Packers vs. Bears 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 17

Packers vs. Bears 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 17

Updated Nov. 17, 2024 12:49 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Green Bay Packers (6-3) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6) over the Chicago Bears (4-5). The Bears have lost three games straight. The total for this one is set at 40.5 points.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

Tom Brady previews Packers vs. Bears, talks Chiefs' dominance | FOX NFL Sunday

Tom Brady joined "FOX NFL Sunday" to preview the Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears and spoke about the Kansas City Chiefs' dominance this season.
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Packers vs. Bears Odds & Betting Lines

Packers vs Bears Betting Information updated as of November 17, 2024, 11:33 a.m. ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Packers -6 -115 -105 40.5 -112 -108

Packers vs. Bears Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Packers (-6)
  • Pick OU: Over (40.5)
  • Prediction: Packers 26 - Bears 17

How to Watch Green Bay vs. Chicago

  • Game Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • TV: Watch on FOX
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read More NFL Predictions For This Week

Packers vs. Bears Recent Matchups

  • In their past five head-to-head matchups, Green Bay has beaten Chicago five times.
  • In their last five head-to-head matchups, Green Bay has tallied 155 points versus Chicago, while surrendering only 88 points.

Green Bay Betting Info

  • Green Bay has four wins in nine games versus the spread this season.
  • Green Bay contests this year have hit the over 44.4% of the time (four times in nine games with a set point total).
  • The Packers have won 80% of the time they have played as moneyline favorites (4-1).
  • The Packers have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 72.1%.

Packers Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 235.8 (2,122) 7
Rush yards 154.8 (1,393) 3
Points scored 25.6 (230) 11
Pass yards against 207 (1,863) 15
Rush yards against 113 (1,017) 10
Points allowed 21.6 (194) 11

Green Bay's Key Players

Offense

  • Jordan Love has 1,820 passing yards, 15 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and 10 interceptions this year. He has completed 61.3% of his attempts, averaging 260 yards per game and 7.6 per attempt.
  • Josh Jacobs averages 4.8 yards per carry (13th in the NFL) and 84.7 yards per game, and has 762 total rushing yards (fourth in the NFL). He has scored three rushing TDs this season.
  • Jacobs' 24 targets in the passing game have resulted in 19 catches (2.1 per game) for 128 yards (14.2 per game) and one touchdown.
  • In nine games played, Jayden Reed is averaging 68.9 yards and four receptions per game on the way to 620 receiving yards (10th in the NFL) and 36 catches. He's been targeted 47 times, and has three receiving touchdowns.
  • Tucker Kraft has 28 catches for 376 yards and five touchdowns. He's been targeted 39 times in the air attack, and averages 3.1 receptions and 41.8 yards in nine games played.

Defense

  • Over on defense, Xavier McKinney has six interceptions (first in the NFL) to go with 40 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and seven passes defended in 2024.
  • Quay Walker has 64 tackles, four TFL, and 1.5 sacks this season.
  • This season, Edgerrin Cooper has recorded 2.5 sacks (second on the Packers) to go with five TFL and 40 tackles.
  • So far this season, Keisean Nixon has 42 tackles, four TFL, and two sacks.

Chicago Betting Info

  • Chicago has put together a 4-4-1 record against the spread this year.
  • The Bears have been underdogs by 6 points or more one time this season and have not covered the spread once.
  • Chicago's games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under three times this season.
  • The Bears have entered the game as underdogs five times this season and won once.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 32.3% chance of a victory for the Bears.

Bears Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 170.2 (1,532) 30
Rush yards 107.4 (967) 25
Points scored 19.4 (175) 25
Pass yards against 190.4 (1,714) 7
Rush yards against 133 (1,197) 24
Points allowed 18.6 (167) 7

Chicago's Key Players

Offense

  • Through nine games played this year, Caleb Williams has racked up 1,785 passing yards, while throwing nine touchdowns against five interceptions and completing 60.5% of his attempts.
  • On the ground, Williams has added 230 rushing yards (second on the Bears).
  • D'Andre Swift averages 62.7 rushing yards per game over nine games (564 total yards), while scoring four rushing touchdowns.
  • Swift has also collected 230 receiving yards (25.6 per game) on 26 catches (2.9 per game). He's been targeted 30 times and is still looking for his first receiving touchdown.
  • D.J. Moore has totaled 398 receiving yards and three touchdowns on 40 receptions, while being targeted 66 times on the season.
  • Cole Kmet has been targeted 34 times, resulting in 29 catches for 316 yards .

Defense

  • So far in 2024, T.J. Edwards has amassed one sack to go with four TFL, 72 tackles, and one interception over nine games.
  • Kevin Byard has 62 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and one interception. He is second on the Bears in tackles.
  • Tremaine Edmunds has intercepted one pass on top of 53 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and four passes defended during the 2024 season.
  • Gervon Dexter has four sacks (first on the Bears) as well as three TFL and 29 tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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