Patrick Mahomes II Odds and Prop Bets vs. Bills – AFC Divisional Round 2024
Updated
Jan. 21, 2024 2:49 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
NFL playoff action in the AFC Divisional Round will see the Kansas City Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes II face off against the Buffalo Bills at 6:30 PM ET on Sunday. In this article, we dig into all of Mahomes' prop bets available for this matchup, and examine the stats to figure out the best bets and top trends ahead of this outing.
Learn more about Patrick Mahomes II vs. the Buffalo Bills on FOX Sports.
Patrick Mahomes II vs. Bills Player Props
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| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 255.5 | -115 | 1.5 | -161 | +450 |
Patrick Mahomes II vs. Buffalo Game Info
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills
- Game Day: January 21, 2024
- Game Time: 6:30 PM
- Passing Yards Prop: Over 255.5 (-115)
- TV: Watch on CBS
Patrick Mahomes II Season Stats
| Pass Comp. | Pass Att. | Comp. % | Pass Yards | Pass TDs | INTs | Pass Yards/Att. | Rush Att. | Rush Yards | Rush TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401 | 597 | 67.2% | 4,183 | 27 | 14 | 7.0 | 75 | 389 | 0 |
Patrick Mahomes II Betting Insights
- Mahomes is passing for 261.4 yards per game, which is higher than his prop bet over/under for this contest of 255.5.
- In eight of 16 games this year, he has eclipsed 255.5 passing yards.
- Mahomes has come up short of his season prop bet average (272.5 passing yards) by 11.1 yards per game.
- So far this season, he has topped his passing yards prop total in four of 12 opportunities.
- Mahomes has completed a touchdown pass in 15 of 16 games this year -- including multiple TDs nine times.
Bills' Defense 2023 Rankings
| Stat | AVG (Rank) |
|---|---|
| Pass Yds/Game Allowed | 196.6 (7) |
| Pass Yds/Attempt Allowed | 6.1 (6) |
| Rush Yds/Game Allowed | 110.6 (15) |
| Rush Yds/Attempt Allowed | 4.6 (27) |
| Total Yds/Game Allowed | 307.2 (9) |
| Yards/Play Allowed | 5.5 (12) |
| Points/Game Allowed | 18.3 (4) |
Chiefs' 2023 Stats
- The Chiefs rank ninth in total offense this season (351.3 yards per game), but they've been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking second-best in the NFL with 289.8 yards allowed per game.
- Looking at pace of play, Kansas City's offense has been playing fast this season, running 64 plays per contest, which ranks 10th in the league.
- The Chiefs rank sixth in passing yards this year (246.4 per game), but they've been playing really well on the defensive side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 176.5 passing yards allowed per game.
- Offensively, the Chiefs rank 19th in the NFL with 104.9 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 17th in rushing yards allowed per contest (113.2).
- So far this season, Kansas City, one of the most pass-happy teams in the league, is passing 58.8% of the time (third in NFL). Meanwhile, it is running the ball 38.6% of the time (with 2.6% of its offensive plays ending in a sack).
- The Chiefs have the fourth-best defense in the NFL in terms of yards per play allowed (5.0), while their offense is ranked 11th, gaining 5.7 per play.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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