Patriots vs. Saints Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 8

Published Oct. 4, 2023 1:11 p.m. ET

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The New England Patriots (1-3) are considered favorites (-1) according to the bookmakers ahead of their game against the New Orleans Saints (2-2) on October 8, 2023, starting at 1:00 PM ET, airing on CBS. The expected point total for the game is 40.

Patriots vs. Saints Odds & Betting Lines

Patriots vs. Saints Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: New England (-1)
  
• Pick OU: Under (40)
  
• Prediction: New England 21 - New Orleans 15

How to Watch New England vs. New Orleans

• Game Date: Sunday, October 8, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Gillette Stadium
• Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
• TV: Watch on CBS

Patriots vs. Saints Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, New England has tallied four wins versus New Orleans.
• New Orleans has been outscored by 22 points in its last five tilts against New England.

New England Betting Info

• New England has covered the spread one time this season.
• The Patriots have won their only game this season when playing as at least 1-point favorites.
• New England's games this year have eclipsed the over/under one time in four opportunities (25%).
• The Patriots have been moneyline favorites one other time this season, a game they won.
• New England has played as a moneyline favorite of -118 or shorter in only one game this season, which it won.
• Looking at this contest's moneyline, the Patriots' implied win probability is 54.1%.

Patriots Stats

New England's Key Players

Offense

• Mac Jones has passed for 898 yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions this year. He is averaging 224.5 yards per game and 6.2 per attempt, while completing 63.7% of his passes.
• To go along with his passing stats, Jones has 60 rushing yards (third on the Patriots), but no touchdowns.
• Rhamondre Stevenson averages 2.7 yards per carry (43rd in the NFL) and 41.0 yards per game, and has 164 total rushing yards. He has scored one rushing TD this season.
• He's also caught 12 passes (on 16 targets) for 87 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He's averaging 21.8 receiving yards and 3.0 catches per game.
• In the passing game, Hunter Henry, has contributed with 176 receiving yards and two touchdowns after catching 17 balls on 23 targets. Per game, he's averaging 44.0 yards and 4.3 receptions in four games.
• Kendrick Bourne averages 4.0 receptions and 43.8 yards per game, and has 175 total receiving yards and 16 catches. He's gotten 28 total targets, and has caught two touchdown passes.

Defense

• On the defensive side, Matthew Judon has 13 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and four sacks in 2023.
• Myles Bryant has 26 tackles and 2.0 TFL this season. He's third on the Patriots in tackles.
• This season, Kyle Dugger has recorded 3.0 TFL and 29 tackles.
• Jabrill Peppers has 2.0 TFL and 27 tackles on the season.

New Orleans Betting Info

• New Orleans has not covered the spread in any matchup this year (0-3-1).
• Games involving New Orleans have yet to hit the over once this year.
• This is the first time the Saints will play as underdogs this season.
• New Orleans has not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the -102 odds on them winning this game.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 50.5% chance of a victory for the Saints.

Saints Stats

New Orleans' Key Players

Offense

• Derek Carr has thrown for 763 yards this year, with two touchdowns and two interceptions. He is completing 64.5% of his passes while averaging 190.8 yards per game and 6.2 per attempt.
• Chris Olave has 306 receiving yards on 23 receptions, while being targeted 37 times.
• Rashid Shaheed has registered 185 receiving yards and one touchdown on 12 receptions, while being targeted 19 times on the season.
• Michael Thomas has been targeted 32 times, resulting in 22 catches for 219 yards and zero receiving touchdowns.

Defense

• So far in 2023, Alontae Taylor has put up 18 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and one sack over four games.
• Pete Werner has 0.5 sacks in addition to his 34 tackles through four games.
• Carl Granderson has 13 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks in the 2023 campaign.
• Demario Davis' stat sheet includes 25 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack in four games

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