Texans vs. Colts 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 27

Updated Oct. 25, 2024 8:44 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Houston Texans (5-2) are the favorites -- expected to win by at least a field goal, but less than a touchdown (currently -5) -- versus the Indianapolis Colts (4-3) in a battle of two division rivals. The predicted point total for the matchup is 45.

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Texans vs. Colts Odds & Betting Lines

Texans vs Colts Betting Information updated as of October 25, 2024, 1:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Texans	-5	-108	-112	45	-112	-108

Texans vs. Colts Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Texans (-5)
Pick OU: Under (45)
Prediction: Texans 26 - Colts 19

How to Watch Houston vs. Indianapolis

Game Date: Sunday, October 27, 2024
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: NRG Stadium
Location: Houston, Texas
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Texans vs. Colts Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Houston has put up four wins against Indianapolis.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Indianapolis has scored 128 points versus Houston, while allowing only 124 points.

Houston Betting Info

Against the spread, Houston is 3-3-1 this year.
The Texans have covered the spread once this season (1-1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 5-point favorites.
Houston games this year have gone over the total in two out of seven opportunities (28.6%).
The Texans have a 5-1 record in games they played as the moneyline favorite (winning 83.3% of those games).
The Texans have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 69.2%.

Texans Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	227.6 (1,593)	10
Rush yards	122.1 (855)	15
Points scored	23.6 (165)	12
Pass yards against	167.7 (1,174)	4
Rush yards against	109.3 (765)	8
Points allowed	22.7 (159)	17

Houston's Key Players

Offense

C.J. Stroud ranks eighth in the NFL with 1,663 passing yards through seven games this year, averaging 237.6 per game with a 66.4% completion percentage and 10 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) against four interceptions.
To go along with his passing statistics, Stroud has 94 rushing yards (second on the Texans), but no touchdowns.
Joe Mixon has collected 401 rushing yards with four touchdowns (100.3 yards per game through four games). His 5.2 yards per attempt rank 10th in the NFL.
He has also caught 10 passes (on 14 targets) for 83 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 20.8 receiving yards and 2.5 catches per game.
Stefon Diggs has three touchdown catches this season, and has 42 receptions (sixth in the NFL) for 415 yards on 55 targets, while averaging 6.0 catches and 59.3 yards per game.
Tank Dell has racked up 194 receiving yards and one touchdown with 20 catches on 34 targets. He is averaging 3.3 receptions and 32.3 yards per game.

Defense

Over on the defensive side, Will Anderson Jr. has 20 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and 6.5 sacks in 2024.
Azeez Al-Shaair has 40 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and one sack this season. He's second on the Texans in tackles.
This season, Danielle Hunter has put up 3.5 sacks (second on the Texans) to go with his 5.0 TFL and 17 tackles.
Jalen Pitre has 3.0 TFL and 36 tackles on the year.

Indianapolis Betting Info

Indianapolis has put together a record of 6-1-0 against the spread this year.
This season, Indianapolis games have hit the over three times.
This season, the Colts have been the underdog four times and won two of those games.
The implied probability of a win by the Colts based on the moneyline is 35.1%.

Colts Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	206.3 (1,444)	17
Rush yards	123.0 (861)	14
Points scored	22.1 (155)	15
Pass yards against	222.1 (1,555)	23
Rush yards against	159.9 (1,119)	31
Points allowed	21.3 (149)	12

Indianapolis' Key Players

Offense

Jonathan Taylor averages 87.3 rushing yards per game this year (349 total yards), while scoring four rushing touchdowns.
Taylor's offensive contributions include six receptions (1.5 per game) on 10 targets for 77 yards (19.3 per game), but he has not scored a touchdown in the passing game.
Alec Pierce has put together a 2024 stat sheet that includes 15 catches for 383 yards and three receiving touchdowns in seven games played. He has been on the receiving end of 26 targets and is averaging 2.1 receptions per game.
Joe Flacco has thrown for 716 yards this year, seven touchdowns and one interception. He is completing 65.7% of his attempts while averaging 238.7 yards per game and 6.6 per attempt.
Anthony Richardson has 783 passing yards, three touchdowns and six interceptions. His completion percentage is 48.5% and he averages 156.6 yards per game and 7.8 per attempt.
Richardson also has one rushing touchdown and 197 rushing yards (second on the Colts).

Defense

Zaire Franklin has 76 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one pass defended in 2024.
Nick Cross has 69 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception. He is second on the Colts and fifth in the league in tackles.
Jaylon Jones has intercepted two passes on top of 46 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and eight passes defended during the 2024 season. His interception total ranks ninth in the NFL.
E.J. Speed has totaled 3.0 TFL and 60 tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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