Patriots vs. Giants Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 26

Published Nov. 22, 2023 1:03 p.m. ET

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The New England Patriots (2-8) will be trying to end a three-game losing streak against the New York Giants (3-8). Despite that, the Patriots are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The over/under for this one is set at 33.5 points.

Patriots vs. Giants Odds & Betting Lines

Patriots vs. Giants Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: New York (+3.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (33.5)
  
• Prediction: New York 20 - New England 18

How to Watch New England vs. New York

• Game Date: Sunday, November 26, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: MetLife Stadium
• Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey
• TV: Watch on FOX

Patriots vs. Giants Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, New York has put up three wins versus New England.
• New York has been outpaced by 11 points in its last five tilts against New England.

New England Betting Info

• New England has covered the spread twice in 2023.
• New England games in 2023 have gone over the point total three times in 10 opportunities (30%).
• When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Patriots have won 33.3% of the time (1-2).
• New England has yet to play a game with moneyline odds of -175 or shorter.
• Looking at this game's moneyline, the Patriots' implied win probability is 63.6%.

Patriots Stats

New England's Key Players

Offense

• Mac Jones has 2,031 passing yards in 10 games this year, averaging 203.1 per game with a 65.4% completion percentage and 10 touchdowns against 10 interceptions.
• Rhamondre Stevenson has racked up 482 rushing yards with three touchdowns (48.2 yards per game across 10 games). His 3.8 yards per attempt rank 32nd in the league.
• He's also caught 32 passes (on 45 targets) for 229 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He's averaging 22.9 receiving yards and 3.2 catches per game.
• Ezekiel Elliott has 331 rushing yards with two touchdowns (33.1 yards per game across 10 games).
• Elliott has totaled 18 catches on 24 targets for 108 yards, though he has yet to score a receiving touchdown.
• Hunter Henry has 30 catches for 298 yards and three touchdowns. He's been targeted 45 times in the air attack, and averages 3.0 receptions and 29.8 yards in 10 games played.

Defense

• On defense for the Patriots, Kyle Dugger has powered the unit with 65 tackles, 5.0 TFL, one sack, and two interceptions in 2023.
• Ja'Whaun Bentley has 3.0 sacks (second on the Patriots) as well as 5.0 TFL and 68 tackles.
• Jabrill Peppers has recorded 56 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and one interception this year.
• Jahlani Tavai has one interception while adding 60 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and four passes defended.

New York Betting Info

• New York has covered the spread in a game three times this year (3-7-1).
• The Giants have covered the spread twice this year when underdogs by 3.5 points or more (in six chances).
• Games involving New York have hit the over on three occasions this year.
• This season, the Giants have been the underdog 10 times and won two of those games.
• New York has a record of 1-4 when it is set as an underdog of +145 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win by the Giants based on the moneyline is 40.8%.

Giants Stats

New York's Key Players

Offense

• Saquon Barkley has rushed for one touchdown this year, and has put up 651 total rushing yards (81.4 per game and 4.3 per attempt).
• Barkley has also figured into the passing game with 162 yards (20.3 per game) on 27 receptions (3.4 per game), while being targeted 37 times. He has four receiving touchdowns.
• Tommy DeVito has 506 passing yards, six touchdowns and three interceptions. His completion percentage is 61.3% and he averages 126.5 yards per game and 6.3 per attempt.
• DeVito also has one rushing touchdown and 77 rushing yards (fifth on the Giants).
• So far this season, Darius Slayton has caught 30 passes for 419 receiving yards with one touchdown in the passing game. He has been targeted 50 total times and is averaging 2.7 receptions per game over 11 games played.
• Wan'Dale Robinson has 239 receiving yards and one touchdown from 32 receptions after getting 40 targets.

Defense

• Bobby Okereke has intercepted one pass and also has 105 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and six passes defended in 2023.
• Micah McFadden has 65 tackles, 10.0 TFL, 0.5 sacks, and one interception. He is third on the Giants in tackles.
• Kayvon Thibodeaux has 31 tackles, 10.0 TFL, 10.5 sacks, and two passes defended during the 2023 campaign.
• Xavier McKinney has registered 1.0 TFL and 75 tackles over 11 games.

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