Texans vs. Colts Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 6

Published Jan. 2, 2024 7:03 p.m. ET

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The Houston Texans (9-7) are small favorites (-1.5) against the Indianapolis Colts (9-7) in a battle of two division rivals. The total for this one is set at 47.5 points.

Texans vs. Colts Odds & Betting Lines

Texans vs. Colts Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Indianapolis (+1.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (47.5)
  
• Prediction: Indianapolis 24 - Houston 22

How to Watch Houston vs. Indianapolis

• Game Date: Saturday, January 6, 2024
• Time: 8:15 PM ET
• Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
• Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
• TV: Watch on ABC/ESPN

Texans vs. Colts Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, Houston has put up three wins versus Indianapolis.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Indianapolis has racked up 129 points against Houston, while surrendering only 115 points.

Houston Betting Info

• Houston has eight wins in 16 games versus the spread this year.
• The Texans have covered the spread twice when favored by 1.5 points or more this season (in six opportunities).
• Houston games in 2023 have gone over the point total six times in 16 opportunities (37.5%).
• When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Texans are 4-2, earning a victory 66.7% of the time.
• Houston is 4-2 (winning 66.7% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -122 or shorter.
• The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Texans a 55.0% chance to win.

Texans Stats

Houston's Key Players

Offense

• C.J. Stroud has passed for 3,844 yards (ninth in the NFL), 21 touchdowns and five interceptions this year. He averages 274.6 yards per game and 8.1 per attempt, while completing 63.2% of his passes.
• He has also rushed for 147 yards (third on the Texans) and added three touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 10.5 rushing yards per game.
• Nico Collins has caught 71 passes on 100 targets for 1,102 total yards and seven touchdowns. He is averaging 5.1 catches and 78.7 yards per game through 14 games.
• In 16 games, Devin Singletary has picked up 835 yards on the ground, averaging 52.2 yards per game and scoring three touchdowns.
• Singletary has totaled 29 receptions on 37 targets for 191 yards, though he has yet to score a touchdown in the passing game.
• Dalton Schultz has 54 catches for 593 yards and five touchdowns. He's been targeted 81 times in the air attack, and averages 3.9 receptions and 42.4 yards through 14 games played.

Defense

• On the defensive side, Jonathan Greenard has 12.5 sacks (10th in the NFL) to go with 15 TFL and 52 tackles in 2023.
• Blake Cashman has 91 tackles, nine TFL, two sacks, and one interception this season. His tackle total leads the Texans.
• Christian Harris has put up 88 tackles, six TFL, and one sack this year.
• This season, Will Anderson Jr. has 44 tackles, 10 TFL, and seven sacks.

Indianapolis Betting Info

• Indianapolis has covered the spread nine times this season (9-7-0).
• The Colts have an ATS record of 3-5 in their eight games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more this season.
• This season, 11 Indianapolis games have gone over the point total.
• The Colts have entered the game as underdogs nine times this season and won twice.
• Indianapolis has a record of 2-6 when it is set as an underdog of +102 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 49.5% chance of a victory for the Colts.

Colts Stats

Indianapolis' Key Players

Offense

• In 15 games played this year, Gardner Minshew has racked up 3,164 passing yards, while throwing 15 touchdowns against nine interceptions and completing 62.7% of his attempts.
• He's added 91 yards on the ground (fifth on the Colts), with three rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 6.1 yards per game and 2.8 per attempt.
• Zack Moss has 764 rushing yards (leading the Colts) and five rushing touchdowns, while averaging 58.8 yards per game and 4.3 per carry (17th in the NFL).
• Moss also has 27 catches for 192 yards (sixth on the Colts), with two receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 37 times and averages 14.8 yards per game.
• In 15 games played this season, Michael Pittman Jr. has 104 catches (6.9 receptions per game on 10 targets per game) for 1,108 yards and four receiving touchdowns.
• Jonathan Taylor averages 61.4 rushing yards per game through nine games (553 total yards), with six rushing touchdowns.
• Taylor has also caught 17 passes for 145 yards (eighth on the Colts), with one receiving touchdown. He's been targeted 21 times and averages 16.1 yards per game.

Defense

• In 2023, Zaire Franklin has recorded 170 tackles, three TFL, and 1.5 sacks through 15 games.
• DeForest Buckner's stat sheet includes 75 tackles, 10 TFL, seven sacks, and seven passes defended.
• Samson Ebukam has 9.5 sacks (first on the Colts) as well as 10 TFL and 54 tackles in the 2023 campaign.
• Kenny Moore II's season stats include 91 tackles, eight TFL, 1.5 sacks, and three interceptions through 15 games. He is second on the Colts in tackles.

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