Raiders vs. Broncos Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 7

Published Jan. 3, 2024 1:09 p.m. ET

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In a matchup of two division rivals, the Las Vegas Raiders (7-9) will meet the Denver Broncos (8-8). The Raiders are small favorites (-2.5). The game has an over/under of 38 points.

Raiders vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Lines

Raiders vs. Broncos Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Las Vegas (-2.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (38)
  
• Prediction: Las Vegas 23 - Denver 19

How to Watch Las Vegas vs. Denver

• Game Date: Sunday, January 7, 2024
• Time: 4:25 PM ET
• Venue: Allegiant Stadium
• Location: Paradise, Nevada
• TV: Watch on FOX

Raiders vs. Broncos Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, Las Vegas has totaled four wins versus Denver.
• Denver has been outscored by 23 points in its last five tilts against Las Vegas.

Las Vegas Betting Info

• Las Vegas is 9-5-2 against the spread this year.
• The Raiders have covered the spread twice when favored by 2.5 points or more this season (in four opportunities).
• Las Vegas games this year have gone over the total in five out of 16 opportunities (31.2%).
• When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Raiders are 5-2, earning a win 71.4% of the time.
• When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -148 or shorter, Las Vegas has a record of 2-1 (66.7%).
• The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Raiders a 59.7% chance to win.

Raiders Stats

Las Vegas' Key Players

Offense

• Davante Adams' 1,098 receiving yards this season have come from 98 receptions on 167 targets. He's averaging 6.1 catches and 68.6 yards per game, with seven receiving touchdowns.
• Joshua Jacobs averages 3.5 yards per carry (42nd in the NFL) and 61.9 yards per game, and has 805 total rushing yards. He has scored six rushing TDs this season.
• He has caught 37 passes (on 54 targets) for 296 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He's averaging 22.8 receiving yards and 2.8 catches per game.
• Through 15 games played, Jakobi Meyers is averaging 49.7 yards and 4.5 receptions per game on the way to 746 receiving yards and 68 catches. He's been targeted 101 times, and has seven receiving touchdowns.
• Aidan O'Connell has 1,974 passing yards, 10 touchdowns and seven interceptions this year. He has completed 61.9% of his passes, averaging 197.4 yards per game and 6.3 per attempt.
• He has added 10 rushing yards (1.0 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.

Defense

• Over on the defensive side, Maxx Crosby has 88 tackles, 21.0 TFL, and 13.5 sacks in 2023.
• Robert Spillane has 3.5 sacks (fourth on the Raiders) as well as 7.0 TFL, 136 tackles, and three interceptions.
• Nate Hobbs has put up 84 tackles, 6.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception this year.
• Trevon Moehrig has two interceptions with 81 tackles, 1.0 TFL, two sacks, and seven passes defended.

Denver Betting Info

• Denver has covered the spread six times over 16 games with a set total.
• The Broncos have been underdogs by 2.5 points or more seven times this year and are 3-4 ATS in those games.
• Games involving Denver have hit the over on seven occasions this year.
• The Broncos have been underdogs in eight games this season and won four (50%) of those contests.
• Denver has a record of 3-4 in games where oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +124 on the moneyline.
• The Broncos have a 44.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Broncos Stats

Denver's Key Players

Offense

• Russell Wilson has thrown for 3,070 yards this year, with 26 touchdowns (ninth in the NFL) and eight interceptions. He is completing 66.4% of his attempts while averaging 204.7 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt.
• He's added 341 yards on the ground (third on the Broncos), with three rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 22.7 yards per game and 4.3 per attempt.
• Courtland Sutton has 770 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns (third in the NFL) on 58 receptions, while being targeted 86 times.
• Javonte Williams has rushed for two touchdowns this year, and has totaled 742 rushing yards (49.5 per game and 3.6 per carry).
• Williams' offensive output includes 40 receptions (2.7 per game) on 49 targets for 185 yards (12.3 per game) and two receiving touchdowns.
• Jaleel McLaughlin has 404 rushing yards (second on the Broncos) and one rushing touchdown, while averaging 25.3 yards per game and 5.6 per carry.
• McLaughlin also has 160 receiving yards (10.0 per game) on 31 catches (1.9 per game). He has been targeted 36 times with two touchdown receptions.

Defense

• So far in 2023, Alex Singleton has put up 2.0 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL and 162 tackles through 16 games.
• Jonathon Cooper's stats include one interception as well as 68 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 8.5 sacks, and two passes defended.
• Josey Jewell has 99 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two sacks in the 2023 season. He is second on the Broncos in tackles.
• Justin Simmons' stats include three interceptions as well as 67 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and eight passes defended in 14 games

Blazin' 5: Eagles overrated, picks 'feisty' Giants team to cover | The Herd

In this weeks' Blazin' 5 segment, Colin Cowherd avoids the bigger Week 17 games like the Detroit Lions vs. the Dallas Cowboys, or the Miami Dolphins vs. the Baltimore Ravens, and takes a look at some of the games flying under the radar. Watch as he lays out why the Philadelphia Eagles are completely overrated at +11.5 over the Arizona Cardinals, especially since Jalen Hurts' offense has struggled to blow out teams all season. He also talks the New York Giants vs. the Los Angeles Rams, and explains why he expects this feisty Giants team to cover, and wouldn't be surprised if they actually beat the Rams in Week 17.

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