Steelers vs. Colts 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 29

Published Sep. 27, 2024 4:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Pittsburgh Steelers (3-0) will be aiming to continue a three-game winning streak against the Indianapolis Colts (1-2). The Steelers are small favorites (-2). An over/under of 40 points has been set for the matchup.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

Parkins’ Picks for Week 4: Lions over Seahawks, Bears over Rams, Steelers over Colts | Breakfast Ball

Danny Parkins makes his picks for Week 4, including the Chicago Bears over the Los Angeles Rams, the Detroit Lions over the Seattle Seahawks, and the Pittsburgh Steelers over the Indianapolis Colts.

Steelers vs. Colts Odds & Betting Lines

Steelers vs Colts Betting Information updated as of September 27, 2024, 1:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Steelers	-2	-112	-108	40	-110	-110

Steelers vs. Colts Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Steelers (-2)
Pick OU: Under (40)
Prediction: Steelers 19 - Colts 14

How to Watch Pittsburgh vs. Indianapolis

Game Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Steelers vs. Colts Recent Matchups

In their last five head-to-head meetings, Pittsburgh has taken down Indianapolis four times.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Pittsburgh has compiled 111 points against Indianapolis, while giving up only 95 points.

Pittsburgh Betting Info

So far this season, Pittsburgh is undefeated against the spread.
The Steelers have been favored by 2 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in both.
Pittsburgh games this year have not gone over any of three set point totals.
The Steelers have been moneyline favorites in two other games this season, and they won both.
The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Steelers a 56.5% chance to win.

Steelers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	158.3 (475)	29
Rush yards	130.7 (392)	12
Points scored	17 (51)	25
Pass yards against	157.7 (473)	5
Rush yards against	71.3 (214)	2
Points allowed	8.7 (26)	1

Pittsburgh's Key Players

Offense

Justin Fields has 518 passing yards, two touchdowns and one interception this year. He has completed 73.3% of his attempts, averaging 172.7 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt.
He has also rushed for 90 yards (second on the Steelers) and added one touchdown on the ground, while averaging 30 rushing yards per game.
Najee Harris has racked up 209 rushing yards without a rushing TD (69.7 yards per game across three games). His 3.8 yards per attempt rank 35th in the league.
Through three games played, Calvin Austin III is averaging 36 yards and two receptions per game to total 108 receiving yards and six catches. He's been targeted nine times, and has one receiving touchdown.
George Pickens has 13 catches for 171 yards and zero touchdowns. He's been targeted 18 times in the passing game, and averages 4.3 receptions and 57 yards in three games played.

Defense

On defense, T.J. Watt has 10 tackles, five TFL, and three sacks in 2024.
DeShon Elliott has 18 tackles, one TFL, and one interception this season. His tackle total leads the Steelers.
This season, Cameron Heyward has put up one sack (third on the Steelers) to go along with his two TFL and 11 tackles.
So far this season, Nick Herbig has four tackles, two TFL, and two sacks.

Indianapolis Betting Info

Indianapolis has put together a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this year.
The Colts covered the spread in their only game when underdogs by 2 points or more.
Indianapolis games have gone over the total once this season.
The Colts lost the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
The implied probability of a win by the Colts based on the moneyline is 47.6%.

Colts Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	184.3 (553)	24
Rush yards	131.3 (394)	11
Points scored	19.3 (58)	18
Pass yards against	219.3 (658)	21
Rush yards against	179 (537)	32
Points allowed	20.3 (61)	13

Indianapolis' Key Players

Offense

Jonathan Taylor has rushed for three touchdowns this year, and has racked up 261 total rushing yards (87 per game and 5.1 per attempt).
Taylor has also been a piece of the passing game with 57 yards (19 per game) on three receptions (one per game), while being targeted six times. He is still seeking his first receiving touchdown.
Anthony Richardson has 583 passing yards, three touchdowns and six interceptions. His completion percentage is 49.3% and he averages 194.3 yards per game and 8 per attempt.
He has also added 117 rushing yards (second on the Colts), with one touchdown on the ground (averaging 39 yards per game and 6.5 per carry).
Alec Pierce has totaled 225 receiving yards and two touchdowns (10th in the NFL) on nine receptions, while being targeted 12 times on the season.
Ashton Dulin has 67 receiving yards and one touchdown from two receptions after getting four targets.