Ravens vs. Lions Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 22

Published Oct. 18, 2023 1:08 p.m. ET

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The Baltimore Ravens (4-2) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3) over the Detroit Lions (5-1), despite the Lions having taken four games straight. The expected point total for the matchup is 42.

Ravens vs. Lions Odds & Betting Lines

Ravens vs. Lions Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Baltimore (-3)
  
• Pick OU: Over (42)
  
• Prediction: Baltimore 24 - Detroit 18

How to Watch Baltimore vs. Detroit

• Game Date: Sunday, October 22, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
• Location: Baltimore, Maryland
• TV: Watch on FOX

Ravens vs. Lions Recent Matchups

• Baltimore holds a 3-1 record against Detroit in their last four matchups.
• In their last four head-to-head matchups, Baltimore has tallied 127 points versus Detroit, while allowing only 74 points.

Baltimore Betting Info

• Against the spread, Baltimore is 4-2-0 this year.
• The Ravens have been favored by 3 points or more four times this season, and covered the spread in two of those matchups.
• Baltimore's games this year have hit the over one time in six opportunities (16.7%).
• When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Ravens are 3-2, earning a win 60% of the time.
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -162 or shorter, Baltimore has gone 2-2 (50%).
• The Ravens have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 61.8%.

Ravens Stats

Baltimore's Key Players

Offense

• Lamar Jackson has 1,253 passing yards in six games this year, averaging 208.8 per game with a 69.9% completion percentage and five touchdowns against three interceptions.
• To go along with his passing stats, Jackson also has 327 rushing yards (first on the Ravens), with four rushing touchdowns.
• Mark Andrews has 24 receptions for 294 yards and three TDs. In five games, he is averaging 4.8 catches and 58.8 yards per game.
• Through six games played, Zay Flowers is averaging 61.2 yards and 5.8 receptions per game on the way to 367 receiving yards and 35 catches. He's been targeted 48 times, and has one receiving touchdown.
• In the ground game, Gus Edwards averages 3.9 yards per attempt (25th in the NFL) and 47.0 yards per game for 282 total rushing yards. He has scored one rushing touchdown this season.

Defense

• On defense, Patrick Queen has 3.5 sacks (second on the Ravens) to go with 5.0 TFL and 53 tackles in 2023.
• Roquan Smith has 63 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks this season. His tackle total leads the Ravens and is fourth in the NFL.
• Kyle Hamilton has put up 25 tackles, 4.0 TFL, three sacks, and one interception this year. He's fourth on the Ravens in tackles.
• This season, Justin Madubuike has 20 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks.

Detroit Betting Info

• Detroit is 5-1-0 against the spread this season.
• The Lions have been underdogs by 3 points or more once this season and covered the spread.
• Detroit games have gone over the total three times this season.
• The Lions won the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
• Detroit has played as an underdog of +136 or more once this season and won that game.
• The implied probability of a win by the Lions based on the moneyline is 42.4%.

Lions Stats

Detroit's Key Players

Offense

• Jared Goff is averaging 8.0 passing yards per attempt (third in the NFL) and 269.7 yards per game this year, completing 69.5% of his passes on the way to 1,618 total yards (fifth in the NFL), 11 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and three interceptions through six games.
• On the ground, Goff has added two rushing touchdowns and 15 rushing yards (fifth on the Lions).
• David Montgomery has scored six rushing touchdowns, while totaling 385 rushing yards (4.1 per attempt and 77.0 per game).
• Montgomery has also picked up 66 receiving yards (13.2 per game) on six catches (1.2 per game). He's been targeted 10 times and is still trying for his first receiving touchdown.
• Amon-Ra St. Brown has put up 455 receiving yards and three touchdowns (10th in the NFL) on 38 receptions (10th in the NFL), while being targeted 50 times this season.
• Josh Reynolds has 19 catches for 341 yards and three receiving touchdowns (10th in the NFL). He averages 3.8 yards per game through five games and has been targeted 27 times.

Defense

• So far in 2023, Aidan Hutchinson has put up 18 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and one interception through six games.
• Alex Anzalone has 1.0 sack (fourth on the Lions) to go with 2.0 TFL and 44 tackles.
• Jerry Jacobs has recorded 1.0 TFL, 31 tackles, and three interceptions in the 2023 campaign.
• Brian Branch has put up 3.0 TFL, 25 tackles, and one interception through four games.

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