Texans vs. Dolphins 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 15

Texans vs. Dolphins 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 15

Updated Dec. 15, 2024 12:45 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Houston Texans (8-5) are favored by two points versus the Miami Dolphins (6-7) on December 15, 2024, starting at 1 p.m. ET, airing on CBS. An over/under of 46.5 points has been established for the matchup.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

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Texans vs. Dolphins Odds & Betting Lines

Texans vs Dolphins Betting Information updated as of December 15, 2024, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Texans -2 -125 -107 46.5 -108 -112

Texans vs. Dolphins Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Texans (-2)
  • Pick OU: Under (46.5)
  • Prediction: Texans 27 - Dolphins 17

How to Watch Houston vs. Miami

  • Game Date: Sunday, December 15, 2024
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Venue: NRG Stadium
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • TV: CBS
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read More NFL Predictions For This Week

Texans vs. Dolphins Recent Matchups

  • Miami owns a 3-2 record against Houston in their last five matchups.
  • Houston has been outscored by 2 points in its last five tilts against Miami.

Houston Betting Info

  • In 13 Houston games this year, it has five wins against the spread.
  • The Texans have covered the spread twice when favored by 2 points or more this season (in nine opportunities).
  • Houston games this year have gone over the total in four out of 13 opportunities (30.8%).
  • When playing as moneyline favorites, the Texans are 8-2 (winning 80% of the time).
  • Looking at this contest's moneyline, the Texans' implied win probability is 60.8%.

Texans Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 221.2 (2,875) 17
Rush yards 114.1 (1,483) 16
Points scored 23.7 (308) 13
Pass yards against 198.8 (2,584) 7
Rush yards against 109.7 (1,426) 10
Points allowed 22.2 (288) 12

Houston's Key Players

Offense

  • Joe Mixon has recorded 887 rushing yards with 11 touchdowns (88.7 yards per game through 10 games). His 4.3 yards per attempt rank 21st in the league.
  • Mixon has been targeted 40 times in the passing game and has 27 catches (2.7 per game) for 244 yards (24.4 per game) and one TD.
  • C.J. Stroud has thrown for 3,117 yards, 15 touchdowns and nine interceptions this year. He is averaging 239.8 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt, while completing 63.3%.
  • He has tacked on 199 rushing yards (15.3 per game) without a touchdown on the ground.
  • In the passing attack, Nico Collins, has totaled 832 receiving yards and four touchdowns after grabbing 49 balls on 72 targets. Per game, he's averaging 104 yards and 6.1 receptions over eight games.
  • Tank Dell has 43 catches for 543 yards and two touchdowns. He's been targeted 72 times in the air attack, and averages 3.6 receptions and 45.3 yards in 12 games played.

Defense

  • On the defensive side, Danielle Hunter has 10.5 sacks (fourth in the NFL) to go with 15 TFL and 38 tackles in 2024.
  • Will Anderson Jr. has 29 tackles, 13 TFL, and 9.5 sacks this season.
  • Henry To'o To'o has collected one interception and added 74 tackles, six TFL, one sack, and three passes defended.
  • So far this season, Derek Stingley Jr. has 41 tackles, two TFL, and three interceptions.

Miami Betting Info

  • Miami has covered the spread five times over 13 games with a set total.
  • This year, the Dolphins have just two ATS wins in five games as an underdog of 2 points or more.
  • Games involving Miami have hit the over on six occasions this season.
  • The Dolphins have entered the game as underdogs five times this season and won once.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dolphins have a 43.5% chance to win.

Dolphins Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 226.5 (2,945) 14
Rush yards 105.2 (1,368) 25
Points scored 20.3 (264) 23
Pass yards against 212.8 (2,766) 11
Rush yards against 105.6 (1,373) 7
Points allowed 22.5 (292) 14

Miami's Key Players

Offense

  • So far this year through 13 games, Devon Achane has churned out 600 rushing yards (leading the Dolphins) and scored four rushing touchdowns. He averages 46.2 yards per game and 3.9 per attempt (33rd in the NFL).
  • Achane's offensive contributions include 63 receptions (4.8 per game) on 71 targets for 474 yards (36.5 per game) and six receiving touchdowns.
  • In nine games, Tua Tagovailoa has 2,456 passing yards, while throwing 17 touchdowns against four interceptions and completing 73.8% of his attempts.
  • Tyreek Hill has put up 769 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 65 receptions, while being targeted 96 times on the season.
  • Jonnu Smith has 61 catches for 692 yards and five receiving touchdowns. He averages 4.7 yards per game through 13 games and has been targeted 78 times.

Defense

  • So far in 2024, Jordyn Brooks has two sacks to go with eight TFL and 112 tackles over 13 games.
  • Tyrel Dodson has totaled two sacks in addition to his five TFL, 88 tackles, and one interception over 12 games.
  • Zach Sieler has six sacks (first on the Dolphins) in addition to his 10 TFL, 39 tackles, and one interception.
  • Calais Campbell has 39 tackles, nine TFL, four sacks, and five passes defended.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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