Texans vs. Patriots 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 13

Published Oct. 11, 2024 4:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Having lost four straight, the New England Patriots (1-4) will play the Houston Texans (4-1). The Texans are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 37.5.

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Texans vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Lines

Texans vs Patriots Betting Information updated as of October 11, 2024, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Texans	-6.5	-112	-108	37.5	-110	-110

Texans vs. Patriots Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Texans (-6.5)
Pick OU: Over (37.5)
Prediction: Texans 25 - Patriots 13

How to Watch Houston vs. New England

Game Date: Sunday, October 13, 2024
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Gillette Stadium
Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Texans vs. Patriots Recent Matchups

New England owns a 4-1 record against Houston in their last five matchups.
Over their last five head-to-head matchups, New England has racked up 144 points, while Houston has accumulated 119.

Houston Betting Info

Houston has covered the spread one time this season.
Houston games this year have hit the over on one of five set point totals (20%).
When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Texans have won 80% of the time (4-1).
Looking at this game's moneyline, the Texans' implied win probability is 74.0%.

Texans Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	272.4 (1,362)	2
Rush yards	104.2 (521)	22
Points scored	20.4 (102)	18
Pass yards against	154 (770)	3
Rush yards against	120.2 (601)	17
Points allowed	22.8 (114)	17

Houston's Key Players

Offense

C.J. Stroud has 1,385 passing yards (fourth in the NFL), seven touchdowns and three interceptions this year. He has completed 68.9% of his attempts, averaging 277 yards per game and 7.8 per attempt.
He has also rushed for 68 yards (third on the Texans) without scoring a touchdown on the ground, while averaging 13.6 rushing yards per game.
Stefon Diggs has 31 catches (eighth in the NFL) for 315 yards and two TDs. Through five games, he is averaging 6.2 catches and 63 yards per game.
In two games, Joe Mixon has amassed 184 rushing yards, averaging 92 yards per game and scoring one touchdown.
Mixon has six catches, 44 yards and zero TDs through the air.
In the running game, Cam Akers averages 3.9 yards per attempt (34th in the NFL) and 37 yards per game for 148 total rushing yards. He has recorded one rushing touchdown this season.
He has added four catches (on seven targets) for 16 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 4 receiving yards and one receptions per game.

Defense

Over on defense, Azeez Al-Shaair has 37 tackles, four TFL, and one sack in 2024. His tackle total leads the Texans.
Henry To'o To'o has 37 tackles, two TFL, and one sack this season. He leads the Texans in tackles.
Jalen Pitre has put up 27 tackles and one TFL this year.
Will Anderson Jr. has 2.5 sacks (first on the Texans) as well as five TFL and 11 tackles on the season.

New England Betting Info

New England has covered the spread twice in five games with a set number.
The Patriots have covered the spread once this year when underdogs by 6.5 points or more (in three chances).
Games involving New England have hit the over twice this year.
This season, the Patriots have won one out of the five games in which they've been the underdog.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 30.3% chance of a victory for the Patriots.

Patriots Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	119.4 (597)	32
Rush yards	131.4 (657)	8
Points scored	12.4 (62)	31
Pass yards against	239 (1,195)	25
Rush yards against	118 (590)	13
Points allowed	20.4 (102)	9

New England's Key Players

Offense

This year through five games, Rhamondre Stevenson has churned out 356 rushing yards (leading the Patriots and 10th in the NFL) and scored three rushing touchdowns. He averages 71.2 yards per game and 4.6 per carry (18th in the NFL).
Through five games, Jacoby Brissett has 696 passing yards, while throwing two touchdowns against one interception and completing 58.5% of his passes.
Brissett also has 51 rushing yards (third on the Patriots).
Antonio Gibson is averaging 41.4 rushing yards per game this season (207 total yards), but has yet to score a rushing touchdown.
Gibson's stat sheet includes eight receptions (1.6 per game) on nine targets for 86 yards (17.2 per game), but he has not scored a touchdown in the passing game.
Hunter Henry has 180 receiving yards from 16 receptions after getting 25 targets.

Defense

Keion White's 2024 effort includes 22 tackles, four TFL, and four sacks through five games. He is fourth on the Patriots in tackles.
Christian Gonzalez's stat sheet includes one interception as well as 24 tackles and three passes defended.
In the 2024 campaign, Kyle Dugger has 18 tackles, three TFL, and one sack through four games.
Jahlani Tavai's stats include 26 tackles, four TFL, and one pass defended in five games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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