Texans vs. Titans Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 31

Published Dec. 27, 2023 1:03 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

In a matchup of two division rivals, the Houston Texans (8-7) will meet the Tennessee Titans (5-10). The Texans are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -4.5). The expected point total for the matchup is 42.5.

Texans vs. Titans Odds & Betting Lines

Texans vs Titans Betting Information updated as of December 27, 2023, 11:33 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Texans	-4.5	-110	-110	42.5	-110	-110

Texans vs. Titans Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Houston (-4.5)
Pick OU: Under (42.5)
Prediction: Houston 24 - Tennessee 18

How to Watch Houston vs. Tennessee

Game Date: Sunday, December 31, 2023
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: NRG Stadium
Location: Houston, Texas
TV: Watch on FOX

Texans vs. Titans Recent Matchups

In their last five head-to-head meetings, Houston has taken down Tennessee three times.
Over their last five head-to-head contests, Tennessee has racked up 103 points, while Houston has posted 86.

Houston Betting Info

Houston is 7-8-0 against the spread this season.
The Texans have not covered the spread when favored by 4.5 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
Houston games this year have hit the over on six of 15 set point totals (40%).
When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Texans are 3-2 (winning 60% of the time).
Houston has played as a moneyline favorite of -218 or shorter in only one game this season, which it won.
The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Texans a 68.6% chance to win.

Texans Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	248.4 (3,726)	7
Rush yards	98.4 (1,476)	23
Points scored	21.9 (328)	15
Pass yards against	247.5 (3,712)	26
Rush yards against	90.9 (1,363)	6
Points allowed	22.1 (331)	17

Houston's Key Players

Offense

C.J. Stroud ranks 10th in the NFL with 3,631 passing yards in 13 games this year, averaging 279.3 per game with a 62.4% completion percentage and 20 touchdowns against five interceptions.
He has tacked on 143 rushing yards (11.0 per game) and three touchdowns on the ground.
Nico Collins' 1,022 receiving yards this season have come from 92 targets and 64 receptions. He's averaging 78.6 receiving yards and 4.9 catches per game, with seven receiving touchdowns.
In 15 games, Devin Singletary has picked up 755 rushing yards, averaging 50.3 yards per game and scoring three touchdowns.
Singletary has gotten 34 targets in the passing game and has 26 catches (1.7 per game) for 185 yards (12.3 per game) and zero TDs.
Dalton Schultz has racked up 574 receiving yards and five touchdowns with 52 catches on 77 targets. He is averaging 4.0 receptions and 44.2 yards per game.

Defense

On the defensive side, Jonathan Greenard has 52 tackles, 15.0 TFL, and 12.5 sacks in 2023.
Blake Cashman has 85 tackles, 9.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception this season. His tackle total leads the Texans.
Christian Harris has recorded 83 tackles, 5.0 TFL, one sack, and five passes defended.
So far this season, Jalen Pitre has 70 tackles and 5.0 TFL.

Tennessee Betting Info

Tennessee have compiled a 6-8-1 record against the spread this season.
This season, the Titans have just one ATS win in three games as an underdog of 4.5 points or more.
Tennessee's games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this season.
This season, the Titans have been the underdog 12 times and won four, or 33.3%, of those games.
Tennessee has a record of 1-2 in games where oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +180 on the moneyline.
The Titans have a 35.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Titans Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	185.4 (2,781)	26
Rush yards	107.9 (1,618)	17
Points scored	18.3 (274)	27
Pass yards against	225.7 (3,385)	18
Rush yards against	109.2 (1,638)	14
Points allowed	21.4 (321)	15

Tennessee's Key Players

Offense

Derrick Henry has rushed for 11 touchdowns this year, and has racked up 972 total rushing yards (64.8 per game and 3.9 per carry).
Henry has also figured into the passing attack with 214 yards (14.3 per game) on 28 receptions (1.9 per game), while being targeted 35 times. He is still looking for his first receiving touchdown.
DeAndre Hopkins has put together a 2023 stat sheet that includes 61 catches for 939 yards and six receiving touchdowns in 15 games played. He has been on the receiving end of 120 targets and is averaging 4.1 receptions per game.
Through eight games this season, Will Levis has totaled 1,792 passing yards, with eight touchdowns against four interceptions and completing 59.0% of his passes.
Levis has also rushed for one touchdown and 57 yards (fourth on the Titans).
Tyjae Spears has scored one touchdown on the ground, while running for 428 total yards (4.7 per attempt and 28.5 per game).
Spears has tacked on 45 catches (3.0 per game) for 315 yards (21.0 per game), without a receiving touchdown. He has been on the receiving end of 61 targets.

Defense

Azeez Al-Shaair has 145 tackles, 8.0 TFL, two sacks, and four passes defended in 2023.
Denico Autry has 48 tackles, 12.0 TFL, 11.5 sacks, and four passes defended.
In the 2023 campaign, Harold Landry has 64 tackles, 11.0 TFL, and 9.5 sacks in 15 games.
Roger McCreary's stat sheet includes one interception as well as 70 tackles, 5.0 TFL, two sacks, and five passes defended in 12 games

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