Texans vs. Colts 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 27

Texans vs. Colts 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 27

Updated Oct. 27, 2024 12:43 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Houston Texans (5-2) and Indianapolis Colts (4-3) will meet in a matchup of two division rivals. The Texans are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -5). An over/under of 45 points has been set for the matchup.

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Texans vs. Colts Odds & Betting Lines

Texans vs Colts Betting Information updated as of October 27, 2024, 5:33 a.m. ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Texans -5 -108 -112 45 -112 -108

Texans vs. Colts Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Texans (-5)
  • Pick OU: Under (45)
  • Prediction: Texans 26 - Colts 19

How to Watch Houston vs. Indianapolis

  • Game Date: Sunday, October 27, 2024
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Venue: NRG Stadium
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • TV: CBS
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read More NFL Predictions For This Week

Texans vs. Colts Recent Matchups

  • In their past five head-to-head bouts, Houston has taken down Indianapolis four times.
  • Houston has been outpaced by 4 points in its last five tilts against Indianapolis.

Houston Betting Info

  • In seven Houston games this season, it has three wins against the spread.
  • The Texans have covered the spread once this season (1-1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 5-point favorites.
  • Houston games this year have eclipsed the over/under two times in seven opportunities (28.6%).
  • The Texans have a 5-1 record in games they played as the moneyline favorite (winning 83.3% of those games).
  • Looking at this matchup's moneyline, the Texans' implied win probability is 69.2%.

Texans Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 227.6 (1,593) 10
Rush yards 122.1 (855) 15
Points scored 23.6 (165) 12
Pass yards against 167.7 (1,174) 4
Rush yards against 109.3 (765) 8
Points allowed 22.7 (159) 17

Houston's Key Players

Offense

  • C.J. Stroud ranks eighth in the NFL with 1,663 passing yards through seven games this year, averaging 237.6 per game with a 66.4% completion percentage and 10 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) against four interceptions.
  • He has also rushed for 94 yards (second on the Texans) without scoring a touchdown on the ground, while averaging 13.4 rushing yards per game.
  • Joe Mixon has collected 401 rushing yards with four touchdowns (100.3 yards per game through four games). His 5.2 yards per attempt rank 10th in the league.
  • Mixon's 14 targets as part of the passing attack have resulted in 10 catches (2.5 per game) for 83 yards (20.8 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Stefon Diggs has three touchdown catches this season, and has 42 catches (sixth in the NFL) for 415 yards on 55 targets, while averaging six catches and 59.3 yards per game.
  • Tank Dell has put up 194 receiving yards and one touchdown with 20 catches on 34 targets. He's averaging 3.3 receptions and 32.3 yards per game.

Defense

  • On defense, Will Anderson Jr. has 20 tackles, 10 TFL, and 6.5 sacks in 2024.
  • Azeez Al-Shaair has 40 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and three passes defended.
  • This season, Danielle Hunter has recorded 3.5 sacks (second on the Texans) to go with his five TFL and 17 tackles.
  • So far this season, Jalen Pitre has 36 tackles and three TFL. He's third on the Texans in tackles.

Indianapolis Betting Info

  • Indianapolis has gone 6-1-0 against the spread this year.
  • This year, three Indianapolis games have gone over the point total.
  • This season, the Colts have won two out of the four games in which they've been the underdog.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Colts based on the moneyline is 35.1%.

Colts Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 206.3 (1,444) 17
Rush yards 123 (861) 14
Points scored 22.1 (155) 15
Pass yards against 222.1 (1,555) 23
Rush yards against 159.9 (1,119) 31
Points allowed 21.3 (149) 12

Indianapolis' Key Players

Offense

  • Jonathan Taylor has rushed for four touchdowns this year, and has 349 total rushing yards (87.3 per game and 4.8 per carry).
  • Taylor's offensive contributions include six receptions (1.5 per game) on 10 targets for 77 yards (19.3 per game), though he has not found the endzone in the passing game.
  • Alec Pierce has 15 catches for 383 yards and three receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 26 times and averages 2.1 receptions per game through seven games played.
  • In three games this season, Joe Flacco has totaled 716 passing yards, while throwing seven touchdowns against one interception and completing 65.7% of his passes.
  • Anthony Richardson has 783 passing yards, three touchdowns and six interceptions. His completion percentage is 48.5% and he averages 156.6 yards per game and 7.8 per attempt.
  • Richardson also has one rushing touchdown and 197 rushing yards (second on the Colts).

Defense

  • Zaire Franklin's 2024 output includes 76 tackles and one TFL through seven games. He leads the NFL in tackles
  • Nick Cross has one interception on top of 69 tackles, one TFL, and two passes defended.
  • Jaylon Jones has three TFL, 46 tackles, and two interceptions.
  • E.J. Speed has registered three TFL and 60 tackles over six games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Houston Texans
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