Patriots vs. Jets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 7

Published Jan. 3, 2024 1:06 p.m. ET

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The New England Patriots (4-12) and New York Jets (6-10) will face off in a matchup of two division rivals. The Patriots are slight favorites (-2). The matchup has an over/under of 30.5 points.

Patriots vs. Jets Odds & Betting Lines

Patriots vs. Jets Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: New England (-2)
  
• Pick OU: Over (30.5)
  
• Prediction: New England 20 - New York 17

How to Watch New England vs. New York

• Game Date: Sunday, January 7, 2024
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Gillette Stadium
• Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
• TV: Watch on FOX

Patriots vs. Jets Recent Matchups

• New England has a 5-0 record against New York in their last five matchups.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, New England has racked up 110 points against New York, while allowing only 44 points.

New England Betting Info

• In 16 New England games this year, it has five wins against the spread.
• The Patriots have covered the spread once this season (1-3 ATS) when playing as at least 2-point favorites.
• New England games in 2023 have eclipsed the over/under seven times in 16 opportunities (43.8%).
• The Patriots have put together a 1-3 record in games they played as moneyline favorite (winning 25% of those games).
• When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -135 or shorter, New England has gone 1-3 (25%).
• The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Patriots a 57.4% chance to win.

Patriots Stats

New England's Key Players

Offense

• On the ground, Ezekiel Elliott averages 3.4 yards per attempt (43rd in the NFL) and 36.8 yards per game for 588 total rushing yards. He has recorded three rushing touchdowns this season.
• Elliott has been targeted 58 times in the receiving game and has 46 catches (2.9 per game) for 286 yards (17.9 per game) and two TDs.
• Mac Jones has passed for 2,120 yards, 10 touchdowns and 12 interceptions this year. He averages 192.7 yards per game and 6.1 per attempt, while completing 64.9%.
• In 13 games played, Hunter Henry is averaging 32.2 yards and 3.2 receptions per game on the way to 419 receiving yards and 42 catches. He's been targeted 61 times, and has six receiving touchdowns.
• Bailey Zappe has 1,184 passing yards, six touchdowns and seven interceptions this year. He has completed 63.2% of his passes, averaging 131.6 yards per game and 6.5 per attempt.
• He has tacked on 70 rushing yards (7.8 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.

Defense

• On defense, Kyle Dugger has 101 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and two interceptions in 2023.
• Jahlani Tavai has intercepted two pases and has added 101 tackles, 5.0 TFL, one sack, and five passes defended.
• Ja'Whaun Bentley has put up 104 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and four sacks this year.
• So far this season, Christian Barmore has 54 tackles, 11.0 TFL, and 8.5 sacks.

New York Betting Info

• New York is 5-10-1 against the spread this year.
• The Jets are 5-8 ATS when underdogs by 2 points or more this year.
• This year, New York games have hit the over seven times.
• The Jets have been underdogs in 14 games this season and won four (28.6%) of those contests.
• New York has entered 10 games this season as the underdog by +114 or more and is 2-8 in those contests.
• The Jets have a 46.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Jets Stats

New York's Key Players

Offense

• This year in 16 games, Breece Hall has racked up 816 rushing yards (leading the Jets) and scored four rushing touchdowns. He averages 51.0 yards per game and 4.4 per attempt (16th in the NFL).
• Hall's contributions include 74 receptions (4.6 per game) on 93 targets for 579 yards (36.2 per game) and four receiving touchdowns.
• Zach Wilson has 2,271 passing yards, eight touchdowns and seven interceptions. His completion percentage is 60.1% and he averages 189.3 yards per game and 6.2 per attempt.
• He has also added 211 rushing yards (second on the Jets), with zero touchdowns on the ground (averaging 17.6 yards per game and 5.9 per carry).
• So far this season, Garrett Wilson has caught 93 passes for 1,008 receiving yards with three touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 163 total times and is averaging 5.8 receptions per game in 16 games played.
• Tyler Conklin has 59 catches for 605 yards without a receiving touchdown. He averages 3.7 yards per game in 16 games and has been targeted 84 times.

Defense

• Quincy Williams has intercepted one pass in addition to 131 tackles, 15.0 TFL, two sacks, and 10 passes defended in 2023.
• C.J. Mosley has 0.5 sacks in addition to his 5.0 TFL, 145 tackles, and one interception over 16 games.
• Over the 2023 campaign, Jordan Whitehead has 97 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 0.5 sacks, and four interceptions through 16 games.
• Jermaine Johnson's season stats include 53 tackles, 10.0 TFL, 6.5 sacks, and one interception in 16 games.

Dalvin Cook and NY Jets mutually decide to part ways | The Carton Show

Dalvin Cook and the New York Jets have mutually decided to part ways, and while Craig Carton is not a fan of the timing of this decision, he speculates on which teams should make a move for the running back. After Jerry Jones expresses some concern for the Dallas Cowboys' running game, Craig offers the owner some advice: sign Cook TODAY. But Willie Colon suggests the Cleveland Browns, who are on a resurgence with Joe Flacco at the QB1 spot.

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