Texans vs. Bills 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 6

Updated Oct. 6, 2024 12:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Houston Texans (3-1) are considered favorites (-1) according to the point spread ahead of their game versus the Buffalo Bills (3-1) on October 6, 2024, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET, airing on CBS. An over/under of 48 points has been established for the matchup.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

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Texans vs. Bills Odds & Betting Lines

Texans vs Bills Betting Information updated as of October 6, 2024, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Texans	-1	-112	-108	48	-108	-112

Texans vs. Bills Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Texans (-1)
Pick OU: Under (48)
Prediction: Texans 26 - Bills 21

How to Watch Houston vs. Buffalo

Game Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: NRG Stadium
Location: Houston, Texas
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Texans vs. Bills Recent Matchups

Houston owns a 3-2 record against Buffalo in their last five matchups.
Houston has been outscored by 33 points in its last five tilts versus Buffalo.

Houston Betting Info

Houston is winless against the spread this year.
The Texans have not covered the spread when favored by 1 point or more this season (in four opportunities).
Houston games this year have gone over the total in one out of four opportunities (25%).
The Texans have compiled a 3-1 record in games they played as moneyline favorite (winning 75% of those games).
The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Texans a 54.1% chance to win.

Texans Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	257.8 (1,031)	4
Rush yards	106.8 (427)	20
Points scored	19.8 (79)	18
Pass yards against	161 (644)	4
Rush yards against	112.8 (451)	13
Points allowed	23.5 (94)	22

Houston's Key Players

Offense

C.J. Stroud has 1,054 passing yards (sixth in the NFL), six touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and two interceptions this year. He has completed 67.6% of his attempts, averaging 263.5 yards per game and 7.6 per attempt.
He has tacked on 41 rushing yards (10.3 per game) without a touchdown on the ground.
Nico Collins has caught 30 passes (fourth in the NFL) on 43 targets for 489 total yards (first in the NFL) and two touchdowns. He is averaging 7.5 catches and 122.3 yards per game through four games.
In four games played, Stefon Diggs is averaging 58.3 yards and 6.3 receptions per game to total 233 receiving yards and 25 catches (seventh in the NFL). He's been targeted 33 times, and has two receiving touchdowns.
Joe Mixon has run for 184 yards, averaging 92 yards per game and scoring one touchdown.
Mixon's eight receiving targets have resulted in six receptions (three per game) for 44 yards (22 per game) and zero TDs.

Defense

On the defensive side for the Texans, Azeez Al-Shaair has racked up 29 tackles, three TFL, and one sack in 2024.
Henry To'o To'o has one sack as well as two TFL and 31 tackles.
Jalen Pitre has totaled 25 tackles, one TFL, and three passes defended.
So far this season, Will Anderson Jr. has 10 tackles, four TFL, and 2.5 sacks.

Buffalo Betting Info

Buffalo has covered the spread two times this season (2-2-0).
The Bills have covered the spread once this year when underdogs by 1 point or more (in two chances).
Buffalo games have gone over the total twice this season.
The Bills have split the two games they've played as underdogs this season.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 50.5% chance of a victory for the Bills.

Bills Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	195.5 (782)	20
Rush yards	110.3 (441)	17
Points scored	30.5 (122)	3
Pass yards against	165.3 (661)	6
Rush yards against	156.5 (626)	30
Points allowed	20.8 (83)	11

Buffalo's Key Players

Offense

Through four games played this year, Josh Allen has amassed 814 passing yards, with seven touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) against zero interceptions and completing 69.3% of his attempts.
Allen has also rushed for two touchdowns and 106 yards (second on the Bills).
James Cook averages 56.8 rushing yards per game through four games (227 total yards), while scoring three rushing touchdowns.
Cook has also collected 106 receiving yards (26.5 per game) on nine catches (2.3 per game). He's been targeted 10 times and has caught one touchdown pass.
This season, Khalil Shakir has caught 18 passes for 230 receiving yards with two touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 19 total times and is averaging 4.5 receptions per game through four games played.
Ty Johnson has 27 rushing yards (fourth on the Bills) and one rushing touchdown, while averaging 6.8 yards per game and 3.9 per carry.
Johnson has also added four catches (1 per game) for 61 yards (15.3 per game) and one receiving touchdown. He has been on the receiving end of six targets.

Defense

So far in 2024, Dorian Williams has amassed 41 tackles and two TFL over four games.
Gregory Rousseau has registered three sacks in addition to his five TFL and 13 tackles through four games.
Damar Hamlin has 22 tackles, two TFL, and one interception in the 2024 season. He is third on the Bills in tackles.
Baylon Spector has one sack (third on the Bills) to go with two TFL and 22 tackles through three games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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