Patrick Mahomes II Odds and Prop Bets vs. Patriots – NFL Week 15 2023

Updated Dec. 17, 2023 10:49 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

Patrick Mahomes II and the Kansas City Chiefs will face the New England Patriots at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday in Week 15 of the 2023 NFL campaign. In this article we break down all of Mahomes' prop bets set for this matchup, and examine the stats to figure out the best predictions.

Learn more about Patrick Mahomes II vs. the New England Patriots on FOX Sports.

Patrick Mahomes II vs. Patriots Player Props

Pass Yds Over/Under	Pass Yds Over Payout	Pass TDs Over/Under	Pass TDs Over Payout	Anytime TD Odds
255.5	-115	1.5	-167	+400

Patrick Mahomes II vs. New England Game Info

Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots
Game Day: December 17, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 PM
Passing Yards Prop: Over 255.5 (-115)
TV: Watch on FOX

Patrick Mahomes II Season Stats

Pass Comp.	Pass Att.	Comp. %	Pass Yards	Pass TDs	INTs	Pass Yards/Att.	Rush Att.	Rush Yards	Rush TDs
326	487	66.9%	3,398	23	11	7.0	58	339	0

Patrick Mahomes II Betting Insights

Mahomes has passed for 261.4 yards per game (5.9 more than Sunday's prop total).
In 13 games this year, he has topped 255.5 passing yards on seven occasions.
Mahomes' passing yards average of 261.4 yards this season is less than his average prop bet total (274.8) by 13.4 passing yards.
So far this year, he has eclipsed his passing yards prop total in three of nine opportunities.
Mahomes has completed a touchdown pass in 12 of 13 games this season -- including multiple TDs eight times.

Patriots' Defense 2023 Rankings

Stat	AVG (Rank)
Pass Yds/Game Allowed	218.8 (14)
Pass Yds/Attempt Allowed	6.3 (10)
Rush Yds/Game Allowed	88.2 (3)
Rush Yds/Attempt Allowed	3.2 (1)
Total Yds/Game Allowed	306.9 (8)
Yards/Play Allowed	5.0 (3)
Points/Game Allowed	20.9 (14)

Chiefs' 2023 Stats

The Chiefs are putting up 361.3 yards per game on offense, which ranks them seventh in the NFL. Defensively, they rank sixth, giving up 299.9 yards per contest.
Looking at pace of play, Kansas City ranks 13th in the NFL, averaging 64 plays per game (833 total plays).
The Chiefs rank sixth in pass offense (253.5 passing yards per game) and sixth in pass defense (185.0 passing yards allowed per game) this year.
The Chiefs rank 17th in run offense (107.8 rushing yards per game) and 20th in run defense (114.9 rushing yards allowed per game) this season.
So far this season, Kansas City is airing it out 59.2% of the time, making it one of the most pass-centric teams in the league (third in NFL). It rushes the ball at a 38.7% clip.
This season, the Chiefs are accumulating 5.8 yards per play on offense (eighth in the league), while featuring the fifth-best yards per play on defense in the NFL (5.2).