Saints vs. Texans Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 15

Published Oct. 11, 2023 1:07 p.m. ET

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The New Orleans Saints (3-2) are considered favorites (-1.5) according to the bookmakers ahead of their game versus the Houston Texans (2-3) on October 15, 2023, starting at 1:00 PM ET, airing on FOX. The over/under for this one is set at 42.5 points.

Saints vs. Texans Odds & Betting Lines

Saints vs. Texans Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Houston (+1.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (42.5)
  
• Prediction: Houston 25 - New Orleans 14

How to Watch New Orleans vs. Houston

• Game Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: NRG Stadium
• Location: Houston, Texas
• TV: Watch on FOX

Saints vs. Texans Recent Matchups

• New Orleans has a 3-2 record against Houston in their last five matchups.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Houston has tallied 118 points against New Orleans, while surrendering only 117 points.

New Orleans Betting Info

• This season New Orleans has one win against the spread.
• The Saints have not covered the spread this season (0-2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
• New Orleans games this year have not gone over any of five set point totals.
• When playing as moneyline favorites, the Saints have won 50% of the time (2-2).
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -125 or shorter, New Orleans has a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of its games).
• The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Saints a 55.6% chance to win.

Saints Stats

New Orleans' Key Players

Offense

• Derek Carr has 946 passing yards in five games this year, averaging 189.2 per game with a 65.3% completion percentage and four touchdowns against two interceptions.
• Chris Olave's 318 receiving yards this season have come from 43 targets and 25 receptions. He's averaging 63.6 receiving yards and 5.0 catches per game, with one receiving touchdown.
• Rashid Shaheed has one touchdown catch this season, and has 14 receptions for 213 yards on 21 targets, while averaging 2.8 catches and 42.6 yards per game.
• Michael Thomas has 26 catches for 284 yards and zero touchdowns. He's been targeted 39 times in the passing game, and averages 5.2 receptions and 56.8 yards in five games played.

Defense

• On defense, Carl Granderson has 3.5 sacks (first on the Saints) to go with 5.0 TFL and 17 tackles in 2023.
• Alontae Taylor has 24 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and seven passes defended.
• Pete Werner has put up 37 tackles, 0.5 sacks, and one interception this year. He leads the Saints in tackles.
• So far this season, Demario Davis has 31 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack.

Houston Betting Info

• Houston is 3-2-0 against the spread this season.
• The Texans have been underdogs by 1.5 points or more four times this year and are 3-1 ATS in those matchups.
• This season, Houston games have hit the over twice.
• This season, the Texans have won two out of the four games in which they've been the underdog.
• Houston has entered four games this season as the underdog by +105 or more and is 2-2 in those contests.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Texans have a 48.8% chance to win.

Texans Stats

Houston's Key Players

Offense

• C.J. Stroud has thrown for 1,461 yards this year (to rank third in the NFL), with seven touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and zero interceptions. He is completing 61.3% of his passes while averaging 292.2 yards per game and 7.9 per attempt.
• He's added 53 yards on the ground (third on the Texans), while scoring zero rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 10.6 yards per game and 3.5 per attempt.
• Nico Collins has 25 catches for 467 yards (eighth in the NFL) and three receiving touchdowns (fifth in the NFL). He has been targeted 36 times and averages 5.0 receptions per game in five games played.
• Nathaniel Dell has registered 324 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 19 receptions, while being targeted 28 times this season.
• Dameon Pierce has scored one touchdown on the ground, while running for 247 total yards (2.9 per carry and 49.4 per game).
• Pierce has also tacked on nine catches (1.8 per game) for 84 yards (16.8 per game), without a receiving touchdown. He has been on the receiving end of 12 targets.

Defense

• Jonathan Greenard has 3.0 sacks (first on the Texans) to go with 6.0 TFL and 19 tackles over five games in 2023.
• Henry To'o To'o has 1.0 TFL and 39 tackles.
• Will Anderson Jr. has 21 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack during the 2023 season.
• Steven Nelson has totaled 18 tackles and two interceptions over five games.

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