Patrick Mahomes II Odds and Prop Bets vs. 49ers – NFL Super Bowl

Updated Feb. 11, 2024 2:48 p.m. ET

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Patrick Mahomes II and his Kansas City Chiefs teammates face the San Francisco 49ers in the Super Bowl at 6:30 PM ET on Sunday. In this piece we'll dig into Mahomes' stats and trends to help you make good predictions among his prop bets for this matchup.

Learn more about Patrick Mahomes II vs. the San Francisco 49ers on FOX Sports.

Patrick Mahomes II vs. 49ers Player Props

Patrick Mahomes II vs. San Francisco Game Info

• Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers
• Game Day: February 11, 2024
• Game Time: 6:30 PM
• Passing Yards Prop: Over 261.5 (-115)
• TV: Watch on CBS

Patrick Mahomes II Season Stats

Patrick Mahomes II Betting Insights

• Sunday's prop bet for Mahomes is 261.5 passing yards, which is 0.1 higher yards than his average of 261.4 on the season.
• In eight of 16 games this year, he has exceeded 261.5 passing yards.
• Mahomes' 261.4 passing yards per game are 11.1 lower than his average prop bet total of 272.5 yards.
• So far this season, he has eclipsed his passing yards prop total in four of 12 opportunities.
• Mahomes has completed at least one touchdown pass in 15 of 16 games (including multiple TDs nine times).

49ers' Defense 2023 Rankings

Chiefs' 2023 Stats

• The Chiefs have the ninth-ranked offense this season (351.3 yards per game), and they've been even better defensively, ranking second-best with just 289.8 yards allowed per game.
• Looking at pace stats, Kansas City is running a lot of plays compared to the rest of the league, ranking 10th in the NFL with 64 offensive plays per contest.
• The Chiefs rank sixth in passing yards this year (246.4 per game), but they've been playing really well on the defensive side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 176.5 passing yards allowed per game.
• The Chiefs are putting up 104.9 rushing yards per game on offense (19th in the NFL), and they rank 17th on defense with 113.2 rushing yards allowed per game.
• So far this season, Kansas City is throwing 58.8% of the time, making it one of the most pass-centric teams in the league (third in NFL). It rushes the ball at a 38.6% clip.
• This season, the Chiefs are putting up 5.7 yards per play on offense (11th in the league), while featuring the fourth-best yards per play on defense in the NFL (5).

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NFL - San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs - 02/11/2024

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