Packers vs. Saints Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 24

Published Sep. 20, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET

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The Green Bay Packers (1-1) are favored by two points against the New Orleans Saints (2-0) on September 24, 2023, starting at 1:00 PM ET, airing on FOX. The total for this one is set at 42 points.

Packers vs. Saints Odds & Betting Lines

Packers vs. Saints Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Green Bay (-2)
  
• Pick OU: Over (42)
  
• Prediction: Green Bay 24 - New Orleans 20

How to Watch Green Bay vs. New Orleans

• Game Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Lambeau Field
• Location: Green Bay, Wisconsin
• TV: Watch on FOX

Packers vs. Saints Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, New Orleans has three wins against Green Bay.
• Over their last five head-to-head matchups, New Orleans has racked up 182 points, while Green Bay has accumulated 139.

Green Bay Betting Info

• Green Bay compiled an 8-9-0 ATS record last year.
• The Packers had an ATS record of 4-7 as 2-point favorites or greater last year.
• Last season, eight Green Bay games went over the point total.
• The Packers were the moneyline favorite 11 total times last season. They went 5-6 in those games.
• When it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -125 or shorter, Green Bay went 5-6 (45.5%).
• The Packers have a 55.6% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Packers Stats (2022)

Green Bay's Key Players

Offense

• Last year over 17 games, Aaron Jones churned out 1,121 rushing yards (10th in the NFL) and scored two rushing touchdowns. He averaged 65.9 yards per game and 5.3 per attempt (sixth in the NFL).
• Jones also played a role the passing game with 395 yards (23.2 per game) on 59 receptions (3.5 per game), while being targeted 72 times. He had five receiving touchdowns.
• A.J. Dillon averaged 45.3 rushing yards per game over 17 games (770 total yards), while scoring seven rushing touchdowns.
• Dillon also had 28 catches for 206 yards. He was targeted 43 times and averaged 12.1 yards per game.
• Last season, Christian Watson caught 41 passes for 611 receiving yards with seven touchdowns through the air. He was targeted 66 total times and averaged 2.9 receptions per game over 14 games played.
• Romeo Doubs had 425 receiving yards and three touchdowns from 42 receptions on 67 targets.

Defense

• Quay Walker recorded 1.5 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL and 119 tackles over 17 games in 2022.
• Rasul Douglas had four interceptions on top of 76 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and 13 passes defended.
• Jonathan Owens recorded 1.0 sack as well as 125 tackles during his 2022 season for the Texans.
• Preston Smith's stat sheet included 59 tackles, 9.0 TFL, 8.5 sacks, and one pass defended in 16 games

New Orleans Betting Info

• New Orleans covered seven times in 17 chances against the spread last year.
• Against the spread, as underdogs of 2 points or greater, the Saints went 4-5 last season.
• In New Orleans games last year, combined scoring went over the point total six times.
• The Saints were underdogs in 11 games last season and won three (27.3%) of those contests.
• New Orleans was 2-7 last season when entering a game as the underdog by +105 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win by the Saints, based on the moneyline, is 48.8%.

Saints Stats (2022)

New Orleans' Key Players

Offense

• Derek Carr passed for 3,522 yards last year for the Raiders, with 24 TDs and 14 INTs. He completed 60.8% of his passes, averaging 234.8 yards per game and 7.0 per attempt.
• Jamaal Williams averaged 62.7 rushing yards in 17 games for the Lions (1,066 total yards), and scored 17 rushing TDs.
• In 16 games last year, Taysom Hill amassed 240 passing yards, with two TDs and zero INTs, connecting on 68.4% of his attempts.
• He added 575 yards on the ground, with seven rushing TDs, and averaging 35.9 yards per game and 6.0 per attempt.
• Chris Olave had 72 receptions for 1,042 yards and four TDs. He averaged 4.8 yards per game in 15 games and was targeted 119 times.

Defense

• Demario Davis' showing in 2022 included 109 tackles, 10.0 TFL, 6.5 sacks, and one interception in 17 games.
• Cameron Jordan had 8.5 sacks plus 13.0 TFL and 66 tackles.
• Tyrann Mathieu posted 1.0 sack in addition to his 3.0 TFL, 91 tackles, and three interceptions.
• Carl Granderson registered 5.5 sacks plus 9.0 TFL and 53 tackles over 14 games.

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