Texans vs. Patriots 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 13

Updated Oct. 13, 2024 12:44 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Having lost four straight, the New England Patriots (1-4) will face the Houston Texans (4-1). The Texans are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6.5). The predicted point total for the game is 38.

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Texans vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Lines

Texans vs Patriots Betting Information updated as of October 13, 2024, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Texans	-6.5	-108	-112	38	-110	-110

Texans vs. Patriots Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Texans (-6.5)
Pick OU: Over (38)
Prediction: Texans 25 - Patriots 13

How to Watch Houston vs. New England

Game Date: Sunday, October 13, 2024
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Gillette Stadium
Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Texans vs. Patriots Recent Matchups

In their past five head-to-head meetings, New England has taken down Houston four times.
Over their last five head-to-head contests, New England has racked up 144 points, while Houston has accumulated 119.

Houston Betting Info

This year Houston has one win against the spread.
Houston's games this year have hit the over one time in five opportunities (20%).
When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Texans are 4-1, winning 80% of the time.
Looking at this game's moneyline, the Texans' implied win probability is 72.6%.

Texans Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	272.4 (1,362)	2
Rush yards	104.2 (521)	22
Points scored	20.4 (102)	18
Pass yards against	154 (770)	3
Rush yards against	120.2 (601)	17
Points allowed	22.8 (114)	17

Houston's Key Players

Offense

C.J. Stroud has 1,385 passing yards (fourth in the NFL), seven touchdowns and three interceptions this year. He has completed 68.9% of his attempts, averaging 277 yards per game and 7.8 per attempt.
He has also rushed for 68 yards (third on the Texans) without scoring a touchdown on the ground, while averaging 13.6 rushing yards per game.
Stefon Diggs' 315 receiving yards this season have come from 41 targets and 31 receptions (eighth in the NFL). He's averaging 63 receiving yards and 6.2 catches per game, with two receiving touchdowns.
Joe Mixon has 184 rushing yards with one touchdown (92 yards per game across two games).
Mixon has been on the receiving end of eight targets in the passing game and has six catches (three per game) for 44 yards (22 per game) and zero TDs.
In the running game, Cam Akers averages 3.9 yards per attempt (34th in the NFL) and 37 yards per game for 148 total rushing yards. He has scored one rushing touchdown this season.
Akers' seven receiving targets have resulted in four receptions (one per game) for 16 yards (4 per game) and one TD.

Defense

On defense, Azeez Al-Shaair has 37 tackles, four TFL, and one sack in 2024.
Henry To'o To'o has 37 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and one pass defended.
Jalen Pitre has recorded 27 tackles and one TFL this year. He's third on the Texans in tackles.
This season, Will Anderson Jr. has 11 tackles, five TFL, and 2.5 sacks.

New England Betting Info

New England has covered the spread twice in five games with a set number.
The Patriots have covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 6.5 points or more (in three chances).
This season, New England games have hit the over twice.
The Patriots have been underdogs in five games this season and won one (20%) of those contests.
The implied probability of a win by the Patriots based on the moneyline is 31.7%.

Patriots Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	119.4 (597)	32
Rush yards	131.4 (657)	8
Points scored	12.4 (62)	31
Pass yards against	239 (1,195)	25
Rush yards against	118 (590)	13
Points allowed	20.4 (102)	9

New England's Key Players

Offense

Rhamondre Stevenson averages 71.2 rushing yards per game this year (356 total yards to rank 10th in the NFL), while scoring three rushing touchdowns.
Through five games, Jacoby Brissett has 696 passing yards, while throwing two touchdowns against one interception and completing 58.5% of his attempts.
He has added 51 rushing yards (third on the Patriots), with zero touchdowns on the ground (averaging 10.2 yards per game and 4.3 per carry).
So far this season in five games, Antonio Gibson has churned out 207 rushing yards (second on the Patriots), but has not scored a rushing touchdown. He averages 41.4 yards per game and 5.9 per attempt (sixth in the NFL).
In addition to his ground game, Gibson has pulled down eight passes (on nine targets) for 86 yards (third on the Patriots). He averages 17.2 yards per game.
Hunter Henry has 16 catches for 180 yards without a receiving touchdown. He averages 3.2 yards per game in five games and has been targeted 25 times.

Defense

Keion White has amassed four sacks (first on the Patriots and 10th in the NFL) to go with four TFL and 22 tackles over five games in 2024.
Christian Gonzalez has 23 tackles and one interception over five games.
Kyle Dugger has recorded one sack (fourth on the Patriots) as well as three TFL and 18 tackles in the 2024 campaign.
Jahlani Tavai has four TFL and 26 tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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