Steelers vs. Ravens Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 6

Published Jan. 2, 2024 1:06 p.m. ET

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Having taken six in a row, the Baltimore Ravens (13-3) will play the Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7). Despite that, the Steelers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The over/under for this one is set at 37.5 points.

Steelers vs. Ravens Odds & Betting Lines

Steelers vs. Ravens Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Baltimore (+3.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (37.5)
  
• Prediction: Baltimore 30 - Pittsburgh 12

How to Watch Pittsburgh vs. Baltimore

• Game Date: Saturday, January 6, 2024
• Time: 4:30 PM ET
• Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
• Location: Baltimore, Maryland
• TV: Watch on ABC/ESPN

Steelers vs. Ravens Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, Baltimore has totaled three wins against Pittsburgh.
• Over their last five head-to-head contests, Baltimore has racked up 93 points, while Pittsburgh has tallied 80.

Pittsburgh Betting Info

• Pittsburgh has nine wins in 16 games versus the spread this year.
• The Steelers have not covered the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• Pittsburgh games this year have hit the over on six of 16 set point totals (37.5%).
• The Steelers have put together a 3-3 record in games they played as the moneyline favorite (winning 50% of those games).
• Pittsburgh has played as a moneyline favorite of -180 or shorter in just two games this season, and it lost both.
• The Steelers have a 64.3% chance to win this matchup, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Steelers Stats

Pittsburgh's Key Players

Offense

• Najee Harris' rushing output this season includes 923 yards and seven TDs. He's averaging 57.7 yards per game and 4.0 per attempt (23rd in the NFL).
• George Pickens has caught 63 passes on 106 targets for 1,140 total yards and five touchdowns. He is averaging 3.9 catches and 71.3 yards per game through 16 games.
• Jaylen Warren's output on the ground this season includes 751 yards and four TDs. He's averaging 46.9 yards per game and 5.4 per attempt (second in the NFL).
• Warren has 56 receptions on 69 targets for 353 yards, though he has yet to score a touchdown in the passing game.
• Kenny Pickett has 2,070 passing yards, six touchdowns and four interceptions this year. He has completed 62.0% of his attempts, averaging 172.5 yards per game and 6.4 per attempt.
• He has tacked on 54 rushing yards (4.5 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.

Defense

• On defense for the Steelers, T.J. Watt has put up 60 tackles, 16.0 TFL, 17 sacks, and one interception in 2023.
• Elandon Roberts has 2.5 sacks as well as 10.0 TFL and 100 tackles.
• This season, Alex Highsmith has recorded 7.0 sacks (second on the Steelers) to go with his 8.0 TFL, 54 tackles, and two interceptions.
• Larry Ogunjobi has 3.0 sacks (third on the Steelers) as well as 3.0 TFL and 42 tackles on the season.

Baltimore Betting Info

• Baltimore is 11-5-0 against the spread this year.
• This season, the Ravens have won ATS in each of their two games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more.
• Games involving Baltimore have hit the over on eight occasions this year.
• The Ravens have won both games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Baltimore has played as an underdog of +150 or more once this season and won that game.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 40.0% chance of a victory for the Ravens.

Ravens Stats

Baltimore's Key Players

Offense

• Lamar Jackson is averaging 8.0 passing yards per attempt (fourth in the NFL) and 229.9 yards per game this year, completing 67.2% of his passes on the way to 3,678 total yards, 24 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and seven interceptions through 16 games.
• Jackson has also rushed for five touchdowns and 821 yards (first on the Ravens).
• Gus Edwards has scored 13 rushing touchdowns, while totaling 762 rushing yards (4.1 per attempt and 47.6 per game).
• Edwards also has 12 catches for 180 yards (seventh on the Ravens). He has been targeted 13 times and averages 11.3 yards per game.
• Zay Flowers has totaled 858 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 77 receptions, while being targeted 108 times this season.
• Justice Hill averages 25.8 rushing yards per game over 15 games (387 total yards), with three rushing touchdowns.
• Hill has also caught 25 passes for 180 yards (seventh on the Ravens), with one receiving touchdown. He's been targeted 29 times and averages 12.0 yards per game.

Defense

• Roquan Smith has recorded 1.5 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL, 158 tackles, and one interception over 16 games in 2023.
• Patrick Queen has 3.5 sacks (fifth on the Ravens) to go with 9.0 TFL, 125 tackles, and one interception.
• Justin Madubuike has 13.0 sacks (first on the Ravens) in addition to his 12.0 TFL and 54 tackles.
• Kyle Hamilton has totaled 3.0 sacks as well as 10.0 TFL, 81 tackles, and four interceptions.

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