Vikings vs. Bears Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 15

Published Oct. 11, 2023 1:07 p.m. ET

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The Minnesota Vikings (1-4) are slim favorites (-2.5) versus the Chicago Bears (1-4) in a matchup of two division rivals. The predicted point total for the game is 44.5.

Vikings vs. Bears Odds & Betting Lines

Vikings vs. Bears Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Minnesota (-2.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (44.5)
  
• Prediction: Minnesota 27 - Chicago 23

How to Watch Minnesota vs. Chicago

• Game Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Soldier Field
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• TV: Watch on FOX

Vikings vs. Bears Recent Matchups

• Chicago owns a 3-2 record against Minnesota in their last five matchups.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Chicago has racked up 96 points versus Minnesota, while surrendering only 93 points.

Minnesota Betting Info

• Minnesota has covered the spread on one occasion this season.
• The Vikings have covered the spread once when favored by 2.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• Minnesota games this year have hit the over on one of five set point totals (20%).
• The Vikings have been moneyline favorites in two other games this season, and they split them.
• Minnesota has played as a moneyline favorite of -135 or shorter in just two games this season, and it split 1-1.
• Looking at this matchup's moneyline, the Vikings' implied win probability is 57.4%.

Vikings Stats

Minnesota's Key Players

Offense

• Kirk Cousins has 1,498 passing yards (second in the NFL), 13 touchdowns (first in the NFL) and four interceptions this year. He has completed 67.2% of his attempts, averaging 299.6 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt.
• Justin Jefferson's 571 receiving yards this season (third in the NFL) have come from 53 targets and 36 receptions (sixth in the NFL). He's averaging 114.2 receiving yards and 7.2 catches per game, with three receiving touchdowns (fifth in the NFL).
• Alexander Mattison has 276 rushing yards without a rushing TD (55.2 yards per game across five games).
• Mattison has recorded 14 receptions, 76 yards and two TDs in the passing game.
• Jordan Addison has 19 catches for 249 yards and three touchdowns. He's been targeted 29 times in the passing game, and averages 3.8 receptions and 49.8 yards in five games played.

Defense

• On the defensive side, Danielle Hunter has 6.0 sacks (second in the NFL) to go with 9.0 TFL and 25 tackles in 2023.
• Harrison Smith has 38 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and three sacks this season.
• Camryn Bynum has totaled 51 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two passes defended.
• So far this season, Jordan Hicks has 43 tackles and 1.0 TFL.

Chicago Betting Info

• Chicago has covered the spread one time in five games with a set spread.
• The Bears have covered the spread once this year when underdogs by 2.5 points or more (in four chances).
• All Chicago games have gone over the total this year.
• The Bears have entered the game as underdogs four times this season and won once.
• Chicago has entered three games this season as the underdog by +114 or more and is 1-2 in those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Bears have a 46.7% chance to win.

Bears Stats

Chicago's Key Players

Offense

• Justin Fields is averaging 7.5 passing yards per attempt (seventh in the NFL) and 228.6 yards per game this year, completing 61.8% of his passes on the way to 1,143 total yards, 11 touchdowns (second in the NFL) and five interceptions through five games.
• Fields has also rushed for one touchdown and 191 yards (second on the Bears).
• D.J. Moore has 27 catches for 531 yards (fifth in the NFL) and five receiving touchdowns (first in the NFL). He has been targeted 34 times and averages 5.4 receptions per game in five games played.
• Khalil Herbert has yet to rush for a touchdown this season, but has totaled 272 rushing yards (54.4 per game and 5.3 per attempt).
• In addition to his rushing stats, Herbert has grabbed 10 passes (on 18 targets) for 83 yards (fourth on the Bears), with one receiving touchdown. He averages 16.6 yards per game.
• Cole Kmet has 23 catches for 231 yards and three receiving touchdowns (fifth in the NFL). He averages 4.6 yards per game through five games and has been targeted 29 times.

Defense

• T.J. Edwards' 2023 showing includes 61 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack in five games. He leads the Bears and is second in the NFL in tackles.
• Tremaine Edmunds has registered 3.0 TFL and 48 tackles through five games.
• Terell Smith has 2.0 TFL and 21 tackles in the 2023 season.
• Greg Stroman has 1.0 sack (second on the Bears) to go with 3.0 TFL, 19 tackles, and one interception through four games.

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