Texans vs. Jaguars 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 1

Published Nov. 29, 2024 4:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Having lost four straight, the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9) will face the Houston Texans (7-5). The Texans are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The predicted point total for the matchup is 44.5.

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Texans vs. Jaguars Odds & Betting Lines

Texans vs Jaguars Betting Information updated as of November 29, 2024, 3:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Texans	-3.5	-108	-112	44.5	-108	-123

Texans vs. Jaguars Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Texans (-3.5)
Pick OU: Over (44.5)
Prediction: Texans 27 - Jaguars 19

How to Watch Houston vs. Jacksonville

Game Date: Sunday, December 1, 2024
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: EverBank Stadium
Location: Jacksonville, Florida
TV: Watch on FOX
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Texans vs. Jaguars Recent Matchups

In their last five head-to-head contests, Houston has defeated Jacksonville three times.
Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Houston and Jacksonville have put up the same number of points (98).

Houston Betting Info

In 12 Houston games this season, it has five wins against the spread.
The Texans have covered the spread twice this season (2-3-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
Houston games this year have hit the over on four of 12 set point totals (33.3%).
The Texans have won 77.8% of the time they have played as the moneyline favorite (7-2).
The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Texans a 63.0% chance to win.

Texans Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	221.4 (2,657)	15
Rush yards	114.6 (1,375)	19
Points scored	23.8 (285)	9
Pass yards against	192.3 (2,308)	5
Rush yards against	110.8 (1,329)	11
Points allowed	22.3 (268)	15

Houston's Key Players

Offense

Joe Mixon's rushing output this season includes 786 yards (ninth in the NFL) and 10 TDs. He's averaging 87.3 yards per game and 4.2 per attempt (24th in the NFL).
He's caught 23 passes (on 34 targets) for 226 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 25.1 receving yards and 2.6 catches per game.
C.J. Stroud has 2,875 passing yards (fifth in the NFL), 14 touchdowns and nine interceptions this year. He has completed 63.1% of his passes, averaging 239.6 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt.
He has rushed for 192 yards (second on the Texans) without scoring a touchdown on the ground, while averaging 16 rushing yards per game.
Nico Collins has four touchdown catches this season, and has 41 receptions for 713 yards on 61 targets, while averaging 5.9 catches and 101.9 yards per game.
Tank Dell averages 3.8 receptions and 47.3 yards per game, and has 520 total receiving yards and 42 catches. He's gotten 68 total targets, and has caught two touchdown passes.

Defense

On the defensive side, Danielle Hunter has 10.5 sacks (second in the NFL) to go with 15 TFL and 37 tackles in 2024.
Will Anderson Jr. has 29 tackles, 13 TFL, 9.5 sacks, and one pass defended.
Azeez Al-Shaair has collected 63 tackles, seven TFL, and two sacks this year.
So far this season, Jalen Pitre has 66 tackles, six TFL, and one interception. He leads the Texans in tackles.

Jacksonville Betting Info

Jacksonville is 6-5-0 against the spread this year.
The Jaguars are 5-2 ATS when underdogs by 3.5 points or more this season.
This year, seven Jacksonville games have gone over the point total.
This season, the Jaguars have been listed as the underdog in seven games and failed to win any of those contests.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Jaguars have a 41.3% chance to win.

Jaguars Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	189.2 (2,081)	28
Rush yards	101.6 (1,118)	25
Points scored	18.9 (208)	25
Pass yards against	278.3 (3,061)	32
Rush yards against	135.5 (1,490)	26
Points allowed	28.7 (316)	31

Jacksonville's Key Players

Offense

Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 2,004 yards this year, with 11 touchdowns and six interceptions. He is completing 61.3% of his passes while averaging 222.7 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt.
He's added 113 yards on the ground (fourth on the Jaguars), with three rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 12.6 yards per game and 4.5 per attempt.
Brian Thomas Jr. has 42 catches for 689 yards and five receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 63 times and averages 3.8 receptions per game in 11 games played.
Tank Bigsby is averaging 51.9 rushing yards per game this season (519 total yards), while scoring four rushing touchdowns.
Travis Etienne puts up 36.1 rushing yards per game through nine games (325 total yards), with two rushing touchdowns.
Etienne has also caught 22 passes for 102 yards (seventh on the Jaguars). He's been targeted 30 times and averages 11.3 yards per game.

Defense

Travon Walker has 7.5 sacks (first on the Jaguars) to go with nine TFL and 40 tackles over 11 games in 2024.
Devin Lloyd's stats include 79 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and two passes defended.
Ventrell Miller has recorded three TFL and 67 tackles in the 2024 campaign.
Foyesade Oluokun has put up one sack (third on the Jaguars) to go with four TFL, 59 tackles, and one interception over seven games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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