Packers vs. Buccaneers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 17

Packers vs. Buccaneers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 17

Published Dec. 13, 2023 1:03 p.m. ET

The Green Bay Packers (6-7) are considered favorites (-3.5) according to the point spread ahead of their game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-7) on December 17, 2023, starting at 1:00 PM ET, airing on CBS. The over/under for this one is set at 42 points.

Packers vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Lines

Packers vs Buccaneers Betting Information updated as of December 13, 2023, 12:33 PM ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Packers -3.5 -105 -115 42 -108 -112
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Packers vs. Buccaneers Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Pick Em
  • Pick OU: Under (42)
  • Prediction: Green Bay 22 - Tampa Bay 19

How to Watch Green Bay vs. Tampa Bay

  • Game Date: Sunday, December 17, 2023
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Lambeau Field
  • Location: Green Bay, Wisconsin
  • TV: Watch on CBS

Packers vs. Buccaneers Recent Matchups

  • In their last five head-to-head contests, Green Bay has won against Tampa Bay four times.
  • In their last five head-to-head matchups, Green Bay has compiled 123 points against Tampa Bay, while giving up only 99 points.

Green Bay Betting Info

  • Green Bay has seven wins in 13 games versus the spread this season.
  • The Packers have been favored by 3.5 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
  • Green Bay contests this year have eclipsed the over/under 53.8% of the time (seven times in 13 games with a set point total).
  • When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Packers are 1-2 (winning 33.3% of the time).
  • Green Bay has played as a moneyline favorite of -180 or shorter in just two games this season, and it split 1-1.
  • The Packers have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 64.3%.

Packers Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 223.0 (2,899) 18
Rush yards 106.3 (1,382) 19
Points scored 21.5 (280) 17
Pass yards against 200.2 (2,603) 8
Rush yards against 141.8 (1,844) 31
Points allowed 20.5 (267) 11

Green Bay's Key Players

Offense

  • Jordan Love has 3,084 passing yards, 23 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and 11 interceptions this year. He has completed 61.5% of his passes, averaging 237.2 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt.
  • To go along with his passing stats, Love has 233 rushing yards (third on the Packers), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Jayden Reed's 540 receiving yards this season have come from 74 targets and 48 receptions. He's averaging 41.5 receiving yards and 3.7 catches per game, with five receiving touchdowns.
  • In the passing game, Romeo Doubs, has totaled 537 receiving yards and seven touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) after hauling in 49 balls on 81 targets. Per game, he's averaging 41.3 yards and 3.8 receptions over 13 games.
  • A.J. Dillon has rushed for 574 yards with one touchdown (44.2 yards per game across 13 games).
  • Dillon has been targeted 28 times and turned those targets into 22 catches, 223 yards and zero TDs.

Defense

  • Over on defense, Rashan Gary has 36 tackles, 6.0 TFL, nine sacks, and one pass defended in 2023.
  • Quay Walker has 92 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and one interception this season. He leads the Packers in tackles.
  • Preston Smith has totaled 41 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 5.5 sacks this year.
  • This season, Isaiah McDuffie has 71 tackles and 4.0 TFL.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

  • Tampa Bay is 8-5-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Buccaneers have been underdogs by 3.5 points or more five times this year and are 4-1 ATS in those games.
  • Tampa Bay's games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this season.
  • This season, the Buccaneers have won three out of the nine games in which they've been the underdog.
  • Tampa Bay has a record of 2-3 when it is set as an underdog of +150 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 40.0% chance of a victory for the Buccaneers.

Buccaneers Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 214.4 (2,787) 20
Rush yards 90.0 (1,170) 29
Points scored 20.2 (262) 22
Pass yards against 264.1 (3,433) 30
Rush yards against 98.8 (1,284) 10
Points allowed 20.8 (270) 13

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

  • Baker Mayfield is averaging 6.7 passing yards per attempt (22nd in the NFL) and 225.7 yards per game this year, completing 62.6% of his passes on the way to 2,934 total yards, 20 touchdowns (ninth in the NFL) and eight interceptions through 13 games.
  • On the ground, Mayfield has added one rushing touchdown and 154 rushing yards (second on the Buccaneers).
  • Mike Evans has 1,020 receiving yards (10th in the NFL) and 10 touchdowns (second in the NFL) on 62 receptions, while being targeted 109 times.
  • Rachaad White has rushed for five touchdowns this year, and has totaled 745 rushing yards (57.3 per game and 3.7 per attempt).
  • White's offensive output includes 48 receptions (3.7 per game) on 53 targets for 419 yards (32.2 per game) and two receiving touchdowns.
  • Chris Godwin has been targeted 96 times, resulting in 58 catches for 659 yards .

Defense

  • Antoine Winfield Jr.'s 2023 effort includes 97 tackles, 4.0 TFL, four sacks, and two interceptions in 13 games. He leads the Buccaneers in tackles.
  • Lavonte David has totaled 3.0 sacks in addition to his 14.0 TFL and 96 tackles over 11 games.
  • In the 2023 campaign, Devin White has 69 tackles, 3.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception in 11 games.
  • Shaquil Barrett has intercepted one pass in addition to 46 tackles, 3.0 TFL, four sacks, and two passes defended.

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