Texans vs. Jaguars 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 29

Updated Sep. 27, 2024 8:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Having lost three in a row, the Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3) will play the Houston Texans (2-1). The Texans are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 45.5.

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Texans vs. Jaguars Odds & Betting Lines

Texans vs Jaguars Betting Information updated as of September 27, 2024, 5:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Texans	-6.5	-108	-112	45.5	-112	-108

Texans vs. Jaguars Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Texans (-6.5)
Pick OU: Under (45.5)
Prediction: Texans 25 - Jaguars 17

How to Watch Houston vs. Jacksonville

Game Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: NRG Stadium
Location: Houston, Texas
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Texans vs. Jaguars Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Houston has tallied three wins versus Jacksonville.
Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Houston has racked up 104 points, while Jacksonville has posted 94.

Houston Betting Info

Houston is winless against the spread this season.
Houston's games this year have gone over the point total one time in three opportunities (33.3%).
The Texans have a 2-1 record in games they played as the moneyline favorite (winning 66.7% of those games).
The Texans have a 73.0% chance to win this matchup, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Texans Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	232.3 (697)	8
Rush yards	108.7 (326)	17
Points scored	18.3 (55)	22
Pass yards against	163.0 (489)	6
Rush yards against	97.7 (293)	7
Points allowed	24.7 (74)	23

Houston's Key Players

Offense

C.J. Stroud has 709 passing yards (10th in the NFL), four touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and two interceptions this year. He has completed 67.7% of his passes, averaging 236.3 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.
Nico Collins' 338 receiving yards this season (second in the NFL) have come from 28 targets and 18 receptions (10th in the NFL). He's averaging 112.7 receiving yards and 6.0 catches per game, with one receiving touchdown.
In the passing attack, Stefon Diggs, has contributed with 164 receiving yards and two touchdowns (10th in the NFL) after hauling in 20 balls (seventh in the NFL) on 24 targets. Per game, he's averaging 54.7 yards and 6.7 receptions in three games.
In the ground game, Joe Mixon averages 4.7 yards per attempt (17th in the NFL) and 92.0 yards per game for 184 total rushing yards. He has scored one rushing touchdown this season.
Mixon's eight receiving targets have resulted in six receptions (3.0 per game) for 44 yards (22.0 per game) and zero TDs.

Defense

On defense for the Texans, Azeez Al-Shaair has powered the unit with 25 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one sack in 2024.
Henry To'o To'o has 1.0 sack in addition to his 2.0 TFL and 25 tackles.
Jalen Pitre has totaled 21 tackles and 1.0 TFL this year.
Will Anderson Jr. has eight tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks.

Jacksonville Betting Info

Jacksonville is 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
Jacksonville games have gone over the total once this season.
The Jaguars have lost both games they've played as underdogs this season.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 31.2% chance of a victory for the Jaguars.

Jaguars Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	160.7 (482)	27
Rush yards	115.7 (347)	16
Points scored	13.3 (40)	30
Pass yards against	252.3 (757)	30
Rush yards against	109.3 (328)	11
Points allowed	28.3 (85)	29

Jacksonville's Key Players

Offense

Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 560 yards this year, with two touchdowns and one interception. He is completing 52.8% of his passes while averaging 186.7 yards per game and 6.3 per attempt.
Lawrence has also rushed for 56 yards (third on the Jaguars).
Travis Etienne has 164 rushing yards (leading the Jaguars) and two rushing touchdowns, while averaging 54.7 yards per game and 4.6 per carry (19th in the NFL).
Etienne has also picked up 38 receiving yards (12.7 per game) on nine catches (3.0 per game). He's been targeted 13 times and is still looking for his first receiving touchdown.
Brian Thomas Jr. has totaled 189 receiving yards and one touchdown on 11 receptions, while being targeted 17 times on the season.
Brenton Strange has 77 receiving yards and one touchdown from five receptions after receiving 11 targets.

Defense

In 2024, Foyesade Oluokun has amassed 22 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one sack through three games.
Devin Lloyd's stat sheet includes 21 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two passes defended.
Montaric Brown has 21 tackles and 2.0 TFL in the 2024 season. He is second on the Jaguars in tackles.
Antonio Johnson's stat sheet includes 20 tackles and 1.0 TFL in three games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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