Packers vs. Giants Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 11
Published
Dec. 7, 2023 7:40 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
Having taken three straight, the Green Bay Packers (6-6) will face the New York Giants (4-8). The Packers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6.5). The expected point total for the game is 36.5.
Packers vs. Giants Odds & Betting Lines
Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Packers | -6.5 | -112 | -108 | 36.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Packers vs. Giants Prediction & Pick
- Pick ATS: Green Bay (-6.5)
- Pick OU: Over (36.5)
- Prediction: Green Bay 24 - New York 16
How to Watch Green Bay vs. New York
- Game Date: Monday, December 11, 2023
- Time: 8:15 PM ET
- Venue: MetLife Stadium
- Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey
- TV: Watch on ABC
Packers vs. Giants Recent Matchups
- Green Bay holds a 3-2 record against New York in their last five matchups.
- New York has been outscored by 31 points in its last five tilts against Green Bay.
Green Bay Betting Info
- Green Bay is 7-5-0 against the spread this season.
- Green Bay contests this year have gone over the point total 50% of the time (six times in 12 games with a set point total).
- The Packers have been moneyline favorites in two other matchups this season, and they split them.
- Green Bay has yet to play as a moneyline favorite of -285 or shorter.
- Looking at this contest's moneyline, the Packers' implied win probability is 74.0%.
Packers Stats
Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
---|---|---|
Pass yards | 224.7 (2,696) | 18 |
Rush yards | 104.9 (1,259) | 20 |
Points scored | 21.5 (258) | 18 |
Pass yards against | 203.8 (2,445) | 10 |
Rush yards against | 136.3 (1,635) | 30 |
Points allowed | 20.3 (243) | 9 |
Green Bay's Key Players
Offense
- Jordan Love has 2,866 passing yards through 12 games this year, averaging 238.8 per game with a 61.3% completion percentage and 22 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) against 10 interceptions.
- He has also rushed for 231 yards (third on the Packers) and added two touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 19.3 rushing yards per game.
- Jayden Reed has caught 40 passes on 64 targets for 513 total yards and five touchdowns. He is averaging 3.3 catches and 42.8 yards per game through 12 games.
- In 12 games played, Romeo Doubs is averaging 42.1 yards and 3.8 receptions per game to total 505 receiving yards and 45 catches. He's been targeted 74 times, and has seven receiving touchdowns (fifth in the NFL).
- In the running game, A.J. Dillon averages 3.5 yards per attempt (39th in the NFL) and 43.4 yards per game for 521 total rushing yards. He has recorded one rushing touchdown this season.
- Dillon has been targeted 25 times to the tune of 20 receptions, 198 yards and zero TDs.
Defense
- On defense for the Packers, Rashan Gary has racked up 34 tackles, six TFL, and nine sacks in 2023.
- Quay Walker has five TFL, 92 tackles, and one interception.
- Preston Smith has put up 40 tackles, three TFL, 5.5 sacks, and four passes defended.
- This season, Isaiah McDuffie has 64 tackles and three TFL. He's second on the Packers in tackles.
New York Betting Info
- New York have compiled a 4-7-1 record against the spread this season.
- The Giants have covered the spread twice this season when underdogs by 6.5 points or more (in five chances).
- New York games have gone over the total three times this year.
- The Giants have entered the game as underdogs 11 times this season and won three, or 27.3%, of those games.
- This season, New York has won one of its five games when it is the underdog by at least +230 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 30.3% chance of a victory for the Giants.
Giants Stats
Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
---|---|---|
Pass yards | 151.6 (1,819) | 32 |
Rush yards | 107.1 (1,285) | 18 |
Points scored | 13.3 (159) | 31 |
Pass yards against | 228.3 (2,739) | 20 |
Rush yards against | 136.1 (1,633) | 28 |
Points allowed | 24.3 (292) | 26 |
New York's Key Players
Offense
- Saquon Barkley averages 77.4 rushing yards per game this year (697 total yards), while scoring one rushing touchdown.
- Barkley has also been a part of the receiving game with 168 yards (18.7 per game) on 28 receptions (3.1 per game), while being targeted 40 times. He has four receiving touchdowns.
- In five games, Tommy DeVito has 697 passing yards, while throwing seven touchdowns against three interceptions and completing 62.9% of his passes.
- DeVito also has one rushing touchdown and 83 rushing yards (fifth on the Giants).
- Through 12 games played this season, Darius Slayton has 32 catches (2.7 receptions per game on 4.4 targets per game) for 435 yards and one receiving touchdown.
- Wan'Dale Robinson has 265 receiving yards and one touchdown from 36 receptions after getting 45 targets.
Defense
- Bobby Okereke has amassed nine TFL, 113 tackles, and two interceptions over 12 games in 2023.
- Kayvon Thibodeaux has totaled 11 sacks in addition to his 12 TFL and 36 tackles over 11 games. He's ninth in the NFL in sacks.
- Micah McFadden has 0.5 sacks (fifth on the Giants) as well as 11 TFL, 71 tackles, and one interception in the 2023 season.
- Xavier McKinney's season stats include 86 tackles, one TFL, and one interception in 12 games. He is second on the Giants in tackles.
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