Patrick Mahomes II Odds and Prop Bets vs. Bills – NFL Week 14 2023

Updated Dec. 10, 2023 2:49 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Patrick Mahomes II's Kansas City Chiefs will take on the Buffalo Bills at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday in Week 14 of the 2023 NFL campaign. If you're trying to make predictions on Mahomes' performance, we break down all of his set prop bets, trends and stats here.

Learn more about Patrick Mahomes II vs. the Buffalo Bills on FOX Sports.

Patrick Mahomes II vs. Bills Player Props

Pass Yds Over/Under	Pass Yds Over Payout	Pass TDs Over/Under	Pass TDs Over Payout	Anytime TD Odds
274.5	-115	2.5	+160	+350

Patrick Mahomes II vs. Buffalo Game Info

Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills
Game Day: December 10, 2023
Game Time: 4:25 PM
Passing Yards Prop: Over 274.5 (-115)
TV: Watch on CBS

Patrick Mahomes II Season Stats

Pass Comp.	Pass Att.	Comp. %	Pass Yards	Pass TDs	INTs	Pass Yards/Att.	Rush Att.	Rush Yards	Rush TDs
301	444	67.8%	3,127	22	10	7.0	57	331	0

Patrick Mahomes II Betting Insights

Sunday's prop bet for Mahomes is 274.5 passing yards, which is 13.9 higher yards than his average of 260.6 on the season.
In five of 12 games this season, he has eclipsed 274.5 passing yards.
Mahomes' average prop bet for passing yards this season has been 275.0. His actual passing average is below that -- by 14.4 yards per game.
This year, he has bettered his passing yards prop total in three games (37.5%).
Patrick Mahomes II has tossed a touchdown pass in 11 of 12 games this year, with more than one TD throw eight times.

Bills' Defense 2023 Rankings

Stat	AVG (Rank)
Pass Yds/Game Allowed	203.3 (8)
Pass Yds/Attempt Allowed	6.3 (10)
Rush Yds/Game Allowed	116.7 (20)
Rush Yds/Attempt Allowed	4.7 (29)
Total Yds/Game Allowed	319.9 (12)
Yards/Play Allowed	5.6 (19)
Points/Game Allowed	18.9 (5)

Chiefs' 2023 Stats

Defensively, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best by allowing only 297.7 yards per game. They rank eighth on offense (362.6 yards per game).
Looking at pace stats, Kansas City averages 64 offense plays per contest this year, placing them 14th in the NFL.
Offensively, the Chiefs rank eighth in the NFL with 252.7 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank sixth in passing yards allowed per contest (183).
On offense, the Chiefs rank 16th in the NFL with 109.9 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 19th in rushing yards allowed per contest (114.7).
This season, Kansas City, one of the most pass-happy teams in the league, is passing 58.4% of the time (fourth in NFL). Meanwhile, it is rushing the ball 39.4% of the time (with 2.2% of its offensive plays ending in a sack).
The Chiefs are gaining 5.8 yards per play (eighth in the league), while giving up 5.3 per play on the defensive side of the ball (ninth in the NFL) this season.