Texans vs. Dolphins 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 15

Published Dec. 13, 2024 4:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Houston Texans (8-5) are considered favorites (-3) according to the point spread ahead of their game versus the Miami Dolphins (6-7) on December 15, 2024, starting at 1 p.m. ET, airing on CBS. The over/under for this one is set at 46.5 points.

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Texans vs. Dolphins Odds & Betting Lines

Texans vs Dolphins Betting Information updated as of December 12, 2024, 10:33 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Texans	-3	-108	-112	46.5	-110	-110

Texans vs. Dolphins Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Texans (-3)
Pick OU: Under (46.5)
Prediction: Texans 27 - Dolphins 17

How to Watch Houston vs. Miami

Game Date: Sunday, December 15, 2024
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: NRG Stadium
Location: Houston, Texas
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Texans vs. Dolphins Recent Matchups

Miami holds a 3-2 record against Houston in their last five matchups.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Miami has tallied 124 points against Houston, while allowing only 122 points.

Houston Betting Info

Against the spread, Houston is 5-7-1 this year.
The Texans have covered the spread twice this season (2-5-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
Houston games this year have hit the over on four of 13 set point totals (30.8%).
When playing as moneyline favorites, the Texans are 8-2, winning 80% of the time.
The Texans have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 59.7%.

Texans Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	221.2 (2,875)	17
Rush yards	114.1 (1,483)	16
Points scored	23.7 (308)	13
Pass yards against	198.8 (2,584)	7
Rush yards against	109.7 (1,426)	10
Points allowed	22.2 (288)	12

Houston's Key Players

Offense

On the ground, Joe Mixon averages 4.3 yards per attempt (21st in the NFL) and 88.7 yards per game for 887 total rushing yards. He has scored 11 rushing touchdowns this season.
He's also hauled in 27 passes (on 40 targets) for 244 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 24.4 receving yards and 2.7 catches per game.
C.J. Stroud has thrown for 3,117 yards, 15 touchdowns and nine interceptions this year. He averages 239.8 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt, while completing 63.3%.
He has rushed for 199 yards (second on the Texans) without scoring a touchdown on the ground, while averaging 15.3 rushing yards per game.
Nico Collins has four touchdown catches this season, and has 49 catches for 832 yards on 72 targets, while averaging 6.1 catches and 104 yards per game.
Tank Dell has 543 receiving yards and two touchdowns with 43 catches on 72 targets. He is averaging 3.6 receptions and 45.3 yards per game.

Defense

On the defensive side, Danielle Hunter has 10.5 sacks (fourth in the NFL) to go with 15 TFL and 38 tackles in 2024.
Will Anderson Jr. has 29 tackles, 13 TFL, and 9.5 sacks this season.
Henry To'o To'o has totaled 74 tackles, six TFL, one sack, and one interception this year. He leads the Texans in tackles.
So far this season, Derek Stingley Jr. has 41 tackles, two TFL, and three interceptions.

Miami Betting Info

Miami has gone 5-7-1 against the spread this season.
The Dolphins have been underdogs by 3 points or more four times this season and covered the spread once.
Miami's games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this season.
This season, the Dolphins have won one out of the five games in which they've been the underdog.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dolphins have a 44.6% chance to win.

Dolphins Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	226.5 (2,945)	14
Rush yards	105.2 (1,368)	25
Points scored	20.3 (264)	23
Pass yards against	212.8 (2,766)	11
Rush yards against	105.6 (1,373)	7
Points allowed	22.5 (292)	14

Miami's Key Players

Offense

Devon Achane has rushed for four touchdowns this year, and has racked up 600 total rushing yards (46.2 per game and 3.9 per attempt).
Achane has also played a role the passing attack with 474 yards (36.5 per game) on 63 receptions (4.8 per game), while being targeted 71 times. He has six receiving touchdowns.
Tua Tagovailoa has 2,456 passing yards, 17 touchdowns and four interceptions. His completion percentage is 73.8% and he averages 272.9 yards per game and 7.6 per attempt.
So far this season, Tyreek Hill has caught 65 passes for 769 receiving yards with five touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 96 total times and is averaging five receptions per game over 13 games played.
Jonnu Smith has been targeted 78 times, resulting in 61 catches for 692 yards .

Defense

Jordyn Brooks has two sacks (fifth on the Dolphins) to go with eight TFL and 112 tackles through 13 games in 2024.
Tyrel Dodson has 88 tackles, five TFL, two sacks, and one interception. He is second on the Dolphins in tackles.
Zach Sieler has 39 tackles, 10 TFL, six sacks, and one interception in the 2024 campaign.
Calais Campbell has put up four sacks (second on the Dolphins) to go with nine TFL and 39 tackles over 13 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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