Raiders vs. Steelers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 24

Raiders vs. Steelers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 24

Published Sep. 21, 2023 1:03 a.m. ET

The Las Vegas Raiders (1-1) are favored by 2.5 points against the Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) on September 24, 2023, starting at 8:20 PM ET, airing on NBC. The expected point total for the game is 43.

Raiders vs. Steelers Odds & Betting Lines

Raiders vs Steelers Betting Information updated as of September 20, 2023, 5:33 PM ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Raiders -2.5 -110 -110 43 -110 -110

Raiders vs. Steelers Prediction & Pick

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  • Pick ATS: Pittsburgh (+2.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (43)
  • Prediction: Pittsburgh 26 - Las Vegas 15

How to Watch Las Vegas vs. Pittsburgh

  • Game Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023
  • Time: 8:20 PM ET
  • Venue: Allegiant Stadium
  • Location: Paradise, Nevada
  • TV: Watch on NBC

Raiders vs. Steelers Recent Matchups

  • Las Vegas owns a 3-2 record against Pittsburgh in their last five matchups.
  • Pittsburgh has been outpaced by 3 points in its last five tilts versus Las Vegas.

Las Vegas Betting Info

  • Las Vegas went 8-9-0 ATS last season.
  • The Raiders' ATS record as 2.5-point favorites or greater was 4-4 last year.
  • Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total nine times in Las Vegas games.
  • The Raiders finished 4-6 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 40% of those games).
  • Las Vegas had a 4-4 record last year (winning 50% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -135 or shorter.
  • The Raiders have a 57.4% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Raiders Stats (2022)

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 231.4 (3,934) 11
Rush yards 121.1 (2,059) 17
Points scored 23.2 (395) 12
Pass yards against 242.9 (4,129) 29
Rush yards against 122.8 (2,087) 19
Points allowed 24.6 (418) 26

Las Vegas' Key Players

Offense

  • Last season over 17 games, Josh Jacobs racked up 1,653 rushing yards (first in the NFL) and scored 12 rushing touchdowns. He averaged 97.2 yards per game and 4.9 per attempt (11th in the NFL).
  • Jacobs' offensive contributions include 53 receptions (3.1 per game) on 64 targets for 400 yards (23.5 per game), but he did not find the endzone in the passing game.
  • Davante Adams had 1,516 receiving yards (third in the NFL) and 14 touchdowns (first in the NFL) on 100 receptions (ninth in the NFL), while being targeted 180 times.
  • For the 49ers last season, Jimmy Garoppolo passed for 2,437 yards last year, 16 touchdowns and four interceptions. He completed 67.2% of his attempts while averaging 221.5 yards per game and 7.9 per attempt.
  • He added 33 yards on the ground, with two rushing touchdowns. He averaged 3.0 yards per game and 1.4 per attempt.
  • Jakobi Meyers had 804 receiving yards and six touchdowns from 67 receptions on 96 targets for the Patriots.

Defense

  • In 2022, Maxx Crosby amassed 88 tackles, 22.0 TFL, and 12.5 sacks over 17 games.
  • Marcus Epps had 92 tackles and 4.0 TFL for the Eagles.
  • Nate Hobbs had 72 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one sack in the 2022 campaign.
  • Robert Spillane had 1.0 sack as well as 4.0 TFL and 77 tackles for the Steelers last season.

Pittsburgh Betting Info

  • Pittsburgh went 10-6-1 ATS last year.
  • As 2.5-point underdogs or greater, the Steelers went 5-4-1 against the spread last season.
  • Pittsburgh games hit the over seven out of 17 times last season.
  • Last season, the Steelers were the underdog 11 times and won five, or 45.5%, of those games.
  • Pittsburgh was 4-6 last season when entering a game as the underdog by +114 or more on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 46.7% chance of a victory for the Steelers.

Steelers Stats (2022)

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 200.6 (3,411) 24
Rush yards 121.9 (2,073) 16
Points scored 18.1 (308) 26
Pass yards against 222.3 (3,779) 19
Rush yards against 108.1 (1,838) 9
Points allowed 20.4 (346) 10

Pittsburgh's Key Players

Offense

  • Najee Harris rushed for seven TDs last year, and had 1,034 total yards rushing (60.8 per game and 3.8 per attempt).
  • In addition to his impact on the ground, Harris had 41 catches (on 53 targets) for 229 yards, with three receiving TDs. He averaged 13.5 receiving yards per game.
  • Kenny Pickett had 2,404 passing yards, seven TD passes and nine INTs. His completion percentage was 63.0% and he averaged 184.9 yards per game and 6.2 per attempt.
  • He tacked on 237 yards rushing, with three TDs on the ground (averaging 18.2 yards per game and 4.3 per carry).
  • George Pickens totaled 801 yards receiving and four TDs on 52 receptions while being targeted 84 times last year.
  • Pat Freiermuth had 732 yards receiving and two TDs via 63 catches on 98 targets.

Defense

  • Alex Highsmith amassed 14.5 sacks to go along with 12.0 TFL and 63 tackles in his 17 games in 2022.
  • Elandon Roberts registered 4.5 sacks to go along with his 10.0 TFL and 104 tackles in 17 games for the Dolphins.
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick had 96 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and six interceptions in 2022.
  • Desmond King II's numbers for the Texans last year included 88 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and two interceptions over 17 games.
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