Vikings vs. Packers 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 29

Vikings vs. Packers 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 29

Updated Dec. 28, 2024 8:43 a.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Minnesota Vikings (13-2) will be trying to extend an eight-game winning streak against the Green Bay Packers (11-4). The Vikings are small favorites (-2). The predicted point total for the matchup is 48.5.

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Vikings vs. Packers Odds & Betting Lines

Vikings vs Packers Betting Information updated as of December 27, 2024, 1:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Vikings -2 -109 -122 48.5 -110 -110

Vikings vs. Packers Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Packers (+2)
  • Pick OU: Under (48.5)
  • Prediction: Vikings 23 - Packers 22

How to Watch Minnesota vs. Green Bay

  • Game Date: Sunday, December 29, 2024
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • TV: Watch on FOX
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read More NFL Predictions For This Week

Vikings vs. Packers Recent Matchups

  • Minnesota holds a 3-2 record against Green Bay in their last five matchups.
  • Over their last five head-to-head contests, Green Bay has put up 120 points, while Minnesota has posted 105.

Minnesota Betting Info

  • Minnesota has nine wins in 15 games versus the spread this year.
  • The Vikings have been favored by 2 points or more 10 times this season, and covered the spread in five of those matchups.
  • Minnesota contests this year have eclipsed the over/under 40% of the time (six times in 15 games with a set point total).
  • When playing as moneyline favorites, the Vikings have won 83.3% of the time (10-2).
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Vikings' implied win probability is 54.1%.

Vikings Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 235.3 (3,529) 8
Rush yards 111.1 (1,666) 16
Points scored 26.4 (396) 9
Pass yards against 248.7 (3,731) 30
Rush yards against 87.1 (1,306) 2
Points allowed 18.4 (276) 3

Minnesota's Key Players

Offense

  • Sam Darnold has passed for 3,776 yards (seventh in the NFL), 32 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and 11 interceptions this year. He averages 251.7 yards per game and 8.2 per attempt, while completing 67.2% of his passes.
  • To go along with his passing statistics, Darnold has 205 rushing yards (fourth on the Vikings), with one rushing touchdown.
  • Justin Jefferson's 1,387 receiving yards this season (second in the NFL) have come from 134 targets and 92 receptions (eighth in the NFL). He's averaging 92.5 receiving yards and 6.1 catches per game, with 10 receiving touchdowns (fourth in the NFL).
  • Aaron Jones' output on the ground this season includes 1,046 yards (10th in the NFL) and five TDs. He's averaging 69.7 yards per game and 4.5 per attempt (20th in the NFL).
  • Jones has gotten 51 targets in the passing game and has 42 catches (2.8 per game) for 348 yards (23.2 per game) and two TDs.
  • Jordan Addison has racked up 806 receiving yards and eight touchdowns (ninth in the NFL) with 56 catches on 85 targets. He's averaging 4.3 receptions and 62.0 yards per game.

Defense

  • On defense, Andrew Van Ginkel has 69 tackles, 17.0 TFL, 11 sacks, and two interceptions in 2024.
  • Jonathan Greenard has 52 tackles, 16.0 TFL, and 11 sacks this season.
  • This season, Blake Cashman has put up 3.0 sacks (fourth on the Vikings) to go along with his 7.0 TFL and 92 tackles.
  • Byron Murphy has 5.0 TFL, 71 tackles, and six interceptions on the season.

Green Bay Betting Info

  • Green Bay has covered the spread eight times this season (8-6-1).
  • This year, the Packers have just two ATS wins in five games as an underdog of 2 points or more.
  • This season, Green Bay games have hit the over six times.
  • This season, the Packers have won two out of the five games in which they've been the underdog.
  • The Packers have a 50.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Packers Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 230.4 (3,456) 12
Rush yards 147.3 (2,209) 4
Points scored 27.5 (413) 7
Pass yards against 209.7 (3,145) 9
Rush yards against 102.5 (1,537) 8
Points allowed 19.1 (287) 6

Green Bay's Key Players

Offense

  • Josh Jacobs averages 81.1 rushing yards per game this year (1,216 total yards to rank fourth in the NFL), while scoring 13 rushing touchdowns.
  • Jacobs has also played a role the receiving game with 340 yards (22.7 per game) on 35 receptions (2.3 per game), while being targeted 42 times. He has one receiving touchdown.
  • Jordan Love has 3,135 passing yards, 24 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and 11 interceptions. His completion percentage is 63.2% and he averages 241.2 yards per game and 8.2 per attempt.
  • He has added 77 rushing yards (sixth on the Packers), with one touchdown on the ground (averaging 5.9 yards per game and 3.2 per carry).
  • Jayden Reed has totaled 803 receiving yards and six touchdowns on 52 receptions, while being targeted 69 times this season.
  • Tucker Kraft has 618 receiving yards and seven touchdowns from 44 receptions after receiving 60 targets.

Defense

  • In 2024, Quay Walker has amassed 2.5 sacks to go with 9.0 TFL and 102 tackles over 13 games.
  • Xavier McKinney has 1.0 sack in addition to his 2.0 TFL, 74 tackles, and seven interceptions over 15 games.
  • Keisean Nixon has 73 tackles, 6.0 TFL, three sacks, and one interception in the 2024 campaign. He is fourth on the Packers in tackles.
  • Edgerrin Cooper's season stats include 60 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and one interception in 12 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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