Ravens vs. Dolphins Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 31

Updated Dec. 27, 2023 1:21 p.m. ET

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The Baltimore Ravens (12-3) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3) over the Miami Dolphins (11-4). The Ravens have won five games straight. An over/under of 47 points has been established for the matchup.

Ravens vs. Dolphins Odds & Betting Lines

Ravens vs. Dolphins Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Baltimore (-3)
  
• Pick OU: Over (47)
  
• Prediction: Baltimore 28 - Miami 20

How to Watch Baltimore vs. Miami

• Game Date: Sunday, December 31, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
• Location: Baltimore, Maryland
• TV: Watch on CBS

Ravens vs. Dolphins Recent Matchups

• In their past five head-to-head matchups, Baltimore has won against Miami three times.
• Miami has been outscored by 115 points in its last five tilts against Baltimore.

Baltimore Betting Info

• Baltimore is 10-5-0 against the spread this season.
• The Ravens have been favored by 3 points or more 12 times this season, and covered the spread in seven of those games.
• Baltimore contests this year have gone over the point total 46.7% of the time (seven times in 15 games with a set point total).
• When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Ravens are 10-3 (winning 76.9% of the time).
• Baltimore is 9-3 (winning 75% of its games) when it have played as a moneyline favorite of -155 or shorter.
• The Ravens have a 60.8% chance to win this matchup, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Ravens Stats

Baltimore's Key Players

Offense

• Lamar Jackson has 3,357 passing yards in 15 games this year, averaging 223.8 per game with a 66.3% completion percentage and 19 touchdowns against seven interceptions.
• He has also rushed for 786 yards (first on the Ravens) and added five touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 52.4 rushing yards per game.
• Gus Edwards' rushing statline this season includes 694 yards and 12 TDs. He's averaging 46.3 yards per game and 4.0 per attempt (21st in the NFL).
• He's caught 12 passes (on 13 targets) for 180 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He's averaging 12.0 receiving yards and 0.8 catches per game.
• Through 15 games played, Zay Flowers is averaging 50.1 yards and 4.9 receptions per game on the way to 752 receiving yards and 74 catches. He's been targeted 105 times, and has four receiving touchdowns.
• Odell Beckham Jr. averages 2.6 receptions and 40.9 yards per game, and has 532 total receiving yards and 34 catches. He's gotten 63 total targets, and has caught three touchdown passes.

Defense

• Over on defense, Roquan Smith has 151 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and six passes defended in 2023.
• Patrick Queen has 3.5 sacks (fifth on the Ravens) as well as 8.0 TFL, 119 tackles, and one interception.
• Kyle Hamilton has put up 81 tackles, 10.0 TFL, three sacks, and four interceptions this year.
• This season, Justin Madubuike has 49 tackles, 11.0 TFL, and 12 sacks.

Miami Betting Info

• Miami has put together a record of 10-5-0 against the spread this year.
• The Dolphins have been underdogs by 3 points or more two times this season and covered the spread once.
• Games involving Miami have hit the over on eight occasions this season.
• The Dolphins have won one of the four games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Miami has played as an underdog of +130 or more once this season and won that game.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 43.5% chance of a victory for the Dolphins.

Dolphins Stats

Miami's Key Players

Offense

• Tua Tagovailoa has passed for 4,214 yards this year (to rank first in the NFL), with 26 touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and 10 interceptions. He is completing 70.5% of his attempts while averaging 280.9 yards per game and 8.5 per attempt.
• Raheem Mostert has 1,012 rushing yards (leading the Dolphins and fourth in the NFL) and 18 rushing touchdowns, while averaging 67.5 yards per game and 4.8 per carry (ninth in the NFL).
• Mostert has also collected 175 receiving yards (11.7 per game) on 25 catches (1.7 per game). He's been targeted 32 times and has caught three touchdown passes.
• So far this season, Tyreek Hill has caught 106 passes (third in the NFL) for 1,641 receiving yards (first in the NFL) with 12 touchdowns through the air (second in the NFL). He has been targeted 146 total times and is averaging 7.6 receptions per game over 14 games played.
• Devon Achane has 637 rushing yards (second on the Dolphins) and seven rushing touchdowns, while averaging 70.8 yards per game and 8.1 per carry.
• Achane also has 162 receiving yards (18.0 per game) on 22 catches (2.4 per game). He has been targeted 31 times with two touchdown receptions.

Defense

• Bradley Chubb's 2023 showing includes 68 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and 11 sacks in 15 games. He is fourth on the Dolphins in tackles.
• Andrew Van Ginkel has registered 6.0 sacks in addition to his 8.0 TFL, 65 tackles, and one interception through 15 games.
• Zach Sieler has 8.5 sacks (second on the Dolphins) in addition to his 10.0 TFL, 51 tackles, and one interception.
• Christian Wilkins has registered 8.0 sacks (third on the Dolphins) to go with 10.0 TFL and 56 tackles through 15 games.

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