Rams vs. Commanders Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 17

Updated Dec. 13, 2023 1:16 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Having lost four straight, the Washington Commanders (4-9) will play the Los Angeles Rams (6-7). The Rams are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6.5). An over/under of 49.5 points has been set for the matchup.

Rams vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Lines

Rams vs Commanders Betting Information updated as of December 13, 2023, 12:33 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Rams	-6.5	-112	-108	49.5	-112	-108

Rams vs. Commanders Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Los Angeles (-6.5)
Pick OU: Under (49.5)
Prediction: Los Angeles 33 - Washington 15

How to Watch Los Angeles vs. Washington

Game Date: Sunday, December 17, 2023
Time: 4:05 PM ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium
Location: Inglewood, California
TV: Watch on CBS

Rams vs. Commanders Recent Matchups

In their last five head-to-head meetings, Washington has won against Los Angeles three times.
Over their last five head-to-head contests, Washington has racked up 96 points, while Los Angeles has accumulated 95.

Los Angeles Betting Info

Against the spread, Los Angeles is 7-5-1 this season.
The Rams have been favored by 6.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
Los Angeles games this year have hit the over on six of 13 set point totals (46.2%).
The Rams have won 83.3% of the time they have played as moneyline favorites (5-1).
Los Angeles has played as a moneyline favorite of -298 or shorter in just one game this season, which it won.
The Rams have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 74.9%.

Rams Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	234.9 (3,054)	12
Rush yards	115.5 (1,502)	12
Points scored	23 (299)	10
Pass yards against	226.7 (2,947)	20
Rush yards against	113.2 (1,472)	16
Points allowed	22.3 (290)	20

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

Matthew Stafford has thrown for 3,062 yards, 19 touchdowns and nine interceptions this year. He is averaging 255.2 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt, while completing 60.2% of his passes.
Kyren Williams averages 5 yards per carry (sixth in the NFL) and 89 yards per game, and has 801 total rushing yards (seventh in the NFL). He has recorded seven rushing TDs this season.
Williams' 39 targets through the air have resulted in 25 catches (2.8 per game) for 189 yards (21 per game) and three touchdowns.
Puka Nacua has four touchdown catches this season, and has 82 catches for 1,113 yards (fifth in the NFL) on 126 targets, while averaging 6.3 catches and 85.6 yards per game.
Cooper Kupp averages 4.6 receptions and 60.8 yards per game, and has 547 total receiving yards and 41 catches. He's gotten 69 total targets, and has caught three touchdown passes.

Defense

Over on defense, Ernest Jones has 118 tackles, nine TFL, and 2.5 sacks in 2023. His tackle total leads the Rams and is 10th in the NFL.
Byron Young has 52 tackles, five TFL, and six sacks this season. He's fifth on the Rams in tackles.
Aaron Donald has recorded 43 tackles, 13 TFL, and six sacks this year.
So far this season, Jordan Fuller has 77 tackles, one TFL, and one interception. He's second on the Rams in tackles.

Washington Betting Info

Washington has put together a record of 5-7-1 against the spread this year.
The Commanders have been underdogs by 6.5 points or more four times this season and covered the spread once.
Washington's games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under eight times this year.
The Commanders have won three of the nine games they've played as underdogs this season.
Washington has been at least a +240 moneyline underdog four times this season, but lost all of those games.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 29.4% chance of a victory for the Commanders.

Commanders Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	236.2 (3,071)	11
Rush yards	99.9 (1,299)	23
Points scored	20.1 (261)	23
Pass yards against	266 (3,458)	32
Rush yards against	113.8 (1,480)	18
Points allowed	30.4 (395)	32

Washington's Key Players

Offense

Sam Howell has passed for 3,466 yards this year (to rank fifth in the NFL), with 18 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. He is completing 65.8% of his passes while averaging 266.6 yards per game and 6.8 per attempt.
He's added 243 yards on the ground (second on the Commanders), while scoring five rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 18.7 yards per game and 6.1 per attempt.
Brian Robinson Jr. averages 51.1 rushing yards per game over 13 games (664 total yards), while scoring five rushing touchdowns.
Robinson also has 29 catches for 326 yards (fifth on the Commanders), with three receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 36 times and averages 25.1 yards per game.
Terry McLaurin has put up 694 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 60 receptions, while being targeted 100 times this season.
Curtis Samuel has 508 receiving yards and two touchdowns from 51 receptions after getting 68 targets.

Defense

So far in 2023, Kamren Curl has recorded one sack to go with three TFL and 97 tackles over 13 games.
Benjamin St-Juste's stat sheet includes one interception as well as 56 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and 15 passes defended.
During the 2023 campaign, Da'Ron Payne has 41 tackles, 10 TFL, and two sacks through 13 games.
Kendall Fuller's stat sheet includes two interceptions as well as 64 tackles, one TFL, and six passes defended in 13 games

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