Steelers vs. Packers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 12

Published Nov. 8, 2023 1:06 p.m. ET

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The Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3) are favored by three points versus the Green Bay Packers (3-5) on November 12, 2023, starting at 1:00 PM ET, airing on CBS. An over/under of 39 points has been established for the matchup.

Steelers vs. Packers Odds & Betting Lines

Steelers vs. Packers Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Pittsburgh (-3)
  
• Pick OU: Under (39)
  
• Prediction: Pittsburgh 23 - Green Bay 15

How to Watch Pittsburgh vs. Green Bay

• Game Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Acrisure Stadium
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• TV: Watch on CBS

Steelers vs. Packers Recent Matchups

• Pittsburgh has a 4-1 record against Green Bay in their last five matchups.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Pittsburgh has racked up 151 points versus Green Bay, while giving up only 136 points.

Pittsburgh Betting Info

• In eight Pittsburgh games this year, it has five wins against the spread.
• The Steelers have been favored by 3 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
• Pittsburgh games this year have gone over the total in one out of eight opportunities (12.5%).
• The Steelers have been moneyline favorites in two other games this season, and they split them.
• Pittsburgh has played as a moneyline favorite of -166 or shorter in just one game this season, which it won.
• The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Steelers a 62.4% chance to win.

Steelers Stats

Pittsburgh's Key Players

Offense

• Kenny Pickett has 1,490 passing yards through eight games this year, averaging 186.3 per game with a 61.3% completion percentage and six touchdowns against four interceptions.
• He has tacked on 21 rushing yards (2.6 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
• George Pickens has 30 receptions for 521 yards and three TDs. In eight games, he is averaging 3.8 catches and 65.1 yards per game.
• Najee Harris' output on the ground this season includes 382 yards and two TDs. He's averaging 47.8 yards per game and 3.8 per attempt (30th in the NFL).
• Harris has picked up 15 catches, 101 yards and zero TDs in the passing game.
• Jaylen Warren has rushed for 263 yards with one touchdown (32.9 yards per game across eight games).
• Warren's 35 receiving targets have led to 29 receptions (3.6 per game) for 209 yards (26.1 per game) and zero TDs.

Defense

• On the defensive side, T.J. Watt has 22 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 9.5 sacks, and one interception in 2023.
• Alex Highsmith has picked off one pass and added 29 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and one pass defended.
• Kwon Alexander has put up 41 tackles, 5.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception this year. He's fifth on the Steelers in tackles.
• So far this season, Elandon Roberts has 48 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks. He's third on the Steelers in tackles.

Green Bay Betting Info

• Green Bay has covered the spread four times this year (4-4-0).
• This year, the Packers won ATS in their only game as an underdog of 3 points or more.
• Green Bay games have gone over the total three times this season.
• This season, the Packers have been the underdog six times and won two of those games.
• Green Bay has not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +140 odds on them winning this game.
• The Packers have a 41.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Packers Stats

Green Bay's Key Players

Offense

• Jordan Love is averaging 6.6 passing yards per attempt (24th in the NFL) and 215.0 yards per game this year, completing 59.6% of his passes on the way to 1,720 total yards, 12 touchdowns and eight interceptions through eight games.
• He's added 171 yards on the ground (third on the Packers), while scoring two rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 21.4 yards per game and 5.9 per attempt.
• Romeo Doubs has put together a 2023 stat sheet that includes 30 catches for 312 yards and five receiving touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) through eight games played. He has been on the receiving end of 54 targets and is averaging 3.8 receptions per game.
• This season, Jayden Reed has caught 23 passes for 333 receiving yards with three touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 40 total times and is averaging 2.9 receptions per game over eight games played.
• Aaron Jones averages 39.2 rushing yards per game over five games (196 total yards), with two rushing touchdowns.
• Jones has also caught 14 passes for 147 yards (sixth on the Packers), with one receiving touchdown. He's been targeted 22 times and averages 29.4 yards per game.

Defense

• Quay Walker's 2023 showing includes 66 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and one interception through seven games. He leads the Packers in tackles.
• Rudy Ford has 48 tackles and two interceptions. He is second on the Packers in tackles.
• Preston Smith has 28 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and four sacks in the 2023 campaign.
• Isaiah McDuffie has 3.0 TFL and 43 tackles.

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