Packers vs. Vikings 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 29

Updated Sep. 27, 2024 8:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Green Bay Packers (2-1) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3) over the Minnesota Vikings (3-0), despite the Vikings having taken three games in a row. The expected point total for the game is 44.

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Packers vs. Vikings Odds & Betting Lines

Packers vs Vikings Betting Information updated as of September 27, 2024, 3:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Packers	-3	-105	-115	44	-106	-114

Packers vs. Vikings Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Vikings (+3)
Pick OU: Under (44)
Prediction: Packers 21 - Vikings 20

How to Watch Green Bay vs. Minnesota

Game Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Lambeau Field
Location: Green Bay, Wisconsin
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Packers vs. Vikings Recent Matchups

Green Bay has a 3-2 record against Minnesota in their last five matchups.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Green Bay has tallied 128 points against Minnesota, while allowing only 84 points.

Green Bay Betting Info

Green Bay has two wins versus the spread in three games this season.
Green Bay games this year have hit the over on two of three set point totals (66.7%).
The Packers have not yet played as the moneyline favorite this season.
The Packers have a 59.7% chance to win this matchup, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Packers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	187.7 (563)	22
Rush yards	204.0 (612)	1
Points scored	25.0 (75)	7
Pass yards against	222.7 (668)	22
Rush yards against	105.7 (317)	10
Points allowed	19.3 (58)	12

Green Bay's Key Players

Offense

Jayden Reed's 197 receiving yards this season have come from 10 receptions on 14 targets. He's averaging 3.3 catches and 65.7 yards per game, with one receiving touchdown.
Malik Willis has 324 passing yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions this year. He has completed 73.5% of his passes, averaging 108.0 yards per game and 9.5 per attempt.
He has added 114 rushing yards (38.0 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
Willis has 324 passing yards in three games this year, averaging 108.0 per game with a 73.5% completion percentage and two touchdowns against zero interceptions.
He has tacked on 114 rushing yards (38.0 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
Josh Jacobs has run for 278 yards (sixth in the NFL), averaging 92.7 yards per game without scoring a touchdown.

Defense

On defense for the Packers, Devonte Wyatt has put up seven tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks in 2024.
Xavier McKinney has 12 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three interceptions this season. He's fourth on the Packers in tackles.
Quay Walker has collected 23 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 0.5 sacks this year. His tackle total leads the Packers.
This season, Jaire Alexander has 11 tackles and two interceptions.

Minnesota Betting Info

Minnesota is a perfect 3-0-0 against the spread so far this season.
The Vikings have been underdogs by 3 points or more once this year and covered the spread.
This season, not one Minnesota's games have hit the over.
The Vikings have won both games they've played as underdogs this season.
The Vikings have a 44.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Vikings Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	204.7 (614)	17
Rush yards	125.0 (375)	13
Points scored	28.3 (85)	4
Pass yards against	239.3 (718)	26
Rush yards against	71.3 (214)	2
Points allowed	10.0 (30)	2

Minnesota's Key Players

Offense

Sam Darnold has passed for 657 yards this year, with eight touchdowns (first in the NFL) and two interceptions. He is completing 67.9% of his passes while averaging 219.0 yards per game and 8.4 per attempt.
He's added 35 yards on the ground (third on the Vikings), while scoring zero rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 11.7 yards per game and 4.4 per attempt.
Justin Jefferson has 14 catches for 273 yards (sixth in the NFL) and three receiving touchdowns (first in the NFL). He has been targeted 21 times and averages 4.7 receptions per game in three games played.
Aaron Jones is averaging 76.0 rushing yards per game this season (228 total yards to rank 10th in the NFL), while scoring one rushing touchdown.
Jones has helped in the passing game, picking up 97 receiving yards (32.3 per game) on 12 catches (4.0 per game), while being targeted 14 times. He has one receiving touchdown.
Jalen Nailor has seven catches for 106 yards and three receiving touchdowns (first in the NFL). He averages 2.3 yards per game through three games and has been targeted nine times.

Defense

Andrew Van Ginkel has amassed 3.0 sacks (third on the Vikings and eighth in the NFL) to go with 3.0 TFL, 14 tackles, and one interception over three games in 2024.
Patrick Jones II has 11 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and four sacks.
In the 2024 campaign, Blake Cashman has 23 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack in three games.
Jonathan Greenard's season stats include six tackles, 3.0 TFL, and four sacks in three games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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