Patriots vs. Jets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 24

Published Sep. 20, 2023 1:04 p.m. ET

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The New England Patriots (0-2) and New York Jets (1-1) will face off in a matchup of two division rivals. The Patriots are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The predicted point total for the matchup is 36.5.

Patriots vs. Jets Odds & Betting Lines

Patriots vs. Jets Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: New York (+3)
  
• Pick OU: Over (36.5)
  
• Prediction: New York 24 - New England 17

How to Watch New England vs. New York

• Game Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: MetLife Stadium
• Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey
• TV: Watch on CBS

Patriots vs. Jets Recent Matchups

• New England holds a 5-0 record against New York in their last five matchups.
• New York has been outscored by 96 points in its last five tilts versus New England.

New England Betting Info

• New England put together a 7-9-1 record against the spread last season.
• The Patriots had an ATS record of 4-2-1 as 3-point favorites or more last season.
• New England games went over the point total eight out of 17 times last season.
• The Patriots finished 7-1 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 87.5% of those games).
• When it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -142 or shorter, New England had a 6-1 record (winning 85.7% of its games).
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Patriots a 58.7% chance to win.

Patriots Stats (2022)

New England's Key Players

Offense

• Rhamondre Stevenson averaged 61.2 rushing yards per game last year (1,040 total yards) while scoring five rushing touchdowns.
• On top of his impact on the ground, Stevenson caught 69 passes (on 88 targets) for 421 yards, with one receiving touchdown. He averaged 24.8 yards per game.
• Mac Jones had 2,997 passing yards, 14 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. His completion percentage was 65.2% and he averaged 214.1 yards per game and 6.8 per attempt.
• He also added 102 rushing yards, while scoring one touchdown on the ground (averaging 7.3 yards per game and 2.2 per carry).
• Ezekiel Elliott rushed for 12 touchdowns last year for the Cowboys and totaled 876 rushing yards (58.4 per game and 3.8 per carry).
• JuJu Smith-Schuster was targeted 101 times, resulting in 78 catches for 933 yards last season for the Chiefs.

Defense

• Matthew Judon's 2022 showing included 60 tackles, 14.0 TFL, and 15.5 sacks in 16 games.
• Ja'Whaun Bentley's stat sheet included one interception as well as 122 tackles, 5.0 TFL, three sacks, and two passes defended.
• Kyle Dugger had 1.0 sack as well as 5.0 TFL, 69 tackles, and three interceptions in the 2022 campaign.
• Jonathan Jones' stats included four interceptions as well as 68 tackles and 11 passes defended in 16 games

New York Betting Info

• New York covered eight times in 17 matchups with a spread last year.
• As 3-point underdogs or more, the Jets went 6-6 against the spread last year.
• New York and its opponent combined to hit the over five out of 17 times last year.
• The Jets were underdogs in 12 games last season and won five (41.7%) of those contests.
• New York was 5-7 last season when entering a game as the underdog by +120 or more on the moneyline.
• The Jets have a 45.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Jets Stats (2022)

New York's Key Players

Offense

• Dalvin Cook averaged 69.0 yards rushing per game last season (1,173 total yards to rank sixth in the NFL,) for the Vikings, while scoring eight rushing TDs.
• In addition to his impact on the ground, Cook had 39 catches (on 56 targets) for 295 yards, with two receiving TDs. He averaged 17.4 receiving yards per game.
• Garrett Wilson had 1,103 yards receiving and four TDs on 83 catches, and was targeted 147 times.
• Last year for the Packers, Allen Lazard caught 60 passes for 788 yards with six TDs . He was targeted 100 times, and averaged 4.0 receptions in 15 games.
• In nine games, Zach Wilson had 1,688 yards passing, with six TDs and seven INTs, completing 54.5% of his attempts.
• He tacked on 102 yards rushing and one TD on the ground (averaging 11.3 yards per game and 3.6 per carry).

Defense

• C.J. Mosley's effort in 2022 included 158 tackles, 5.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception over 17 games.
• Quinnen Williams' production included 55 tackles, 12.0 TFL, 12 sacks, and four passes defended.
• Quincy Williams had 106 tackles, 12.0 TFL, three sacks, and one pass defended in 2022.
• Adrian Amos' numbers for the Packers last year included 97 tackles, 7.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in 17 games.

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