Texans vs. Jaguars 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2024 12:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3) will be aiming to snap a three-game losing streak against the Houston Texans (2-1). The Texans are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -5.5). The over/under for this one is set at 44.5 points.

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Texans vs. Jaguars Odds & Betting Lines

Texans vs Jaguars Betting Information updated as of September 29, 2024, 11:33 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Texans	-5.5	-112	-108	44.5	-110	-110

Texans vs. Jaguars Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Texans (-5.5)
Pick OU: Under (44.5)
Prediction: Texans 25 - Jaguars 17

How to Watch Houston vs. Jacksonville

Game Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: NRG Stadium
Location: Houston, Texas
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Texans vs. Jaguars Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Houston has tallied three wins versus Jacksonville.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Houston has tallied 104 points versus Jacksonville, while surrendering only 94 points.

Houston Betting Info

Houston has not covered the spread yet this season.
The Texans have not covered the spread this season (0-0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
Houston's games this year have hit the over one time in three opportunities (33.3%).
When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Texans are 2-1, winning 66.7% of the time.
Looking at this contest's moneyline, the Texans' implied win probability is 70.4%.

Texans Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	232.3 (697)	8
Rush yards	108.7 (326)	17
Points scored	18.3 (55)	22
Pass yards against	163 (489)	6
Rush yards against	97.7 (293)	7
Points allowed	24.7 (74)	23

Houston's Key Players

Offense

C.J. Stroud has passed for 709 yards (10th in the NFL), four touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and two interceptions this year. He is averaging 236.3 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt, while completing 67.7% of his attempts.
Nico Collins' 338 receiving yards this season (second in the NFL) have come from 28 targets and 18 receptions (10th in the NFL). He's averaging 112.7 receiving yards and six catches per game, with one receiving touchdown.
Stefon Diggs has two touchdown catches this season (10th in the NFL), and has 20 receptions (seventh in the NFL) for 164 yards on 24 targets, while averaging 6.7 catches and 54.7 yards per game.
In the running game, Joe Mixon averages 4.7 yards per attempt (17th in the NFL) and 92 yards per game for 184 total rushing yards. He has recorded one rushing touchdown this season.
Mixon's eight receiving targets have led to six receptions (three per game) for 44 yards (22 per game) and zero TDs.

Defense

On the defensive side, Azeez Al-Shaair has 25 tackles, three TFL, and one sack in 2024.
Henry To'o To'o has 25 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and one pass defended.
Jalen Pitre has totaled 21 tackles and one TFL this year.
So far this season, Will Anderson Jr. has eight tackles, four TFL, and 2.5 sacks.

Jacksonville Betting Info

Jacksonville has covered the spread in a game one time this year (1-2-0).
Games involving Jacksonville has hit the over once this season.
The Jaguars have lost both games they've played as underdogs this season.
The implied probability of a win by the Jaguars based on the moneyline is 33.9%.

Jaguars Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	160.7 (482)	27
Rush yards	115.7 (347)	16
Points scored	13.3 (40)	30
Pass yards against	252.3 (757)	30
Rush yards against	109.3 (328)	11
Points allowed	28.3 (85)	29

Jacksonville's Key Players

Offense

Trevor Lawrence has passed for 560 yards this year, with two touchdowns and one interception. He is completing 52.8% of his passes while averaging 186.7 yards per game and 6.3 per attempt.
On the ground, Lawrence has added 56 rushing yards (third on the Jaguars).
Travis Etienne has scored two rushing touchdowns, while totaling 164 rushing yards (4.6 per carry and 54.7 per game).
Etienne has also picked up 38 receiving yards (12.7 per game) on nine catches (three per game). He's been targeted 13 times and is still seeking his first receiving touchdown.
So far this season, Brian Thomas Jr. has caught 11 passes for 189 receiving yards with one touchdown through the air. He has been targeted 17 total times and is averaging 3.7 receptions per game in three games played.
Brenton Strange has been targeted 11 times, resulting in five catches for 77 yards .

Defense

Devin Lloyd has one TFL and 21 tackles over three games in 2024.
Montaric Brown has two TFL and 21 tackles through three games.
Antonio Johnson has one TFL and 20 tackles in the 2024 campaign.
Travon Walker has totaled two sacks (first on the Jaguars) as well as two TFL and 12 tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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