Packers vs. Saints 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 23

Packers vs. Saints 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 23

Updated Dec. 22, 2024 12:43 a.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Green Bay Packers (10-4) are favored by 14 points against the New Orleans Saints (5-9) on December 23, 2024, starting at 8:15 p.m. ET, airing on ESPN. The matchup has an over/under of 42 points.

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Packers vs. Saints Odds & Betting Lines

Packers vs Saints Betting Information updated as of December 21, 2024, 5:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Packers -14 -110 -110 42 -112 -108

Packers vs. Saints Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Packers (-14)
  • Pick OU: Over (42)
  • Prediction: Packers 32 - Saints 14

How to Watch Green Bay vs. New Orleans

  • Game Date: Monday, December 23, 2024
  • Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Lambeau Field
  • Location: Green Bay, Wisconsin
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read More NFL Predictions For This Week

Packers vs. Saints Recent Matchups

  • Over their last five meetings, New Orleans has collected three wins versus Green Bay.
  • Green Bay has been outpaced by 63 points in its last five tilts against New Orleans.

Green Bay Betting Info

  • Green Bay is 7-6-1 against the spread this season.
  • Green Bay games this year have gone over the total in six out of 14 opportunities (42.9%).
  • When playing as moneyline favorites, the Packers are 8-1, picking up a win 88.9% of the time.
  • The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Packers a 90.5% chance to win.

Packers Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 231.4 (3,240) 11
Rush yards 144.4 (2,021) 4
Points scored 27.1 (379) 7
Pass yards against 215.4 (3,016) 14
Rush yards against 105 (1,470) 9
Points allowed 20.5 (287) 8

Green Bay's Key Players

Offense

  • Josh Jacobs has totaled 1,147 rushing yards (third in the NFL) with 12 touchdowns (81.9 yards per game across 14 games). His 4.3 yards per attempt rank 22nd in the NFL.
  • Jacobs has been targeted 38 times in the passing game and has 31 catches (2.2 per game) for 302 yards (21.6 per game) and one TD.
  • Jordan Love has passed for 2,953 yards, 23 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) and 11 interceptions this year. He averages 246.1 yards per game and 8.3 per attempt, while completing 63.7%.
  • He has rushed for 75 yards (sixth on the Packers) and added one touchdown on the ground, while averaging 6.3 rushing yards per game.
  • Jayden Reed has six touchdown catches this season, and has 49 catches for 727 yards on 65 targets, while averaging 3.5 catches and 51.9 yards per game.
  • Tucker Kraft has 41 catches for 555 yards and seven touchdowns. He's been targeted 56 times in the passing game, and averages 2.9 receptions and 39.6 yards in 14 games played.

Defense

  • On defense, Quay Walker has 2.5 sacks to go with nine TFL and 102 tackles in 2024.
  • Xavier McKinney has intercepted seven pases (first in the NFL) and added 72 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and nine passes defended.
  • Keisean Nixon has put up 70 tackles, five TFL, two sacks, and one interception this year. He's fourth on the Packers in tackles.
  • Edgerrin Cooper has one interception with 52 tackles, seven TFL, 3.5 sacks, and four passes defended.

New Orleans Betting Info

  • New Orleans has covered the spread six times this year (6-8-0).
  • New Orleans' games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under seven times this season.
  • The Saints have entered the game as underdogs 10 times this season and won three of those games.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 13.8%.

Saints Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 210.2 (2,943) 20
Rush yards 124.4 (1,742) 11
Points scored 22.1 (309) 19
Pass yards against 242.2 (3,391) 28
Rush yards against 134.4 (1,881) 27
Points allowed 22.3 (312) 13

New Orleans' Key Players

Offense

  • Alvin Kamara averages 67.9 rushing yards per game this year (950 total yards), while scoring six rushing touchdowns.
  • Kamara's offensive contributions include 68 receptions (4.9 per game) on 89 targets for 543 yards (38.8 per game) and two receiving touchdowns.
  • Derek Carr has 2,145 passing yards, 15 touchdowns and five interceptions. His completion percentage is 67.7% and he averages 214.5 yards per game and 7.7 per attempt.
  • He has also added 71 rushing yards (fifth on the Saints), while scoring one touchdown on the ground (averaging 7.1 yards per game and 4.2 per carry).
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has recorded 378 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 16 receptions, while being targeted 34 times on the season.
  • Juwan Johnson has 375 receiving yards and three touchdowns from 36 receptions after receiving 47 targets.

Defense

  • In 2024, Alontae Taylor has 79 tackles, seven TFL, and four sacks through 14 games.
  • Demario Davis has 104 tackles, three TFL, two sacks, and one interception. He leads the Saints in tackles.
  • Carl Granderson has 50 tackles, eight TFL, 5.5 sacks, and three passes defended during the 2024 campaign.
  • Tyrann Mathieu has intercepted three passes and also has 52 tackles, one TFL, and six passes defended.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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