Texans vs. Bills 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 6

Updated Oct. 4, 2024 8:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Houston Texans (3-1) are favored by one point against the Buffalo Bills (3-1) on October 6, 2024, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET, airing on CBS. The over/under for this one is set at 47 points.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

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Texans vs. Bills Odds & Betting Lines

Texans vs Bills Betting Information updated as of October 4, 2024, 2:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Texans	-1	-108	-112	47	-112	-108

Texans vs. Bills Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Texans (-1)
Pick OU: Over (47)
Prediction: Texans 26 - Bills 21

How to Watch Houston vs. Buffalo

Game Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: NRG Stadium
Location: Houston, Texas
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Texans vs. Bills Recent Matchups

Houston has a 3-2 record against Buffalo in their last five matchups.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Buffalo has scored 119 points versus Houston, while giving up only 86 points.

Houston Betting Info

Thus far this season Houston is winless versus the spread.
The Texans have not covered the spread when favored by 1 point or more this season (in four opportunities).
Houston games this year have gone over the total in one out of four opportunities (25%).
When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Texans are 3-1, winning 75% of the time.
Looking at this game's moneyline, the Texans' implied win probability is 53.5%.

Texans Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	257.8 (1,031)	4
Rush yards	106.8 (427)	20
Points scored	19.8 (79)	18
Pass yards against	161.0 (644)	4
Rush yards against	112.8 (451)	13
Points allowed	23.5 (94)	22

Houston's Key Players

Offense

C.J. Stroud ranks sixth in the NFL with 1,054 passing yards through four games this year, averaging 263.5 per game with a 67.6% completion percentage and six touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) against two interceptions.
In addition to his passing stats, Stroud has 41 rushing yards (third on the Texans), but no touchdowns.
Nico Collins has caught 30 passes (fourth in the NFL) on 43 targets for 489 total yards (first in the NFL) and two touchdowns. He is averaging 7.5 catches and 122.3 yards per game through four games.
Stefon Diggs has two touchdown catches this season, and has 25 receptions (seventh in the NFL) for 233 yards on 33 targets, while averaging 6.3 catches and 58.3 yards per game.
Joe Mixon has rushed for 184 yards with one touchdown (92.0 yards per game through two games).
Mixon's eight receiving targets have led to six receptions (3.0 per game) for 44 yards (22.0 per game) and zero TDs.

Defense

Over on defense, Azeez Al-Shaair has 29 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one sack in 2024.
Henry To'o To'o has 31 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack this season.
This season, Jalen Pitre has recorded 1.0 TFL and 25 tackles.
Will Anderson Jr. has 2.5 sacks (first on the Texans) to go with his 4.0 TFL and 10 tackles on the season.

Buffalo Betting Info

Buffalo has covered the spread in a game two times this season (2-2-0).
The Bills have covered the spread once this year when underdogs by 1 point or more (in two chances).
Games involving Buffalo have hit the over twice this year.
The Bills have split the two games they've played as underdogs this season.
The implied probability of a win by the Bills based on the moneyline is 51.2%.

Bills Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	195.5 (782)	20
Rush yards	110.3 (441)	17
Points scored	30.5 (122)	3
Pass yards against	165.3 (661)	6
Rush yards against	156.5 (626)	30
Points allowed	20.8 (83)	11

Buffalo's Key Players

Offense

Josh Allen is averaging 8.1 passing yards per attempt (seventh in the NFL) and 203.5 yards per game this year, completing 69.3% of his passes on the way to 814 total yards, seven touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) and zero interceptions through four games.
Allen has also rushed for two touchdowns and 106 yards (second on the Bills).
James Cook averages 56.8 rushing yards per game over four games (227 total yards), while scoring three rushing touchdowns.
Cook has also picked up 106 receiving yards (26.5 per game) on nine catches (2.3 per game). He's been targeted 10 times and has caught one touchdown pass.
This season, Khalil Shakir has caught 18 passes for 230 receiving yards with two touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 19 total times and is averaging 4.5 receptions per game in four games played.
Ty Johnson has scored one touchdown on the ground, while running for 27 total yards (3.9 per carry and 6.8 per game).
Johnson also has 61 receiving yards (15.3 per game) on four catches (1.0 per game). He has been targeted six times with one touchdown reception.

Defense

Dorian Williams has 41 tackles and 2.0 TFL in 2024.
Gregory Rousseau has 13 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks.
During the 2024 campaign, Damar Hamlin has 22 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one interception through four games.
Baylon Spector has 1.0 sack (third on the Bills) as well as 2.0 TFL and 22 tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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