seven points or fewer.
Although New England had one win as an underdog by seven or fewer points last season (1-6), the Patriots were winless in two games when underdogs by more than seven points.

Patriots Strength of Schedule

The Patriots will face the fourth-toughest schedule in the NFL, based on their opponents' combined win total last year (156).
The Patriots will face the eighth-hardest schedule in the NFL, based on our predictions.
New England will face the eighth-toughest schedule in the NFL, based on its opponents' projected win total this season (151).
The Patriots have 10 games scheduled against teams that put up winning records in 2022, including five teams that had 12 or more wins and two with less than six wins last year.
While New England was winless in one game when favored by more than seven points last season, it was 7-0 when favored by seven or fewer points.

Patriots Offseason Additions and Losses

Draft Results

Name	Pick	Round	Position	College
Christian Gonzalez	17	1	DB	Oregon
Keion White	46	2	DL	Georgia Tech
Marte Mapu	76	3	DB	Sacramento State
Jake Andrews	107	4	OL	Troy
Chad Ryland	112	4	K	Maryland
Sidy Sow	117	4	OL	Eastern Michigan
Atonio Mafi	144	5	OL	UCLA
Kayshon Boutte	187	6	WR	LSU
Bryce Baringer	192	6	P	Michigan State
Demario Douglas	210	6	WR	Liberty
Ameer Speed	214	6	CB	Michigan State
Isaiah Bolden	245	7	CB	Jackson State