Packers vs. Vikings 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2024 12:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Minnesota Vikings (3-0) will be attempting to continue a three-game winning run against the Green Bay Packers (2-1). Despite that, the Packers are slight favorites (-2.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 44.

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Packers vs. Vikings Odds & Betting Lines

Packers vs Vikings Betting Information updated as of September 29, 2024, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Packers	-2.5	-120	100	44	-108	-112

Packers vs. Vikings Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Vikings (+2.5)
Pick OU: Under (44)
Prediction: Packers 21 - Vikings 20

How to Watch Green Bay vs. Minnesota

Game Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Lambeau Field
Location: Green Bay, Wisconsin
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Packers vs. Vikings Recent Matchups

In their last five head-to-head matchups, Green Bay has beaten Minnesota three times.
Minnesota has been outscored by 44 points in its last five tilts against Green Bay.

Green Bay Betting Info

Green Bay has two wins versus the spread in three games this season.
Green Bay games this year have gone over the total in two out of three opportunities (66.7%).
The Packers have not yet played as the moneyline favorite this season.
Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Packers' implied win probability is 58.7%.

Packers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	187.7 (563)	22
Rush yards	204 (612)	1
Points scored	25 (75)	7
Pass yards against	222.7 (668)	22
Rush yards against	105.7 (317)	10
Points allowed	19.3 (58)	12

Green Bay's Key Players

Offense

Jayden Reed's 197 receiving yards this season have come from 10 receptions on 14 targets. He's averaging 3.3 catches and 65.7 yards per game, with one receiving touchdown.
Malik Willis has 324 passing yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions this year. He has completed 73.5% of his passes, averaging 108 yards per game and 9.5 per attempt.
He has added 114 rushing yards (38 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
Willis has 324 passing yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions this year. He has completed 73.5% of his attempts, averaging 108 yards per game and 9.5 per attempt.
He has also rushed for 114 yards (second on the Packers) and added one touchdown on the ground, averaging 38 yards per game.
Josh Jacobs has run for 278 yards (sixth in the NFL), averaging 92.7 yards per game without scoring a touchdown.

Defense

On the defensive side, Devonte Wyatt has seven tackles, five TFL, and three sacks in 2024.
Xavier McKinney has 12 tackles, one TFL, and three interceptions this season.
Quay Walker has totaled 23 tackles, one TFL, and 0.5 sacks this year. He leads the Packers in tackles.
So far this season, Jaire Alexander has 11 tackles and two interceptions.

Minnesota Betting Info

Minnesota has gone 3-0-0 against the spread this year.
The Vikings have been underdogs by 2.5 points or more once this year and covered the spread.
This season, not one Minnesota's games have hit the over.
The Vikings have won both games they've played as underdogs this season.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 45.5% chance of a victory for the Vikings.

Vikings Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	204.7 (614)	17
Rush yards	125 (375)	13
Points scored	28.3 (85)	4
Pass yards against	239.3 (718)	26
Rush yards against	71.3 (214)	2
Points allowed	10 (30)	2

Minnesota's Key Players

Offense

Sam Darnold is averaging 8.4 passing yards per attempt (fifth in the NFL) and 219 yards per game this year, completing 67.9% of his passes on the way to 657 total yards, eight touchdowns (first in the NFL) and two interceptions through three games.
On the ground, Darnold has added 35 rushing yards (third on the Vikings).
Justin Jefferson has put together a 2024 campaign that includes 14 catches for 273 yards (sixth in the NFL) and three receiving touchdowns (first in the NFL) over three games played. He has been on the receiving end of 21 targets and is averaging 4.7 receptions per game.
Aaron Jones is averaging 76 rushing yards per game this season (228 total yards to rank 10th in the NFL), while scoring one rushing touchdown.
In addition to his rushing stats, Jones has hauled in 12 passes (on 14 targets) for 97 yards (third on the Vikings), with one receiving touchdown. He averages 32.3 yards per game.
Jalen Nailor has 106 receiving yards and three touchdowns (first in the NFL) from seven receptions after getting nine targets.

Defense

In 2024, Andrew Van Ginkel has three sacks to go with three TFL, 14 tackles, and one interception over three games. He ranks eighth in the NFL in sacks.
Patrick Jones II has four sacks in addition to his five TFL and 11 tackles through three games. He's third in the NFL in sacks.
Blake Cashman has 23 tackles, one TFL, and one sack in the 2024 season. He leads the Vikings in tackles.
Jonathan Greenard has six tackles, three TFL, and four sacks.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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