Ravens vs. Steelers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 8

Ravens vs. Steelers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 8

Published Oct. 4, 2023 1:10 p.m. ET

The Baltimore Ravens (3-1) and Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2) will play each other in a matchup of two division rivals. The Ravens are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -4). The matchup has an over/under of 38.5 points.

Ravens vs. Steelers Odds & Betting Lines

Ravens vs Steelers Betting Information updated as of October 3, 2023, 12:33 PM ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Ravens -4 -108 -112 38.5 -110 -110

Ravens vs. Steelers Prediction & Pick

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  • Pick ATS: Pittsburgh (+4)
  • Pick OU: Over (38.5)
  • Prediction: Baltimore 21 - Pittsburgh 19

How to Watch Baltimore vs. Pittsburgh

  • Game Date: Sunday, October 8, 2023
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Acrisure Stadium
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • TV: Watch on CBS

Ravens vs. Steelers Recent Matchups

  • Baltimore has a 3-2 record against Pittsburgh in their last five matchups.
  • Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Baltimore has racked up 99 points, while Pittsburgh has compiled 86.

Baltimore Betting Info

  • Baltimore is 3-1-0 against the spread this year.
  • The Ravens have covered the spread once when favored by 4 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
  • Baltimore games this year have hit the over on one of four set point totals (25%).
  • The Ravens have won 66.7% of the time they have played as the moneyline favorite (2-1).
  • Baltimore has played as a moneyline favorite of -198 or shorter in just two games this season, and it split 1-1.
  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Ravens' implied win probability is 66.4%.

Ravens Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 183.8 (735) 26
Rush yards 151.3 (605) 4
Points scored 24.8 (99) 12
Pass yards against 168.3 (673) 3
Rush yards against 92.5 (370) 7
Points allowed 14.5 (58) 3

Baltimore's Key Players

Offense

  • Lamar Jackson has 794 passing yards, four touchdowns and one interception this year. He has completed 74.3% of his attempts, averaging 198.5 yards per game and 7.6 per attempt.
  • In addition to his passing stats, Jackson has 220 rushing yards (first on the Ravens), with four rushing touchdowns.
  • Mark Andrews' 160 receiving yards this season have come from 18 targets and 14 receptions. He's averaging 53.3 receiving yards and 4.7 catches per game, with three receiving touchdowns (third in the NFL).
  • Gus Edwards has 193 rushing yards with one touchdown (48.3 yards per game across four games).
  • Zay Flowers has 244 receiving yards without a touchdown with 24 catches on 29 targets. He is averaging 6.0 receptions and 61.0 yards per game.

Defense

  • Over on the defensive side, Roquan Smith has 43 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks in 2023. His tackle total leads the Ravens and is sixth in the NFL.
  • Patrick Queen has 36 tackles, 4.0 TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended.
  • Kyle Hamilton has put up 21 tackles, 2.0 TFL, three sacks, and one interception this year.
  • So far this season, Brandon Stephens has 28 tackles and one interception. He's third on the Ravens in tackles.

Pittsburgh Betting Info

  • Pittsburgh has covered the spread two times over four games with a set number.
  • Pittsburgh games have gone over the total once this season.
  • This season, the Steelers have been the underdog three times and won two of those games.
  • Pittsburgh has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +164.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 37.9% chance of a victory for the Steelers.

Steelers Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 184.3 (737) 25
Rush yards 78.8 (315) 29
Points scored 15.5 (62) 25
Pass yards against 254.5 (1,018) 26
Rush yards against 148.5 (594) 29
Points allowed 25.0 (100) 23

Pittsburgh's Key Players

Offense

  • Kenny Pickett is averaging 6.3 passing yards per attempt (25th in the NFL) and 200.8 yards per game this year, completing 60.6% of his passes on the way to 803 total yards, four touchdowns and four interceptions through four games.
  • George Pickens has put together a 2023 campaign that includes 16 catches for 263 yards and one receiving touchdown through four games played. He has been on the receiving end of 30 targets and is averaging 4.0 receptions per game.
  • Najee Harris is averaging 52.5 rushing yards per game this season (210 total yards), but has yet to score a rushing touchdown.
  • Jaylen Warren has 84 rushing yards (second on the Steelers), without scoring a rushing touchdown, while averaging 21.0 yards per game and 3.4 per carry (37th in the NFL).
  • Warren also has 127 receiving yards (31.8 per game) on 18 catches (4.5 per game). He has been targeted 22 times while he is still looking for his first receiving touchdown.

Defense

  • T.J. Watt's 2023 showing includes 13 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and six sacks through four games.
  • Alex Highsmith has totaled 1.0 sack in addition to his 2.0 TFL, 17 tackles, and one interception through four games.
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick has 32 tackles in the 2023 campaign. He leads the Steelers in tackles.
  • Levi Wallace has intercepted two passes and also has 18 tackles and six passes defended. He's fourth in the NFL in interceptions.
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