Falcons vs. Vikings Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 5

Published Nov. 1, 2023 1:10 p.m. ET

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The Atlanta Falcons (4-4) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -5) over the Minnesota Vikings (4-4), despite the Vikings having won three games in a row. An over/under of 37 points has been set for the matchup.

Falcons vs. Vikings Odds & Betting Lines

Falcons vs. Vikings Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Minnesota (+5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (37)
  
• Prediction: Atlanta 21 - Minnesota 20

How to Watch Atlanta vs. Minnesota

• Game Date: Sunday, November 5, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• TV: Watch on FOX

Falcons vs. Vikings Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, Minnesota has totaled four wins against Atlanta.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Minnesota has racked up 117 points against Atlanta, while surrendering only 83 points.

Atlanta Betting Info

• Atlanta has two wins versus the spread in eight games this season.
• Atlanta games this year have gone over the point total two times in eight opportunities (25%).
• When playing as moneyline favorites, the Falcons are 3-2, picking up a win 60% of the time.
• Atlanta has yet to play a game with moneyline odds of -225 or shorter.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Falcons' implied win probability is 69.2%.

Falcons Stats

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

• Desmond Ridder has 1,701 passing yards, six touchdowns and six interceptions this year. He has completed 65.4% of his passes, averaging 212.6 yards per game and 7.1 per attempt.
• He has added 139 rushing yards (17.4 per game) and three touchdowns on the ground.
• Bijan Robinson has collected 466 rushing yards (ninth in the NFL) with one touchdown (58.3 yards per game over eight games). His 5.1 yards per attempt rank sixth in the NFL.
• Robinson has 26 receptions on 37 targets for 189 yards. He has two receiving TDs.
• In eight games played, Drake London is averaging 54.8 yards and 4.6 receptions per game on the way to 438 receiving yards and 37 catches. He's been targeted 57 times, and has two receiving touchdowns.
• In the ground game, Tyler Allgeier averages 3.2 yards per attempt (37th in the NFL) and 41.5 yards per game for 332 total rushing yards. He has scored two rushing touchdowns this season.
• He has added nine catches (on 13 targets) for 85 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He's averaging 10.6 receiving yards and 1.1 receptions per game.

Defense

• Over on defense, Jessie Bates III has 52 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three interceptions in 2023.
• Kaden Elliss has 1.0 sack to go with 3.0 TFL and 53 tackles.
• Richie Grant has put up 51 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception this year.
• David Onyemata has 2.5 sacks (second on the Falcons) to go along with his 5.0 TFL and 29 tackles on the season.

Minnesota Betting Info

• Minnesota has covered the spread in a game four times this year (4-3-1).
• This season, the Vikings have one ATS win in two games as an underdog of 5 points or more.
• This season, Minnesota games have hit the over just once.
• The Vikings have been underdogs in three games this season and won one (33.3%) of those contests.
• Minnesota has a record of 1-1 in games where oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +185 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win by the Vikings based on the moneyline is 35.1%.

Vikings Stats

Minnesota's Key Players

Offense

• Joshua Dobbs has passed for 1,569 yards this year, with eight touchdowns and five interceptions. He is completing 62.8% of his attempts while averaging 196.1 yards per game and 5.9 per attempt.
• Dobbs has also rushed for three touchdowns and 258 yards (second on the Vikings).
• Dobbs has 1,569 passing yards, eight touchdowns and five interceptions. His completion percentage is 62.8% and he averages 196.1 yards per game and 5.9 per attempt.
• Dobbs also has three rushing touchdowns and 258 rushing yards (second on the Vikings).
• This season, Jordan Addison has caught 36 passes for 482 receiving yards with seven touchdowns in the passing game (second in the NFL). He has been targeted 52 total times and is averaging 4.5 receptions per game over eight games played.
• T.J. Hockenson has 478 receiving yards and three touchdowns from 53 receptions (10th in the NFL) after getting 68 targets.

Defense

• So far in 2023, Danielle Hunter has put up 10.0 sacks to go with 12.0 TFL and 37 tackles through eight games. He ranks first in the NFL in sacks.
• Camryn Bynum has 0.5 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL, 76 tackles, and two interceptions.
• Harrison Smith has recorded 3.0 sacks (third on the Vikings) as well as 2.0 TFL and 55 tackles in the 2023 season.
• Jordan Hicks has intercepted one pass to go with 69 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three passes defended.

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NFL - Minnesota Vikings vs. Atlanta Falcons - 11/05/2023

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