Saints vs. Vikings Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 12

Saints vs. Vikings Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 12

Published Nov. 8, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET

The Minnesota Vikings (5-4) will be aiming to continue a four-game winning run against the New Orleans Saints (5-4). Despite that, the Saints are slight favorites (-2.5). The expected point total for the game is 41.

Saints vs. Vikings Odds & Betting Lines

Saints vs Vikings Betting Information updated as of November 7, 2023, 1:33 PM ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Saints -2.5 -115 -105 41 -112 -108
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Saints vs. Vikings Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Minnesota (+2.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (41)
  • Prediction: Minnesota 23 - New Orleans 19

How to Watch New Orleans vs. Minnesota

  • Game Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • TV: Watch on FOX

Saints vs. Vikings Recent Matchups

  • Over their last five meetings, Minnesota has put up four wins versus New Orleans.
  • In their last five head-to-head matchups, Minnesota has tallied 132 points versus New Orleans, while giving up only 118 points.

New Orleans Betting Info

  • New Orleans has covered the spread twice in 2023.
  • The Saints have not covered the spread this season (0-5-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
  • New Orleans games this year have eclipsed the over/under two times in nine opportunities (22.2%).
  • When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Saints are 4-4 (winning 50% of the time).
  • When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -135 or shorter, New Orleans has a record of 3-3 (50%).
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Saints' implied win probability is 57.4%.

Saints Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 239.9 (2,159) 10
Rush yards 103.9 (935) 18
Points scored 21.7 (195) 12
Pass yards against 192 (1,728) 7
Rush yards against 112.3 (1,011) 17
Points allowed 19 (171) 7

New Orleans' Key Players

Offense

  • Derek Carr has 2,121 passing yards (ninth in the NFL), 10 touchdowns and four interceptions this year. He has completed 65.5% of his passes, averaging 235.7 yards per game and 6.7 per attempt.
  • Alvin Kamara averages 3.6 yards per carry (33rd in the NFL) and 57.7 yards per game, and has 346 total rushing yards. He has recorded two rushing TDs this season.
  • He's also hauled in 43 passes (on 49 targets) for 272 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 45.3 receiving yards and 7.2 catches per game.
  • In the passing game, Rashid Shaheed, has totaled 501 receiving yards and three touchdowns after catching 26 balls on 41 targets. Per game, he's averaging 55.7 yards and 2.9 receptions through nine games.
  • Taysom Hill has thrown for 72 yards, one touchdown and zero interceptions this year. He is averaging 8 yards per game and 12 per attempt, while completing 83.3%.
  • In addition to his passing statistics, Hill has 255 yards on the ground (second on the Saints), with three rushing touchdowns.

Defense

  • On defense, Demario Davis has 65 tackles, five TFL, three sacks, and three passes defended in 2023.
  • Carl Granderson has 5.5 sacks (first on the Saints) as well as 10 TFL and 39 tackles.
  • Paulson Adebo has recorded 27 tackles and four interceptions this year.
  • This season, Marshon Lattimore has 44 tackles, two TFL, and one interception.

Minnesota Betting Info

  • Minnesota is 5-3-1 against the spread this year.
  • The Vikings have been underdogs by 2.5 points or more four times this year and have covered the spread twice.
  • This year, Minnesota games have hit the over twice.
  • The Vikings have been underdogs in four games this season and won two (50%) of those contests.
  • Minnesota has a record of 2-2 in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +114 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 46.7% chance of a victory for the Vikings.

Vikings Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 273.4 (2,461) 2
Rush yards 81.3 (732) 29
Points scored 22.9 (206) 9
Pass yards against 225.4 (2,029) 18
Rush yards against 102.6 (923) 12
Points allowed 21.1 (190) 17

Minnesota's Key Players

Offense

  • Through nine games played this year, Joshua Dobbs has totaled 1,727 passing yards, with 10 touchdowns against five interceptions and completing 63.2% of his passes.
  • On the ground, Dobbs has added four rushing touchdowns and 324 rushing yards (second on the Vikings).
  • Jordan Addison has put together a 2023 campaign that includes 41 catches for 534 yards and seven receiving touchdowns (second in the NFL) over nine games played. He has been on the receiving end of 59 targets and is averaging 4.6 receptions per game.
  • Alexander Mattison is averaging 48.2 rushing yards per game this season (434 total yards), but has yet to score a rushing touchdown.
  • Mattison has helped out in the passing game, amassing 158 receiving yards (17.6 per game) on 23 catches (2.6 per game), while being targeted 34 times. He has three receiving touchdowns.
  • T.J. Hockenson has been targeted 80 times, resulting in 60 catches (eighth in the NFL) for 547 yards .

Defense

  • In 2023, Danielle Hunter has 10 sacks to go with 13 TFL and 46 tackles through nine games. He ranks first in the NFL in sacks.
  • Camryn Bynum's stats include two interceptions as well as 80 tackles, two TFL, 0.5 sacks, and seven passes defended.
  • Jordan Hicks has intercepted one pass on top of 80 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and four passes defended during the 2023 season.
  • Josh Metellus has intercepted one pass and also has 58 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and three passes defended.
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