Ravens vs. Bills 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 29

Updated Sep. 28, 2024 12:43 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

Having taken one straight, the Buffalo Bills (3-0) will play the Baltimore Ravens (1-2). Despite that, the Ravens are slight favorites (-2.5). The over/under for this one is set at 46.5 points.

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Ravens vs. Bills Odds & Betting Lines

Ravens vs Bills Betting Information updated as of September 27, 2024, 12:34 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Ravens	-2.5	-112	-108	46.5	-110	-110

Ravens vs. Bills Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Bills (+2.5)
Pick OU: Over (46.5)
Prediction: Ravens 26 - Bills 25

How to Watch Baltimore vs. Buffalo

Game Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
Location: Baltimore, Maryland
TV: NBC
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Ravens vs. Bills Recent Matchups

Baltimore holds a 3-2 record against Buffalo in their last five matchups.
Buffalo has been outpaced by 51 points in its last five tilts against Baltimore.

Baltimore Betting Info

Baltimore has one win against the spread in three games this season.
The Ravens have not covered the spread when favored by 2.5 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
Baltimore's totals this year have hit the over in all three games.
The Ravens have been moneyline favorites in two other matchups this season, and they split them.
The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Ravens a 57.4% chance to win.

Ravens Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	227.0 (681)	10
Rush yards	203.3 (610)	2
Points scored	23.7 (71)	11
Pass yards against	291.7 (875)	32
Rush yards against	50.0 (150)	1
Points allowed	26.0 (78)	24

Baltimore's Key Players

Offense

Lamar Jackson has 702 passing yards through three games this year, averaging 234.0 per game with a 65.6% completion percentage and three touchdowns against one interception.
He has added 254 rushing yards (84.7 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
Derrick Henry's rushing statline this season includes 281 yards (fifth in the NFL) and four TDs. He is averaging 93.7 yards per game and 5.0 per attempt (13th in the NFL).
He has also caught two passes (on four targets) for 35 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He's averaging 11.7 receiving yards and 0.7 catches per game.
Through three games played, Zay Flowers is averaging 49.3 yards and 5.3 receptions per game on the way to 148 receiving yards and 16 catches. He's been targeted 25 times, and has one receiving touchdown.
Isaiah Likely averages 4.0 receptions and 47.0 yards per game, and has 141 total receiving yards and 12 catches. He's gotten 16 total targets, and has caught one touchdown pass.

Defense

On defense, Kyle Van Noy has six tackles, 5.0 TFL, and four sacks in 2024.
Roquan Smith has 29 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception this season. His tackle total leads the Ravens.
Jayson Oweh has collected nine tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks this year.
Marlon Humphrey has 1.0 TFL, 13 tackles, and one interception on the season.

Buffalo Betting Info

Buffalo has covered the spread two times this season (2-1-0).
This season, the Bills won ATS in their only game as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
Buffalo games have gone over the total twice this season.
The Bills won the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
The implied probability of a win by the Bills based on the moneyline is 46.7%.

Bills Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	209.0 (627)	15
Rush yards	120.0 (360)	14
Points scored	37.3 (112)	1
Pass yards against	168.3 (505)	8
Rush yards against	118.3 (355)	16
Points allowed	16.0 (48)	7

Buffalo's Key Players

Offense

Josh Allen has thrown for 634 yards this year, with seven touchdowns (second in the NFL) and zero interceptions. He is completing 75.0% of his attempts while averaging 211.3 yards per game and 8.8 per attempt.
He's added 85 yards on the ground (second on the Bills), with two rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 28.3 yards per game and 5.0 per attempt.
James Cook has 188 rushing yards (leading the Bills) and three rushing touchdowns, while averaging 62.7 yards per game and 4.6 per carry (19th in the NFL).
Cook also has eight catches for 97 yards (second on the Bills), with one receiving touchdown. He has been targeted nine times and averages 32.3 yards per game.
In three games played this season, Khalil Shakir has 14 catches (4.7 receptions per game on 4.7 targets per game) for 168 yards and two receiving touchdowns (10th in the NFL).
Ty Johnson averages 8.0 rushing yards per game over three games (24 total yards), but has not yet scored a rushing touchdown.
Johnson has also caught four passes for 61 yards (fifth on the Bills), with one receiving touchdown. He's been targeted six times and averages 20.3 yards per game.

Defense

So far in 2024, Dorian Williams has put up 29 tackles and 1.0 TFL through three games.
Gregory Rousseau has 3.0 sacks (first on the Bills and eighth in the NFL) to go with 4.0 TFL and 11 tackles.
Damar Hamlin has 1.0 TFL, 19 tackles, and one interception.
Von Miller's season stats include five tackles, 3.0 TFL, and three sacks through three games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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