Packers vs. Dolphins 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 28

Published Nov. 26, 2024 8:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Green Bay Packers (8-3) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5) over the Miami Dolphins (5-6), despite the Dolphins having taken three games in a row. The total for this one is set at 47 points.

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Packers vs. Dolphins Odds & Betting Lines

Packers vs Dolphins Betting Information updated as of November 25, 2024, 5:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Packers	-3.5	-105	-115	47	-108	-112

Packers vs. Dolphins Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Packers (-3.5)
Pick OU: Under (47)
Prediction: Packers 30 - Dolphins 14

How to Watch Green Bay vs. Miami

Game Date: Thursday, November 28, 2024
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Venue: Lambeau Field
Location: Green Bay, Wisconsin
TV: NBC
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Packers vs. Dolphins Recent Matchups

Green Bay has a 4-1 record against Miami in their last five matchups.
Miami has been outpaced by 35 points in its last five tilts against Green Bay.

Green Bay Betting Info

In 11 Green Bay games this season, it has five wins against the spread.
The Packers have covered the spread twice when favored by 3.5 points or more this season (in four opportunities).
Green Bay has combined with its opponent to gone over the point total in 45.5% of its contests this year (five times in 11 games with a set point total).
The Packers have put together a 6-1 record in games they played as the moneyline favorite (winning 85.7% of those games).
The Packers have a 63.6% chance to win this contest, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Packers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	230.7 (2,538)	11
Rush yards	151.6 (1,668)	3
Points scored	26.2 (288)	8
Pass yards against	206.5 (2,272)	11
Rush yards against	112.7 (1,240)	12
Points allowed	20.3 (223)	10

Green Bay's Key Players

Offense

On the ground, Josh Jacobs averages 4.7 yards per attempt (13th in the NFL) and 85.8 yards per game for 944 total rushing yards (third in the NFL). He has scored seven rushing touchdowns this season.
Jacobs has 30 targets, 23 receptions, 186 receiving yards and one TD through the air.
Jordan Love has 2,244 passing yards, 18 touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and 11 interceptions this year. He has completed 61.8% of his attempts, averaging 249.3 yards per game and 8.0 per attempt.
He has rushed for 48 yards (sixth on the Packers) and added one touchdown on the ground, while averaging 5.3 rushing yards per game.
In the passing attack, Jayden Reed, has contributed with 669 receiving yards and four touchdowns after hauling in 41 balls on 52 targets. Per game, he's averaging 60.8 yards and 3.7 receptions through 11 games.
Tucker Kraft averages 2.7 receptions and 36.5 yards per game, and has 402 total receiving yards and 30 catches. He's gotten 42 total targets, and has caught six touchdown passes (fifth in the NFL).

Defense

On defense, Xavier McKinney has 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL, 52 tackles, and seven interceptions in 2024.
Quay Walker has 79 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks this season. His tackle total leads the Packers.
Edgerrin Cooper has recorded 47 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks this year.
Keisean Nixon has 49 tackles, 4.0 TFL, two sacks, and three passes defended.

Miami Betting Info

Miami has covered the spread five times over 11 games with a set total.
This year, the Dolphins have one against-the-spread win in two games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more.
Games involving Miami have hit the over on five occasions this season.
This season, the Dolphins have been the underdog four times and won one of those games.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 40.8% chance of a victory for the Dolphins.

Dolphins Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	207.1 (2,278)	19
Rush yards	116.8 (1,285)	16
Points scored	19.5 (215)	24
Pass yards against	197.5 (2,173)	8
Rush yards against	106.9 (1,176)	9
Points allowed	21.5 (236)	11

Miami's Key Players

Offense

Devon Achane averages 51.1 rushing yards per game this year (562 total yards), while scoring three rushing touchdowns.
Achane has also been a piece of the passing game with 373 yards (33.9 per game) on 49 receptions (4.5 per game), while being targeted 55 times. He has five receiving touchdowns.
In seven games, Tua Tagovailoa has 1,760 passing yards, with 13 touchdowns against four interceptions and completing 73.3% of his attempts.
So far this season, Tyreek Hill has caught 49 passes for 571 receiving yards with three touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 73 total times and is averaging 4.5 receptions per game in 11 games played.
Jonnu Smith has 48 catches for 535 yards and four receiving touchdowns. He averages 4.4 yards per game through 11 games and has been targeted 63 times.

Defense

Jordyn Brooks has amassed 1.0 sack to go with 6.0 TFL and 94 tackles over 11 games in 2024.
Tyrel Dodson has 2.0 sacks (fifth on the Dolphins) to go with 5.0 TFL, 76 tackles, and one interception.
Calais Campbell has 4.0 sacks (first on the Dolphins) in addition to his 9.0 TFL and 34 tackles.
Zach Sieler's season stats include 31 tackles, 7.0 TFL, four sacks, and one interception in nine games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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